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MODELLING EPIDEMIC DISEASES |
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| Authors: | J Gani |
| Institution: | Mathematical Sciences Institute, The Australian National University, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia. e-mail: joe.gani@anu.edu.au |
| Abstract: | This paper traces the development of mathematical models for epidemics from the 18th century to the present day. The models are shown to be of use in predicting and controlling the spread of infection. |
| Keywords: | epidemic model general epidemic herd immunity influenza plague smallpox vaccination |