| 贸易协定对我国出口波动影响的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱晶,林大燕.贸易协定对我国出口波动影响的实证研究[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2012,12(2):30-37. |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱晶 林大燕 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京农业大学 经济管理学院,江苏南京,210095 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金，中央高校基本科研业务费专项，江苏省高校“青蓝工程”科技创新团队项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文在综合分析国内外对出口波动研究的基础上,建立适于研究我国出口波动的实证模型,运用我国与25个贸易伙伴国1984-2010年的面板数据,对贸易协定对我国出口波动的影响进行了实证分析.研究结果表明,我国加入WTO及与贸易伙伴国建立区域贸易协定可以显著降低我国的出口波动,而伙伴国加入WTO对我国出口波动的影响并不显著；同时,贸易竞争力、经济增长的稳定性也是影响我国出口波动的重要因素.
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| 关 键 词： | 贸易开放 出口波动 WTO 区域性贸易协定 |
An Empirical Study on the Impact of Trade Agreements on Volatility of China's Export |
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| ZHU Jing
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LIN Da-yan.An Empirical Study on the Impact of Trade Agreements on Volatility of China's Export[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science Edition),2012,12(2):30-37. |
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| Authors: | ZHU Jing LIN Da-yan |
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| Institution: | (College of Economics and Management,Nanjing Agricural University,Nanjing 210095,China) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper we established an panel data model to study China′s exports volatility and analyzed the impact of trade agreements on China′s export fluctuations,using panel data covering 25 trading partner countries of China from year 1984 to 2010.The results have shown that China′s accession to the WTO and the establishment of regional trade arrangements has reduced the export volatility of China,while the impact of our trade partners′ accession to the WTO is not statistically significant.Moreover,improved trade competitiveness and the stability of the economic growth could help to reduce the trade volatility of China′s exports. |
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| Keywords: | Trade Openness Export Volatility the WTO Regional Trade Agreements |
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