On Spiring's normal loss function

Loss functions express the loss to society, incurred through the use of a product, in monetary units. Underlying this concept is the notion that any deviation from target of any product characteristic implies a degradation in the product performance and hence a loss. Spiring (1993), in response to criticisms of the quadratic loss function, developed the reflected normal loss function, which is based on the normal density function. We give some modifications of these loss functions to simplify their application and provide a framework for the reflected normal loss function that accomodates a broader class of symmetric loss situations. These modifications also facilitate the unification of both of these loss functions and their comparison through expected loss. Finally, we give a simple method for determing the parameters of the modified reflected normal loss function based on loss information for multiple values of the product characteristic, and an example to illustrate the flexibility of the proposed model and the determination of its parameters.     

Sufficient conditions for the admissibility under the LINEX loss function in non-regular case

Consider an estimation problem under the LINEX loss function in one-parameter non-regular distributions where the endpoint of the support depends on an unknown parameter. The purpose of this paper is to give sufficient conditions for a generalized Bayes estimator of a parametric function to be admissible. Also, it is shown that the main result in this paper is an extension of the quadratic loss case. Some examples are given.     

On the Admissibility of Linear Estimators in a Multivariate Normal Distribution Under LINEX Loss Function

Consider an estimation problem of a linear combination of population means in a multivariate normal distribution under LINEX loss function. Necessary and sufficient conditions for linear estimators to be admissible are given. Further, it is shown that the result is an extension of the quadratic loss case as well as the univariate normal case.     

Curtailed Bayesian sampling plans for exponential distributions based on Type-II censored samples

This paper studies the problem of designing a curtailed Bayesian sampling plan (CBSP) with Type-II censored data. We first derive the Bayesian sampling plan (BSP) for exponential distributions based on Type-II censored samples in a general loss function. For the conjugate prior with quadratic loss function, an explicit expression for the Bayes decision function is derived. Using the property of monotonicity of the Bayes decision function, a new Bayesian sampling plan modified by the curtailment procedure, called a CBSP, is proposed. It is shown that the risk of CBSP is less than or equal to that of BSP. Comparisons among some existing BSPs and the proposed CBSP are given. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted, and numerical results indicate that the CBSP outperforms those early existing sampling plans if the time loss is considered in the loss function.     

Stein rule prediction of the composite target function in a general linear regression model

This paper considers the problem of simultaneous prediction of the actual and average values of the dependent variable in a general linear regression model. Utilizing the philosophy of Stein rule procedure, a family of improved predictors for a linear function of the actual and expected value of the dependent variable for the forecast period has been proposed. An unbiased estimator for the mean squared error (MSE) matrix of the proposed family of predictors has been obtained and dominance of the family of Stein rule predictors over the best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) has been established under a quadratic loss function.     

Limiting admissible estimators for variance components

Simultaneous estimation of the vector of the variance components for mixed and random models under the quadratic loss function is considered. For a large class of such models there are identified classes of admissible biased invariant quadratic estimators that are better than some admissible unbiased estimators. Numerous numerical results presented in the paper show that for many of the commonly used balanced models the improvements in the quadratic risk may be considerable over a large set of the parameter space.     

Bayesian multivariate normal analysis with a wishart prior

This paper considers the Bayesian analysis of the multivariate normal distribution when its covariance matrix has a Wishart prior density under the assumption of a multivariate quadratic loss function. New flexible marginal posterior distributions of the mean μ and of the covariance matrix Σ are developed and univariate cases with graphical representations are given.     

An optimization model for economic design of sampling plans based on conforming run length considering outgoing quality

In this article, a new economical acceptance sampling model is proposed based on Taguchi loss function. The objective function of the model consists of inspection cost, scrap cost, and Taguchi loss function including producer loss and consumer loss. The expected total cost includes the loss for an inspected item plus the loss for an accepted item which has not been inspected. Decision-making is based on conforming run length. It is assumed that the quality characteristics follow normal distribution. A numerical example is solved for illustrating application of this model. Sensitivity analysis is proposed for illustrating the effect of some important parameters on the objective function. Finally, we compared the results of the proposed method with classical Dodge–Romig sampling plans tables based on average outgoing quality limit. The results confirmed the superiority of proposed model.     

Bayesian Estimation of Bivariate Exponential Distributions Based on Linex and Quadratic Loss Functions: A Survival Approach with Censored Samples

In this article, four bivariate exponential (BVE) distributions with subject to right censoring samples are presented. Bayesian estimates of the parameters of BVE are obtained through Linex and quadratic loss functions. Gamma prior distribution has been suggested to reforming the posterior function. The estimations and standard errors of parameters have also been obtained through simulation method. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is employed for the case of Block-Buse bivariate distribution because there was no closed form for estimator criteria. Simulation studies have been conducted to show that the computation parts can be implemented easily and comparing the estimated values due to two methods and with the true values as well.     

Determining the Optimum Process Mean of a One-sided Specification Limit with the Linear Quality Loss Function of Product

Wen & Mergen (1999) proposed a method for setting the optimal process mean when a process was not capable of meeting specifications in the short term. However, they neglected to consider the quality loss for a product within specifications in the model. Chen & Chou (2002) presented a modified Wen & Mergen's (1999) model, including the quadratic quality loss function for a one-sided specification limit. In this paper, we propose the modified Wen & Mergen (1999) cost model including the linear quality loss function of a product for determining the optimal process mean of a one-sided specification limit.     

A note on the location parameters of two exponential distributions under order restrictions

The problem of simultaneous estimation of location parameters of two independent exponential distributions is considered when location and/or scale parameters are ordered. We show that the standard estimators in the unrestricted case which use information only from the populations individually can be improved upon when various order restrictions are known to hold. The improved estimators are obtained under the quadratic loss function     

On Bayes Linear Unbiased Estimator Under the Balanced Loss Function

In this paper, the Bayes linear unbiased estimator (Bayes LUE) is derived under the balanced loss function. Moreover, the superiority of Bayes LUE over ordinary least square estimator is studied under the mean square error matrix criterion and Pitman closeness criterion. Furthermore, we compare Bayes LUE under the balanced loss function with Bayes LUE under the quadratic loss function.     

Efficient Bayesian sampling plans for exponential distributions with random censoring

This paper considers Bayesian sampling plans for exponential distribution with random censoring. The efficient Bayesian sampling plan for a general loss function is derived. This sampling plan possesses the property that it may make decisions prior to the end of the life test experiment, and its decision function is the same as the Bayes decision function which makes decisions based on data collected at the end of the life test experiment. Compared with the optimal Bayesian sampling plan of Chen et al. (2004), the efficient Bayesian sampling plan has the smaller Bayes risk due to the less duration time of life test experiment. Computations of the efficient Bayes risks for the conjugate prior are given. Numerical comparisons between the proposed efficient Bayesian sampling plan and the optimal Bayesian sampling plan of Chen et al. (2004) under two special decision losses, including the quadratic decision loss, are provided. Numerical results also demonstrate that the performance of the proposed efficient sampling plan is superior to that of the optimal sampling plan by Chen et al. (2004).     

The probabilistic tolerance design for a subsystem using taguchi's quadratic loss function

Taguchi (1984,1987) has derived tolerances for subsystems, subcomponents, parts and materials. However, he assumed that the relationship between a higher rank and a lower rank quality characteristic is deterministic. The basic structure of the above tolerance design problem is very similar to that of the screening problem. Tang (1987) proposed three cost models and derived an economic design for the screening problem of “the-bigger-the-better” quality characteristic in which the optimal specification limit ( or tolerance ) for a screening variable ( or a lower rank quality characteristic ) was obtained by minimizing the expected total cost function.Tang considered that the quality cost incurred only when the quality characteristic is out of specification while Taguchi considered that the quality cost incurred whenever the quality characteristic deviates from its nominal value. In this paper, a probabilistic relationship, namely, a bivariate normal distribution between the above two qualy characteristics as in a screening problem as well as Taguchi's quadratic loss function are considered together to develop a closed form solution of the tolerance design for a subsystem.     

Exact Bayesian Variable Sampling Plans for the Exponential Distribution Based on Type-I and Type-II Hybrid Censored Samples

A sampling plan with a polynomial loss function for the exponential distribution is considered. From the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the mean of an exponential distribution based on Type-I and Type-II hybrid censored samples, we obtain an explicit expression for the Bayes risk of a sampling plan with a quadratic loss function. Some numerical examples and comparisons are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, and a robustness study reveals that the proposed optimal sampling plans are quite robust.     

Prbposterior expected loss as a scoring rule for prior distributions

A scoring rule for evaluating the usefulness of an assessed prior distribution should reflect the purpose for which the distribution is to be used. In this paper we suppose that sample data is to become available and that the posterior distribution will be used to estimate some quantity under a quadratic loss function. The utility of a prior distribution is consequently determined by its preposterior expected quadratic loss. It is shown that this loss function has properties desirable in a scoring rule and formulae are derived for calculating the scores it gives in some common problems. Many scoring rules give a very poor score to any improper prior distribution but, in contrast, the scoring rule proposed here provides a meaningful measure for comparing the usefulness of assessed prior distributions and non-informative (improper) prior distributions. Results for making this comparison in various situations are also given.     

A note on some modified Pulak and Al-Sultan's model

Pulak and Al-Sultan presented a rectifying inspection plan applying in the determination of optimum process mean. However, they did not point out whether the non-conforming items in the sample of accepted lot are replaced or eliminated from the lot and neglected the quality loss within specification limits. In this paper, we further propose the modified Pulak and Al-Sultan model with quadratic quality loss function. There are four cases considered in the modified model: (1) the non-conforming items in the sample of accepted lot are neither replaced nor eliminated from the lot; (2) the non-conforming items in the sample of accepted lot are not replaced but are eliminated from the lot; (3) the non-conforming items in the sample of accepted lot are replaced by conforming ones; (4) the non-conforming items in the sample of accepted lot are replaced by non-inspected items. The numerical results and sensitivity analysis of parameters show that their solutions are slightly different.     

Stein-rule estimation under an extended balanced loss function

This paper extends the balanced loss function to a more general setup. The ordinary least squares estimator (OLSE) and Stein-rule estimator (SRE) are exposed to this general loss function with quadratic loss structure in a linear regression model. Their risks are derived when the disturbances in the linear regression model are not necessarily normally distributed. The dominance of OLSE and SRE over each other and the effect of departure from normality assumption of disturbances on the risk property are studied.     

Optimal Bayesian variable sampling plans for exponential distributions based on modified type-II hybrid censored samples

For the conventional type-II hybrid censoring scheme (HCS) in Childs et al., a Bayesian variable sampling plan among the class of the maximum likelihood estimators was derived by Lin et al. under the loss function, which does not include the cost of experimental time. Instead of taking the conventional type-II hybrid censoring scheme, a persuasive argument leads to taking the modified type-II hybrid censoring scheme (MHCS) if the cost of experimental time is included in the loss function. In this article, we apply the decision-theoretic approach for the concerned acceptance sampling. With the type-II MHCS, based on a sufficient statistics, the optimal Bayesian sampling plan is derived under a general loss function. Furthermore, for the conjugate prior distribution, the closed-form formula of the Bayes decision rule can be obtained under the quadratic decision loss. Numerical study is given to demonstrate the performance of the proposed Bayesian sampling plan.     

Ridge regression estimators in the linear regression models with non-spherical errors

The present paper considers a family of ordinary ridge regression estimators in the linear regression model when the disturbances covariance matrix depends upon a few unknown parameters. An asymptotic expansion for the distribution of the ridge regression estimator is developed and under the quadratic loss function its asymptotic risk is compared with that of the feasible GLS estimator.