河南省农村人口年龄结构对消费影响的实证分析

本文利用1987～2008年年度资料对河南省农村人口年龄结构影响农村居民消费的情况进行分析,发现少儿抚养系数、老年抚养系数与消费存在长期协整关系,并且少儿抚养系数对农村居民消费有显著的正影响,老年抚养系数对消费的影响不显著。因此,提出通过加大农村教育投入、完善农村养老保障、细分市场来应对人口年龄结构变化对消费的影响。

Henan Rural Population Age Structure on Analyzing the Impact of Consumption

By using 1987~2008 annual data on the age structure of the rural population in rural areas of Henan province consumption analysis of the circumstances,found that children dependency ratio,old age dependency ratio and the existence of cointegration between consumption and child dependency coefficient on the consumption of rural residents were significant.The negative impact of elderly dependency coefficient on consumption was not significant.Therefore proposed through increased investment in rural education,...