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On the mathematics of the Jeffreys–Lindley paradox
Authors:Cristiano Villa  Stephen Walker
Institution:1. University of Kent, School of Mathematics, Statistics and Actuarial Sciences, Cornwallis Building, University of Kent, Canterbury, UK;2. Department of Mathematics, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA
Abstract:This paper is concerned with the well known Jeffreys–Lindley paradox. In a Bayesian set up, the so-called paradox arises when a point null hypothesis is tested and an objective prior is sought for the alternative hypothesis. In particular, the posterior for the null hypothesis tends to one when the uncertainty, i.e., the variance, for the parameter value goes to infinity. We argue that the appropriate way to deal with the paradox is to use simple mathematics, and that any philosophical argument is to be regarded as irrelevant.
Keywords:Bayes factor  Bayesian hypothesis testing  Kullback–Leibler divergence  self-information loss  
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