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农业贷款对农业经济增长影响的实证研究——以湖北省为例
引用本文:魏君英,师文明.农业贷款对农业经济增长影响的实证研究——以湖北省为例[J].江西农业大学学报(社会科学版),2010,9(4):12-14,39.
作者姓名:魏君英  师文明
作者单位:[1]长江大学经济学院,湖北荆州434025 [2]中南财经政法大学经济学院,湖北武汉430073
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学研究项目
摘    要:农业的发展离不开金融机构的支持,农业贷款与农业发展之间存在紧密联系。利用湖北省1990—2008年间的数据,对农业贷款和农林牧渔生产总值的关系进行实证分析。结果表明,湖北省农业贷款与农林牧渔生产总值之间存在高度相关性,二者存在稳定的长期均衡关系,但仅存在从农业贷款到农林牧渔生产总值的单向格兰杰引导关系,即该地区的农业贷款对农业产业的发展有促进作用,而农林牧渔生产总值的增长对农业贷款增加的推动作用则不明显。

关 键 词:农业贷款  农业经济增长  湖北省

An Empirical Study on the Impact of Agricultural Loanon Agricultural Economic Growth——A Case Study of Hubei Province
WEI Jun-ying,SHI Wen-ming.An Empirical Study on the Impact of Agricultural Loanon Agricultural Economic Growth——A Case Study of Hubei Province[J].Journal of Jianxi Agricultural University :Social Sciences Edition,2010,9(4):12-14,39.
Authors:WEI Jun-ying  SHI Wen-ming
Institution:1.College of Economics,Yangtze University,Jingzhou 434025,China;2.College of Economics,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan 430073,China)
Abstract:Agricultural development is inseparable from the support of financial institutions.In other words,there exists a close relationship between agricultural loan and agricultural development.The article makes an empirical study into the relationship between agricultural loan and forestry coo-agriculture GDP by examining the data from 1990 to 2008 in Hubei.The results show that agricultural loan highly correlates with forestry coo-agriculture GDP in Hubei,and that there stands a stable long-term equilibrium relationship between them.But there exists only one-way granger relationship from agricultural loans to forestry coo-agriculture GDP,namely the agricultural loan plays the role of promoting the agriculture industry development,and the role of forestry coo-agriculture GDP growth in promoting agricultural loan is not obvious.
Keywords:agricultural loan  agricultural economic growth  Hubei Province
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