我国劳动力老化及其对社会经济发展影响的分析

目前,学界和政府决策者十分重视随着我国人口老龄化速度加快所引发的各个方面的问题,不过却极少关注在人口老龄化背景下劳动力老化所带来的种种后果,尤其是对未来社会经济发展的一系列影响。基于现有数据,分析我国劳动力老化的现状与特点,并预测21世纪上半叶劳动年龄人口结构及其老化的变动趋势。从劳动力老化对劳动生产率提高和产业结构调整两方面影响入手,探索劳动力老化对社会经济发展可能产生的一些负面影响,并提出对策性的思考与建议。

Analysis on Aging Labor Force and Its Impact on Socio - economic Development in China

So far,academia and government policy-makers have attached much importance to problems brought about by the rapid progress of China population aging,but very little to negative effects of labor aging under the context of population aging, especially its effects to socio-economic development in the future.Based on available data,firstly,this paper analyzes current situation and characteristics of China population aging,and predicts age structure and aging tendency of laboring-age population during the first half of 21st century.Secondly,the article discusses possible negative effects of labor aging on socio-economic development from the view of enhancement of productivity and adjustment of industrial structure.Lastly,the authors put forward related policy considerations.