“十三五”北京市新能源汽车节能减排潜力

采用车用燃料生命周期分析法,对北京市推广的电动出租车、公交车、环卫车和租赁电动车的节能效应和减排效应进行量化分析,结合北京市电动车的运行情况对新能源电动车的碳排放影响因素进行分析,在此基础上对"十三五"期间北京市新能源汽车节能减排效果预测,并据此提出一定发展路径的政策建议。研究认为:北京市现行推广的电动出租车、公交车、环卫车和租赁电动车具有较好的节能减排效果;发电结构、车用燃料类型等影响因素对电动车的减排效果影响较大;预计到2020年,推广的新能源电动车将节能154769万千瓦时、减排CO2 39.4万吨。

Analysis of Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction of New Energy Vehicles in Beijing during the "13th Five-Year Plan"

Using the Life Cycle Assessment, this paper conducts a quantitative analysis of electric vehicles promoted in Beijing including electric taxis, electric buses, and electric sanitation trucks as well as rental electric vehicles. Based on this research, this paper forecasts the effect of electric vehicles'' energy conservation and emission reduction during the "13th Five-Year Plan" and provides some policy measurements in the industry. It concludes that:there is a positive energy conservation and emission reduction effect in the promotion of electric taxis, electric buses, electric sanitation trucks as well as rental electric vehicles in Beijing; power energy structure and fuel type etc., play a significant role in electric vehicle''s emission reduction effect; the promoted new energy electric vehicles will save 154 hundred million kWh of electricity and reduce 39.4 million tons of CO₂ by 2020.