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Parimutuel betting on the eSports duels: Evidence of the reverse favourite-longshot bias
Institution:1. HSE University, Russian Federation;2. New Economic School, Russian Federation
Abstract:We analyse betting behaviour patterns of the visitors of the specialized betting website dedicated to the popular eSports game Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. The reverse favourite-longshot bias is found, which is rather unusual for parimutuel betting markets, where favourite-longshot bias is more common. We define simple betting strategies based on the bets on underdogs and show that these strategies make a sufficiently large positive profit both on the in-sample and out-of-sample datasets, which is a sign of market inefficiency. In matches with popular underdogs, the sentiment bias decreases the market inefficiency caused by the reverse favourite-longshot bias. At the same time, the role of the geographical location of teams in the reverse favourite-longshot bias is only marginal.
Keywords:Reverse favourite-longshot bias  Market inefficiency  eSports  Betting
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