金融服务业支持制造业发展的评价模型研究

本文通过2 0 0 2-2 0 0 6年全国制造业相关数据整理计算了各省市制造业新型化指数及各省市相应的金融服务业发展数据,构建了金融服务业支持制造业发展的两个指标。通过指数化的面板数据,研究各省市金融服务业支持制造业发展的情况,同时借助非连续回归模型寻找估计系数拐点的方法找到了金融服务业支持制造业发展效应强弱的新型化指数临界水平值。研究表明,金融服务业对制造业的支持效应在各省市存在着个体与结构上的差异,福建省制造业的新型化指数水平则是金融服务业支持制造业发展效应强弱的临界值拐点。

A research on evaluation model of financial support for manufacturing industry

To learn the evaluation on financial support for manufacturing industry,this paper establishes three indexes based on the statistical data from 2002 to 2006,including new-concept manufacturing industry index,financial development index and financial efficiency index.With the regression analysis and non-consequential regression model,it is found that the effects of financial support for new-concept manufacturing industry differ in various provinces and/or municipalities,and that the new-concept manufacturing industry index of Fujian Province is the critical value which decides the supporting effect of financial services industry for manufacturing industry.