| 基于挣值管理有效模型的挣值动态预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨小平,韩金伟. 基于挣值管理有效模型的挣值动态预测研究[J]. 北京理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2010, 12(4): 48-52 |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨小平 韩金伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中国科学技术大学 管理学院, 合肥 230026 |
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| 摘 要： | 项目挣值管理是公认的项目管理工具,它整合了项目成本与进度 ,通过偏差分析为项目经理提供了定量的项目状况信息,为预测项目的最终成本和进度提供了有效的解决办法。依托挣值管理有效模型并在此基础之上进行改良,采用多层次模糊综合评判与数量化方法探析动态的挣值预测模型。以项目过程风险识别和分析为导向,根据预测值分析项目的健康状况和集成化管理改进。
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| 关 键 词： | 挣值管理 挣值预测 多层次模糊综合评判 数量化方法 |
| 收稿时间： | 2009-10-16 |
Dynamic Prediction Based on Earned Value Management effective model |
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| YANG Xiao-ping and HAN Jin-wei. Dynamic Prediction Based on Earned Value Management effective model[J]. Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology(Social Sciences Edition), 2010, 12(4): 48-52 |
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| Authors: | YANG Xiao-ping and HAN Jin-wei |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Management School, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 2300262.Management School, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230027 |
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| Abstract: | The Earned Value Method(EVM) is considered an advanced project control technique for integration of schedule and cost.The EVM for project managers through deviation analysis provides quantitative information about the status of project.It provides an effective solution in order to predict the final cost and schedule.The dynamic forecasting model relies on the EVM effective model and make improvements on this basis,using Multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and quantitative methods.It provides the anal... |
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| Keywords: | earned value management earned value forecasting multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation quantitative method |
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