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“新农保”有利于计划生育政策的执行吗?——一个经济学解释
引用本文:刘冰,赵子乐,曾福生.“新农保”有利于计划生育政策的执行吗?——一个经济学解释[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2012,12(1):118-125.
作者姓名:刘冰  赵子乐  曾福生
作者单位:1. 湖南农业大学人文学院,湖南长沙410128;湖南农业大学经济学院,湖南长沙410128
2. 暨南大学产业经济研究院,广东广州,510632
3. 湖南农业大学经济学院,湖南长沙,410128
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学研究项目,湖南省教育厅科学研究一般项目
摘    要:采用两时期的世代交叠模型,研究“新农保”对于农村居民自愿生育的子女数量的影响.研究表明,“新农保”能在一定程度上替代“养儿防老”,减少农民自愿生育的子女数量.“新农保”的基础养老金发放标准以及个人账户最低缴费标准越高,则“新农保”越能减少农民自愿生育的子女数量.因此,“新农保”的实施有利于计划生育政策的执行.

关 键 词:新农保  计划生育  养儿防老  储蓄

Is the "New Rural Pension System" Beneficial to the Implementation of Birth Control Policy? An Economic Interpretation
LIU Bing,ZHAO Zi-le,ZENG Fu-sheng.Is the "New Rural Pension System" Beneficial to the Implementation of Birth Control Policy? An Economic Interpretation[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science Edition),2012,12(1):118-125.
Authors:LIU Bing  ZHAO Zi-le  ZENG Fu-sheng
Institution:1.College of Humanities and Social Science,Hunan Agricultural University,Changsha 410128,China; 2.College of Economics,Hunam Agricultural University,Changsha 410128,China; 3.Institute of Industrial Economics,Jinan University,Guangzhou 510632,China)
Abstract:With a two-period Over-Lapping-Generations Model,this paper analyses the effects of "New Rural Pension System" on the fertility of rural residents based on willingness.The findings are that the "New Rural Pension System" can,to some extent,offer the financial support to parents in old age in place of reliance on filial support and thus reduce the births of free will.The higher the basic old-age pension standard and the minimum payment of personal account are,the more the "New Rural Pension System" reduces the farmers′ births of free will.In conclusion,the "New Rural Pension System" is beneficial to the implementation of birth control policy.
Keywords:New Rural Pension System  Birth Control  Raise Children to Provide Against Old Age  Saving
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