2011年澳门人口普查初步结果

据澳门统计暨普查局公布2011年人口普查初步结果,2011年8月12日,全澳人口55.25万人,较十年前增加26.9%,年人口平均增长率为2.4%。其中,常住人口有52.9万人,流动人口2.32万人,较十年前分别增加27.8%和9.4%。家庭户共计17.07万户,较十年前增加26.5%;户规模平均为3.08人,较2001年减少0.06人。按出生地划分,澳门人口在内地出生的有25.5万人,占总数的46.1%;在澳门出生的有22.7万人     

国家统计局：统计数字——我国出生婴儿性别比居高不下

第五次全国人口普查资料显示，2000年全国出生婴儿性别比为116．86，说明我国出生婴儿性别比偏高的问题依然存在。     

美国2000年人口普查结果初析

美国２０００年人口普查初步结果已于２０００年１２月底公布。从公布的初步结果看到，美国人口在９０年代出现了很多变化，这些变化也多是历史演变趋势的继续。根据美国人口统计局从去年底至今年４月初陆续公布的数据和报告，可以分析出９０年代美国人口的最新变化。     

中国1982年后人口普查和抽样调查中死亡漏报的估计——基于Bayesian分层回归模型

利用Bayesian分层回归模型估计中国1982年后历次人口普查和抽样调查的死亡漏报率及其随时间的变化。结果表明:0岁死亡漏报率随时间的变化具有明显的阶段性,而1～4岁死亡漏报率随时间的变化趋势不明显;全年龄、5～14岁和15～59岁、60～89岁和90岁及以上死亡漏报率随时间的变化基本近似且同样具有阶段性。受漏报原因和不同时期社会背景的影响,女性1～4岁的死亡漏报率不一定低于0岁的死亡漏报率。人口普查成人阶段各年龄死亡漏报率差别较大,而人口抽样调查则较为一致。2000年人口普查男性和2010年全人口90岁及以上死亡率偏低是由比较严重的死亡漏报造成。死亡漏报对预期寿命计算误差的影响因年龄而异,二者关系在婴幼儿中较弱,其余年龄死亡漏报和预期寿命误差存在显著线性正相关。     

印度出生性别比治理成效不显著的原因探析

近年来,印度的出生人口性别比持续偏高,印度政府也采取了一系列治理行动,出台和实施了一系列的相关政策及措施;但是,从2011年印度人口普查所反映的数据来看,近些年来,印度政府对于该国出生性别比治理成效是不显著的。文章试从相关政策或措施、治理主体、目标群体以及社会环境等方面入手,分析主要的影响因素,揭示印度出生性别比治理效果不显著的原因,同时,为我国当前的出生性别比治理提供借鉴。     

2000年全国人口普查的长表抽样和数据评估及应用

论述 2 0 0 0年人口普查长短表技术的特点 ,长表抽样方法、组织实施方法以及长表抽样误差分析和数据评估 ,并就长表数据推算普查总体的方法和长表数据的应用进行讨论。     

2000年人口普查实施效果和提出的挑战

20 0 0年人口普查是一次难度空前的普查。为了获得准确的资料 ,国务院人口普查办公室对普查方案做了改进 ,采用了一些新的技术。从实施效果来看 ,证明这些改进是十分必要的。尽管如此 ,这次普查的漏登率却比 1 990年普查大幅度提高 ,达到了 1 .81 %。导致人口普查漏登率上升的因素是多方面的 ,既有方案设计上的 ,也有组织实施、普查环境变化的影响。认真研究这些问题以及解决的对策 ,对改进我国的人口统计是非常重要的     

中国2000年人口普查的几个问题研究

本文首先指出,中国２０００年的人口普查,是中国人口普查所而临的首次世纪之交的人口普查,因此,是一次具有重要时代意义的人口普查。论文着重对人口普查资料的应用与发展,人口普查资料的发布,以及人口普查资料发布的规范与管理问题,进行了深入讨论。指出,人口普查资料的发布,应包括重要国情指标的发布,并强调国情指标的发布,应由国家统计局纳入统一规范与管理。     

美国2000年人口普查的准确性和数字评估调查

本文概要地叙述了美国2000年人口普查后所进行的准确性和数字评估调查(A.C.E.调查)。它包括:抽样设计、事后分层、双系统估计等等。     

人口与计划生育工作中应注意的几个问题

本文在充分肯定中国计划生育取得巨大成绩的前提下,揭示并讨论了人口控制工作中应注意的几个问题,着力研究并处理好这些问题,对于促进中国人口、经济和社会持续稳定健康发展具有重要意义。     

The Preliminary Demography of the 2001 Census of India

This note presents and comments on the provisional results of the 2001 census of India. For the first time since Independence in 1947 there is clear evidence that the country's intercensal rate of population growth has fallen significantly—from an average annual rate of 2.14 percent between 1981 and 1991 to a rate of 1.93 percent between 1991 and 2001. At the state level there has been little change in the rates of population growth in Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan, but there are signs of—often quite considerable—reductions in growth rates for most of the remaining states. The provisional census results suggest that there has been a decline in India's population masculinity compared to 1991. But the note contends that this decline is probably largely spurious because females were less fully enumerated in 1991 than they were in 2001. Indeed the sex ratios of the states of Punjab, Haryana, Maharashtra, and Gujarat have become noticeably more masculine, which may partly reflect the influence of sex‐selective abortion.     

Research Note: Babies Born After Census Day: How the Census Bureau Addressed Dates of Birth After Census Day in the 2010 Census

The fundamental purpose of the decennial Census is an enumeration of the U.S. population at a particular “Census moment” for the purpose of apportionment. The “Census moment” for the 2010 Census occurred at 11:59 p.m. on April 1, 2010. This means that, ideally, all persons alive and living in the United States at that moment are included in the Census count, while any person not alive at that moment is excluded. In reality, this goal is challenging to achieve. Since the actual date of data collection often varies widely, it is possible that individuals are included, or excluded, in the count due to this discrepancy between the Census Day and the date of data collection. In this paper, I explore how the Census Bureau addresses this issue specifically when dates of birth after Census Day are encountered. First, I describe the three methods of data collection (Self-administered questionnaires, enumerator-administered questionnaires, and Telephone Questionnaire Assistance/Coverage Follow-Up operator-administered questionnaires), and how dates of birth after Census Day are addressed in each of these methods. Next, I explore related findings from the 2010 Census, including how many dates of birth after Census Day were found in the 2010 Census data, how they were processed according to data collection method, and how this impacted the final Census count. Finally, I discuss the performance of the new procedures related to dates of birth after Census Day that were implemented in the 2010 Census, along with implications for moving forward into future Censuses.     

Quality and the 2010 Census

The U.S. Census Bureau has a long tradition of evaluating the results of its censuses. This paper presents evaluation results from the 2010 Census, comparing them to earlier results. The paper discusses net coverage at the national and state level, as well as by age, sex, race, and ethnic group. It discusses components of error, including estimated number missed and counted in error. It also presents data on whole-person and item imputation.     

基于五普数据对四普数据质量的估计

本文在考虑了第四次人口普查和第五次人口普查的调查时点差异后,采用列克西斯图图示法,运用人口逆存活分析技术并结合对比分析方法,对第四次人口普查数据质量进行了重新评估。研究发现,“四普”0—9岁人口存在严重漏报,男女两性合计漏报人口1269万;10-18岁人口不仅存在漏报,也存在重报;男女分性别漏报人口之间也存在较大差异。     

Census 2000 Partnership and Marketing Program Evaluation

To evaluate the Census 2000 integrated marketing strategy, the Census Bureau contracted with the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) to conduct a national representative sample survey. In addition to having a nationalrepresentative sample, NORC oversampled populations whichare historically undercounted in the census. Using threecross-sectional mixed mode surveys, NORC obtained baseline,pre- and post-census measures of awareness, attitudes, knowledge,and mailback intentions over the period of the census. This paperreports on some of the preliminary results from the NORC reportof the Partnership and Marketing Program (PMP) evaluation.     

Census adjustment and the distribution of federal spending

In 1989, programs that use population counts to determine the distribution of their funds transferred $236 per capita to state and local governments. If the 1990 census were adjusted to reflect undercounting, about 40% of state and local governments would receive increased grants averaging $56 per miscounted person; other jurisdictions would lose an almost equal amount of grant money. The surprisingly small reallocations arise because 1) total funds allocated by population are essentially fixed; 2) allocations depend on other factors in addition to population; and 3) programs vary as to whether they allocate funds in direct or inverse proportion to population.     

浅谈人口普查地理区域划分

在人口普查中 ,划分普查地理区域便于普查工作的组织实施 ,是保证登记不重不漏的可靠基础 ,是建立普查数据质量控制体系的有效途径 ,并能为后续工作提供依据。划分原则一般是普查区域尽可能与行政区划相吻合 ,逐级划分 ,地域覆盖不漏不重 ,特殊地区特殊对待。划分重点在于普查区和调查小区