中国绿色GDP核算实证分析

绿色GDP(下称GGDP)核算旨在通过改善现行的核算惯例,促进对资源环境价值的认识,进而改变经济行为。其中,资源环境价值的合理货币化是进行绿色核算的关键。研究结果表明:1991—2003年,中国资源环境损耗不断增大,占GDP的比重达8.01%~11.66%,且资源损耗比环境污染损耗更为严重;原有的国民核算体系夸大了经济的实际增长,GDP比GGDP每年高估产出2 481亿元~10 739亿元;GGDP将会随着资源环境因子覆盖面的增大而进一步降低。

Empirical Analysis of Green GDP Accounting in China

Green GDP aims at reforming the economic practice by improving the present accounting conventions and enhancing human knowledge of the value of resources and environment.The key to green accounting is to monetize resources and environment reasonably.From 1991 to 2003,the depletion of resources and environment had increased gradually,which accounted for 8.01% to 11.66% of GDP in China,and the loss of resources has been faster and more serious than that of environmental pollution.Comparatively,GDP overrated 248.1 billion to 1 073.9 billion than GGDP and conventional accounting system aggrandized the true economy growth.Evidently,GGDP will drop further with more factors of resources and environment being accounted.