中东能源地缘政治与中国能源安全

本文研究了中东地缘政治发展趋势以及未来该地区对中国能源安全的潜在影响,并就制定具有针对性的中东能源安全战略提出了建议,并认为,中国经济将继续依赖中东能源;中东政治动荡的危险正在增大,中东油气供应存在极大风险.中国的中东能源安全战略应包括:转变外交理念,平衡在中东的能源利益与不干涉内政原则间的关系,建立与中东能源供应国的相互依存关系,制定中美能源合作的长期目标,建立一个以问题为核心的功能性多边制度.

Energy Geopolitics in the Middle East and China's Energy Security Strategy

This study explores the geo-political, geo-economic and social development trends in the Middle East as well as their potential impacts on China's energy security. Recommendations are made regarding China's energy security strategy toward the Middle East. The basic conclusions of this study include three points: (a) China's economy will continue to rely on the Middle East's energy supply in the future, (b) political instability in the Middle East would lead to serious consequences, posing a big risk for the Middle East oil and gas supply; (c) China's energy security strategy in the Middle East should include changing its diplomatic ideology, maintaining a balance between the Middle East energy interests and adhering to the principle of non-interference in other's internal affairs, establishing interdependence with the Middle East energy suppliers, working towards a long-term Sino-US energy cooperation, and building a functional multilateral problem-solving system concerned.