Reconstruction of populations by stochastic optimization: Sensitivity analysis |
| |
Authors: | Noël Bonneuil |
| |
Institution: | Institut national d’études démographiques, Paris, France, and école des hautes études en sciences sociales, Paris, France |
| |
Abstract: | The reconstruction of populations by stochastic optimization solves the nontrivial problem of finding demographic flows from population registers or vital statistics and censuses, if available. These flows allow the reconstruction of stocks (age pyramids and vital statistics). After a review of reconstruction methods, the sensitivity analysis shows the robustness of the method by stochastic optimization to flawed or missing values, to the length of the reconstruction period, and to variations in the actual demographic flows. |
| |
Keywords: | imperfect information Lotka-McKendrick missing data population reconstruction stochastic optimization |
|
|