A new distribution-free control scheme based on order statistics

We establish a class of nonparametric Shewhart-type control charts based on a reference sample drawn from the process. The proposed nonparametric control chart takes advantage of the location of two different order statistics of the reference and test sample respectively. The decision rule of the new monitoring scheme is filled out by the number of test observations that are located between the control limits. The general setup of the new class of control charts is presented in detail, while the operating characteristic function is studied for both in- and out-of-control processes. Closed formulae for the evaluation of the alarm rate and the average run length are concluded for plausible shift in the underlying distribution to Lehmann alternatives. Several numerical results, displayed for the new family of nonparametric control charts, depict that the proposed control scheme attains competitive performance.     

Distribution-free cumulative sum and exponentially weighted moving average control charts based on the Wilcoxon rank-sum statistic using ranked set sampling for monitoring mean shifts

ABSTRACT

Whenever a practitioner is not sure about the underlying process distribution, alternative monitoring schemes that may be used are called nonparametric charts. A nonparametric scheme mostly used to monitor the difference in the means of two samples is called the Wilcoxon rank-sum (WRS). In this paper, we propose nonparametric (or distribution-free) cumulative sum and exponentially weighted moving average charts based on the WRS using ranked set sampling. We thoroughly discuss the performance of the proposed control charts in terms of run-length properties through intensive simulations. Moreover, we conduct an overall performance comparison using the relative mean index and a variety of quality loss functions (for instance, the average extra quadratic loss, average ratio of the average run-length and performance comparison index). The newly proposed charts have very attractive run-length properties and they have better overall performance than their counterparts. An illustrative example is given, as well as an easy-to-use table with optimal design parameters to aid practical implementation.     

A Process Monitoring Scheme Controlling False Discovery Rate

A new process monitoring scheme is proposed by using the Storey procedure for controlling the positive false discovery rate in multiple testing. For the 2-span control scheme, it is shown numerically that the proposed method performs better than X-bar chart in terms of the average run length. Some simulations are accomplished to evaluate the performance of the proposed scheme in terms of the average run length and the conditional expected delay. The results are compared with those of the existing monitoring schemes including the X-bar chart. The false discovery rate is also estimated and compared with the target control level.     

Monitoring exponential data using two-sided control charts with runs rules

In this article, new two-sided control charts with runs rules, suitable for the monitoring of exponential data, are proposed and studied. The proposed schemes are suitable to identify changes (upward or downward) in the mean of an exponential distribution. Also, they have the desired in-control performance as well as unbiased performance. Guidelines for the most effective scheme in practice are provided, along with comparisons with other competitive schemes. Finally, the practical application of the proposed schemes is also discussed.     

Wilcoxon-type rank-sum control charts based on progressively censored reference data

Abstract

In this article, we introduce a new distribution???free Shewhart???type control chart implementing a modified Wilcoxon-type rank sum statistic based on progressive Type-II censoring reference data. The proposed chart is also a tool for monitoring the incomplete data, because the censoring scheme applied allows the protection of experimental units at an early stage of the testing procedure. The setup of the new nonparametric control chart is presented in detail, while its operating characteristic function is studied. Explicit formulae for the evaluation of Alarm Rate and Average Run Length values for both in-control and out-of-control situations are established. A numerical study carried out depicts the performance and robustness of the proposed control chart. For illustration purposes, a practical example is also discussed.     

Monitoring simple linear profiles using variable sample size schemes

ABSTRACT

Profile monitoring is one of the new research areas in statistical process control. Most of the control charts in this area are designed with fixed sampling rate which makes the control chart slow in detecting small to moderate shifts. In order to improve the performance of the conventional fixed control charts, adaptive features are proposed in which, one or more design parameters vary during the process. In this paper the variable sample size feature of EWMA₃ and MEWMA schemes are proposed for monitoring simple linear profiles. The EWMA₃ method is based on the combination of three exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts for monitoring three parameters of a simple linear profile separately and the Multivariate EWMA (MEWMA) chart is based on the using a single chart to monitor the coefficients and variance of a general linear profile. Also a two-sided control chart is proposed for monitoring the standard deviation in the EWMA₃ method. The performance of the proposed charts is compared in terms of the average time to signal. Numerical examples show that using adaptive features increase the power of control charts in detecting the parameter shifts. Finally, the performance of the proposed variable sample size schemes is illustrated through a real case in the leather industry.     

An Empirical-Likelihood-Based Multivariate EWMA Control Scheme

Nonparametric control charts are useful in statistical process control (SPC) when there is a lack of or limited knowledge about the underlying process distribution, especially when the process measurement is multivariate. This article develops a new multivariate SPC methodology for monitoring location parameter based on adapting a well-known nonparametric method, empirical likelihood (EL), to on-line sequential monitoring. The weighted version of EL ratio test is used to formulate the charting statistic by incorporating the exponentially weighted moving average control (EWMA) scheme, which results in a nonparametric counterpart of the classical multivariate EWMA (MEWMA). Some theoretical and numerical studies show that benefiting from using EL, the proposed chart possesses some favorable features. First, it is a data-driven scheme and thus is more robust to various multivariate non-normal data than the MEWMA chart under the in-control (IC) situation. Second, it is transformation-invariant and avoids the estimation of covariance matrix from the historical data by studentizing internally, and hence its IC performance is less deteriorated when the number of reference sample is small. Third, in comparison with the existing approaches, it is more efficient in detecting small and moderate shifts for multivariate non-normal process.     

Monitoring Nonlinear Profiles with Random Effects by Nonparametric Regression

The monitoring of process/product profiles is presently a growing and promising area of research in statistical process control. This study is aimed at developing monitoring schemes for nonlinear profiles with random effects. We utilize the technique of principal components analysis to analyze the covariance structure of the profiles and propose monitoring schemes based on principal component (PC) scores. The number of the PC scores used in constructing control charts is crucial to the detecting power. In the Phase I analysis of historical data, due to the dependency of the PC-scores, we adopt the usual Hotelling T ² chart to check the stability. For Phase II monitoring, we study individual PC-score control charts, a combined chart scheme that combines all the PC-score charts, and a T ² chart. Although an individual PC-score chart may be perfect for monitoring a particular mode of variation, a chart that can detect general shifts, such as the T ² chart and the combined chart scheme, is more feasible in practice. The performances of the schemes under study are evaluated in terms of the average run length.     

On sampling with probability proportional to size

One of the vehicles for utilization of auxiliary information is to use a sampling scheme with inclusion probabilities proportional to given size measures, a πps scheme. The paper addresses the following πps problem: Exhibit a πps scheme with prescribed sample size, which leads to good estimation precision and has good variance estimation properties.Rosén (1997) presented a novel general class of sampling schemes, called order sampling schemes, which here are shown to provide interesting contributions to the πps problem. A notion ‘order sampling with fixed distribution shape’ (OSFS) is introduced, and employed to construct a general class of πps schemes, called OSFSπps schemes. A particular scheme, Pareto πps, is shown to be optimal among OSFSπps schemes, in the sense that it minimizes estimator variances. Comparisons are made of three OSFSπps schemes and three other πps schemes; Sunter πps and systematic πps with frame ordered at random respectively by the sizes. The main conclusion is as follows. Pareto πps is superior among πps schemes which admit objective assessment of sampling errors.     

Nonparametric quality control charts based on the sign statistic

Nonparametric control chart are presented for the problem of detecting changes in the process median (or mean), or changes in the process variability when samples are taken at regular time intervals. The proposed procedures are based on sign-test statistics computed for each sample, and are used in Shewhart and cumulative sum control charts. When the process is in control the run length distributions for the proposed nonparametric control charts do not depend on the distribution of the observations. An additional advantage of the non-parametric control charts is that the variance of the process does not need to be established in order to set up a control chart for the mean. Comparisons with the corresponding parametric control charts are presented. It is also shown that curtailed sampling plans can considerably reduce the expected number of observations used in the Shewhart control schemes based on the sign statistic.     

Nonparametric control charts based on order statistics: Some advances

ABSTRACT

In this article, we introduce new nonparametric Shewhart-type control charts that take into account the location of two order statistics of the test sample as well as the number of observations in that sample that lie between the control limits. Exact formulae for the alarm rate, the run length distribution and the average run length (ARL) are all derived. A key advantage of the new charts is that, due to its nonparametric nature, the false alarm rate (FAR) and in-control run length distribution is the same for all continuous process distributions. Tables are provided for the implementation of the proposed charts for some typical FAR and ARL values. Furthermore, a numerical study carried out reveals that the new charts are quite flexible and efficient in detecting shifts to Lehmann-type out-of-control situations, while they seem preferable from a robustness point of view in comparison with the distribution-free control chart of Balakrishnan et al. (2009).     

Error variance function estimation in nonparametric regression models

In this article, a new class of variance function estimators is proposed in the setting of heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models. To obtain a variance function estimator, the main proposal is to smooth the product of the response variable and residuals as opposed to the squared residuals. The asymptotic properties of the proposed methodology are investigated in order to compare its asymptotic behavior with that of the existing methods. The finite sample performance of the proposed estimator is studied through simulation studies. The effect of the curvature of the mean function on its finite sample behavior is also discussed.     

Multivariate Control Charts Based on Hybrid Novelty Scores

We propose a new nonparametric multivariate control chart that integrates a novelty score. The proposed control chart uses as its monitoring statistic a hybrid novelty score, calculated based on the distance to local observations as well as on the distance to the convex hull constructed by its neighbors. The control limits of the proposed control chart were established based on a bootstrap method. A rigorous simulation study was conducted to examine the properties of the proposed control chart under various scenarios and compare it with existing multivariate control charts in terms of average run length (ARL) performance. The simulation results showed that the proposed control chart outperformed both the parametric and nonparametric Hotelling's T ² control charts, especially in nonnormal situations. Moreover, experimental results with real semiconductor data demonstrated the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed control chart. To increase the capability to detect small mean shift, we propose an exponentially weighted hybrid novelty score control chart. Simulation results indicated that exponentially weighted hybrid score charts outperformed the hybrid novelty score based control charts.     

Nonparametric repeated significance tests for some analysis of covariance models

For a general class of nonparametric analysis of covariance problems (with stochastic covariates), some repeated significance testing procedures are developed. These procedures rest on the construction of suitable rank order statistics based on the partial sequence of sample sizes and allow for a monitoring of experimentation with the objective of a possible early termination of experimentation. The basic theory is based on the weak convergence of certain stochastic processes relating to the rank order statistics. Various properties of the proposed tests are discussed.     

Non parametric mixture priors based on an exponential random scheme

We propose a general procedure for constructing nonparametric priors for Bayesian inference. Under very general assumptions, the proposed prior selects absolutely continuous distribution functions, hence it can be useful with continuous data. We use the notion ofFeller-type approximation, with a random scheme based on the natural exponential family, in order to construct a large class of distribution functions. We show how one can assign a probability to such a class and discuss the main properties of the proposed prior, namedFeller prior. Feller priors are related to mixture models with unknown number of components or, more generally, to mixtures with unknown weight distribution. Two illustrations relative to the estimation of a density and of a mixing distribution are carried out with respect to well known data-set in order to evaluate the performance of our procedure. Computations are performed using a modified version of an MCMC algorithm which is briefly described.     

Semi-Sequential One-Shot Monitoring of Small Disorders With Controlled Type I Error Rate

We propose a simple two-stage monitoring rule for detecting small disorders in a two-sample location problem. The proposed rule is based on ranks and hence is nonparametric in nature. In the first stage, we use a sequential monitoring scheme to decide the necessity of employing a location test at some point of time. If there is urgency, we simply use a two-sample Wilcoxon rank sum test in the second stage. This leads to a semi sequential one-shot monitoring procedure. We study some asymptotic performance of the proposed rule. We also present some numerical findings obtained through Monte Carlo studies. The proposed rule meets the challenge of controlling type I error rate in sequential monitoring of an incoming series of observations.     

A Discussion of Permutation Tests Conditional to Observed Responses in Unreplicated 2 M Full Factorial Designs

ABSTRACT

In this article we present a new solution to test for effects in unreplicated two-level factorial designs. The proposed test statistic, in case the error components are normally distributed, follows an F random variable, though our attention is on its nonparametric permutation version. The proposed procedure does not require any transformation of data such as residualization and it is exact for each effect and distribution-free. Our main aim is to discuss a permutation solution conditional to the original vector of responses. We give two versions of the same nonparametric testing procedure in order to control both the individual error rate and the experiment-wise error rate. A power comparison with Loughin and Noble's test is provided in the case of a unreplicated 2⁴ full factorial design.     

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Dirichlet process and other time-varying processes for Bayesian nonparametric inference

This paper introduces a new class of time-varying, measure-valued stochastic processes for Bayesian nonparametric inference. The class of priors is constructed by normalising a stochastic process derived from non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and generalises the class of normalised random measures with independent increments from static problems. Some properties of the normalised measure are investigated. A particle filter and MCMC schemes are described for inference. The methods are applied to an example in the modelling of financial data.     

Robust algorithms for economic designing of a nonparametric control chart for abrupt shift in location

The existing statistical process control procedures typically rely on the fundamental assumption of a parametric distribution of the quality characteristic. However, when there is a lack of knowledge about the underlying distribution (as full knowledge is not available in practice), the performance of these parametric charts is very likely to be heavily degraded. Motivated by this problem, a one-sided nonparametric monitoring procedure using the single sample sign statistic is proposed for detecting a shift in the location parameter of a continuous distribution. An economic model of the control chart is developed to optimize the sample size, sampling interval, and control limits. Three data-dependent estimation approaches for the unknown parameter are evaluated and discussed. Simulation results exhibit that our proposed procedure generally performs well under a great variety of continuous distributions and hence it is recommended as an alternative scheme especially when the knowledge of the underlying distribution is imperfect. Furthermore, beneficial recommendations of estimation approach selection are provided for practical implementation of the control chart.