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黔东南性别失衡人口规模的判断与预测
引用本文:杨旭,杨军昌.黔东南性别失衡人口规模的判断与预测[J].贵州工业大学学报(社会科学版),2008(4).
作者姓名:杨旭  杨军昌
作者单位:贵州大学人口研究中心
摘    要:黔东南州作为西部欠发达省份的民族自治地区,出生性别比长期、普遍、高度的失衡已经对经济发展、社会安定造成一定影响。虽然出生性别比失衡问题得到政府和社会的广泛关注和重视,并自2004年起开展了系列治理活动,但出生性别比升高的势头并未因之而有所遏制。本文希望通过对出生性别比失衡人口规模的计算,以及预测失衡导致该州未来男女人口规模和适龄结婚人口规模差异,使人们对失衡状况与未来影响有更清晰的认识,并为进一步治理提供参考素材。

关 键 词:出生性别比  失衡人口  规模差异  判断  预测  黔东南

Judgment and Forecast of the Population Scale of Imbalanced Sex Ratio at Birth in Qiandongnan Miao and Dong Autonomous Prefecture
YANG Xu,YANG Jun-chang.Judgment and Forecast of the Population Scale of Imbalanced Sex Ratio at Birth in Qiandongnan Miao and Dong Autonomous Prefecture[J].Journal of Guizhou University of Technology(Social Science Edition),2008(4).
Authors:YANG Xu  YANG Jun-chang
Institution:YANG Xu,YANG Jun-chang(Research Institute of Population,Guizhou University,Guiyang 550025 China)
Abstract:The birth sex ratio at Qiandongnan,an ethic autonomous area in the under-developed western province,has long been highly imbalanced to a universal degree,which has negative impact on the economic development and the social stability.The efforts of the government and society have failed to stop the tendency of the increase of the imbalanced sex ratio at birth.This article calculated the imbalanced population scale and forecasted the result of the imbalance between men and women in the future population scale...
Keywords:sex ratio at birth  imbalance of the population  scale differences  judge  forecast  Qiandongnan  
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