中国原油进口效率研究

中国原油进口规模不断增大,原油进口效率变得日益重要。中国是原油生产大国,为提高原油进口效率提供了坚实基础。从近几年中国原油进口量、进口价格和国际油价波动的月际数据量化分析的结果看,中国原油进口效率总体上是比较低的。如果将由中国原油需求快速增长所产生的内在刚性压力考虑在内,中国原油进口效率表现得不是太低,但是中国原油进口效率没有随着原油进口历史延伸而得到改善。中国原油进口效率过低会对国内经济造成很大损失。为了提高原油进口效率,中国需要在提高国际油价走势预测能力、完善相应配套措施和交易机制等方面做出努力。

Research on Chinese Crude Oil Import Efficiency

Chinese crude oil import scale is increasing and imports of crude efficiency becomes more and more important.China itself is a crude oil production country which provides the solid foundation for improving the efficiency of oil imports.In recent years China s oil import efficiency according to the price of imports and international oil price on the interstate data of quantitative analysis is low;but if China s crude oil inherent rigid demand from the rapid growth of the internal is taken into account China s crude imports efficiency isn t too low;China s import efficiency of crude oil has not been extended and improved with import development.China s crude low efficiency imports will bring the domestic economy much damage.In order to improve the efficiency of China s oil imports,we need to improve the ability to predict oil prices in the international trend,perfect supporting measures and trading mechanism.