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人口流动的经济增长收敛效应实证研究——以甘肃省为例
引用本文:周文丽.人口流动的经济增长收敛效应实证研究——以甘肃省为例[J].南京人口管理干部学院学报,2012,28(2):25-30.
作者姓名:周文丽
作者单位:兰州商学院工商管理学院,甘肃兰州,730020
基金项目:甘肃省教育厅硕导基金资助项目,甘肃省哲学社会科学基金资助项目
摘    要:以Barro和Sala-i-Martin的收敛假说为理论基础,利用面板模型探讨了甘肃省人口流动对其经济增长收敛性的影响。研究显示:2004-2009年,甘肃经济增长呈收敛趋势,人口流动对经济增长及其收敛性具有积极影响:不考虑人口流动因素甘肃经济增长以每年4.18%的速度趋向稳态水平,半程收敛时间为17年;考虑人口流动因素的影响后,省内各市州经济增长以5.69%的速度相互趋同,半程收敛时间缩短为12年,说明人口流动加快了经济增长的收敛速度。

关 键 词:人口流动  经济增长  区域差距  收敛效应  人口经济  甘肃省

Impact of Population Mobility on Convergence of Economic Growth:A Case Study of Gansu Province
ZHOU Wen-li.Impact of Population Mobility on Convergence of Economic Growth:A Case Study of Gansu Province[J].Journal of Nanjing College for Population Programme Management,2012,28(2):25-30.
Authors:ZHOU Wen-li
Institution:ZHOU Wen-li
Abstract:Based on the convergence hypothesis by Barro and Sals-i-Martin,the panel data estimation approach is used to analyse the impact of population mobility on convergence of regional economic growth in Gansu province.Here are the findings: the time from 2004 to 2009 has witnessed the convergence in the provincial economic growth,and population flow having a positive effect on the economic development and its convergence;Without considering the factors of population mobility,the economic growth in the province tends to be steady with an annual rate of 4.18%,and the time for half convergence is 17 years,while taking the factors of mobility into consideration,the economic growth runs at a higher rate of 5.69% and the half convergence time reduces to 12 years.It is indicated that population mobility is likely to accelerate the convergence rate of economic growth.
Keywords:Population Mobility  Economic Growth  Regional Difference  Convergence  Population and Economy  Gansu
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