| 中心城市粮食安全分期预警研究——以A市为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵黎明,王忠. 中心城市粮食安全分期预警研究——以A市为例[J]. 北京理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2011, 13(6): 25-30 |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵黎明 王忠 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学管理与经济学部,天津,300072 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部科学技术研究基金重点资助项目(00024) |
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| 摘 要： | 为使研究有利于指导中心城市粮食安全预警工作实践,提出分期预警的方法,设计分期预警指标体系,确定警级和警限,构建分期预警模型。以A市为例进行模型应用,结果表明,2010年A市粮食安全整体形势较好,但由于2009年A市粮食加工行业不太景气,仍然存在轻微的隐患。实证研究结果显示,该模型具有一定的实用性,需要在实践工作中不断完善和发展。
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| 关 键 词： | 中心城市 粮食安全 分期预警 指标体系 预警模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 2010-12-04 |
On Divided Early Warning of Food Security of the Central City |
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| ZHAO Liming and WANG Zhong. On Divided Early Warning of Food Security of the Central City[J]. Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology(Social Sciences Edition), 2011, 13(6): 25-30 |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Liming and WANG Zhong |
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| Affiliation: | (School of Management,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072) |
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| Abstract: | In order to guide the management of central urban food security,the paper put forward divided early warning methodology.A central urban food security divided early warning indicator system was built,the alarm rankers and thresholds were determined,and the divided early warning model was introduced.Taking City A as an example,application of the model shows that:the overall food security situation is better in 2010,but there are still minor problems because of the food processing industry slowdown in 2009.Empirical results indicate:though the model is practical,it needs further improvement and development. |
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| Keywords: | central city food security divided early warning indicator system early warning model |
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