| 城市化水平与能源消费的动态均衡关系实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张优智,党兴华.城市化水平与能源消费的动态均衡关系实证研究[J].长安大学学报(社会科学版),2013,15(3):54-58. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张优智 党兴华 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 西安理工大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安710054;西安石油大学经济管理学院,陕西西安710065
2. 西安理工大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安,710054 |
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| 基金项目： | 陕西省教育厅基地项目，陕西省教育厅人文社科专项项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 选取中国1978～2010年间的数据，运用协整分析和因果关系检验方法研究城市化水平与能源消费之间是否存在长期的动态均衡关系。研究表明，城市化水平与能源消费之间存在长期的均衡关系；因果关系检验发现，在1978～2010年间存在着城市化水平与能源消费的单向因果关系，即城市化水平的提高带动了能源消费的增加，而能源消费构成城市化水平的原因并不显著。
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| 关 键 词： | 城市化 能源消费 因果检验 动态均衡关系 S型曲线 误差修正模型 向量自回归模型 脉冲响应函数 |
Empirical study on dynamic equilibrium relationship between urbanization and energy consumption |
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| ZHANG You-zhi
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DANG Xing-hua.Empirical study on dynamic equilibrium relationship between urbanization and energy consumption[J].Journal of Chang'an University(Social Sciences Edition),2013,15(3):54-58. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG You-zhi DANG Xing-hua |
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| Institution: | 1. School of Economics and Management, Xi＇an University of Technology, Xi＇an 710054, Shaanxi, China; 2. School of Economics Management, Xi＇an Shiyou University, Xi＇an 710065, Shaanxi, China) |
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| Abstract: | The cointegration analysis and causality estimation were conducted to test the relationship of dynamic equilibrium between urbanization and energy consumption based on the data in the period of 1987 - 2010. The results indicate that there is a long term dynamic equilibrium relationship between ur- banization and energy consumption and there is a single-direction causal connection between urbanization and energy consumption in the period of 1987 - 2010, that is, the improvement of urbanization increases the energy consumption, but the reasons for the improvement of the energy consumption increasing urban- ization are not so obvious. |
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| Keywords: | urbanization energy consumption causality estimation dynamic equilibrium S curve error correction model vector autoregression model impulse response function |
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