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An intuitive risk factors search algorithm: usage of the Bayesian network technique in personalized medicine
Authors:Evgeny D Maslennikov  Alexey V Sulimov  Igor A Savkin  Marina A Evdokimova  Dmitry A Zateyshchikov  Valery V Nosikov
Institution:1. Dimonta Ltd., 15 Nagornaya Str., Build. 8, 117186 Moscow, Russian Federation;2. Research Computer Center of M.V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, 1 Leninskie Gory, bldg. 4, 119991 Moscow, Russian Federation;3. Educational and Research Medical Center of Russia President General Management, 21 Marshal Timoshenko Str., 121359 Moscow, Russian Federation;4. Federal Research Clinical Center for specialized types of health care and medical technologies, 28 Orekhovy Boulevard, 115682 Moscow, Russian Federation;5. Educational and Research Medical Center of Russia President General Management, 21 Marshal Timoshenko Str., 121359 Moscow, Russian Federation
Abstract:The article focuses on the application of the Bayesian networks (BN) technique to problems of personalized medicine. The simple (intuitive) algorithm of BN optimization with respect to the number of nodes using naive network topology is developed. This algorithm allows to increase the BN prediction quality and to identify the most important variables of the network. The parallel program implementing the algorithm has demonstrated good scalability with an increase in the computational cores number, and it can be applied to the large patients database containing thousands of variables. This program is applied for the prediction for the unfavorable outcome of coronary artery disease (CAD) for patients who survived the acute coronary syndrome (ACS). As a result, the quality of the predictions of the investigated networks was significantly improved and the most important risk factors were detected. The significance of the tumor necrosis factor-alpha gene polymorphism for the prediction of the unfavorable outcome of CAD for patients survived after ACS was revealed for the first time.
Keywords:Bayesian networks  variable correlation  personalized medicine  naive network optimization  acute coronary syndrome  TNF gene polymorphism
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