低碳经济背景下的国际博弈及对中国的启示

"低碳经济"作为21世纪出现的新名词,涉及到了经济、政治、科技、环保等诸多领域。各国围绕低碳经济在相关领域的博弈错综复杂,利益集团的形成在所难免。然而,利益诉求的重叠也使得合作的必要性同时存在,如何建立相互信任的合作框架实现双赢关系到我们的生存环境以及实现可持续发展,谋求公平的国际话语权等一系列问题,值得分析和探讨。围绕"低碳经济"所牵涉到的各种因素,将其中一些关键影响因素抽取出来,建立静态博弈模型和演化博弈模型,分析发达国家群体和发展中国家群体在发展低碳经济中的利益趋同与分歧,可找到博弈收敛的稳定均衡点,得出发达国家群体和发展中国家群体只有相互合作才能实现最优的博弈结果这一结论。同时,博弈结果表明,切实有效的法律框架以避免"免费乘车者"是促成合作有效的基础,这些将对中国发展低碳经济给予有益的启示。

The International Game under the Background of Developing Low-Carbon Economy and Revelations to China

＂ Low-carbon economy＂, as a new term of the 21st century, is related to the economic,political, technological, environmental protection and other areas. The game around the ＂Low-carbon e-conomy＂ is complicated and the formation of interest groups is inevitable. However, common interests＇existence makes the cooperation necessary. How to set up a reliable framework for cooperation has respectto our living environment, sustainable development and fair voice in the international market. Consideringthe factors about developing ＂low-carbon economy＂ , extracting the key factors to set up the game model,using the static game and evolutionary game to analyze the developed countries and developing countries＇conflicting interests in developing the low-carbon economy, may we finally get the stable equilibriumpoints that converge to, and we can find the conclusion that only by cooperation can the developed coun-tries and developing countries achieve the best outcome of the game. At the same time, the result of thegame proves that effective legal framework is the base of the cooperation to avoid the ＂hitch-hiker＂. Fi-nally all these may be revelations to China＇ s efforts in developing low-carbon economy.