我国国债与经济增长关系的计量分析——兼论国债负担对国债经济增长效应的影响

本文研究国债和经济增长之间的关系,在Greiner提出的一个包涵国债、赤字的内生增长框架内,建立了我国国债和经济增长的模型,实证研究对理论模型提供了强有力的支持.基于扩展VAR模型的因果关系检验结果表明我国国债的主要用途是公共投资,而非政府消费和转移支付.协整分析的结果表明我国国债显著的促进了经济增长,理论和实证结果均表明国债促进经济增长的路径在于公共投资领域,而不是政府消费和转移支付.同时本文进一步研究了国债负担与国债的经济增长效应之间的关系,研究的结果表明我国目前的国债负担水平还没有构成太大的国债风险,其对国债的经济增长效应影响不显著.本文进一步就国债政策提出政策建议.     

我国信息资源水平对经济增长影响研究

在全球经济面临陷入衰退的威胁下,中国经济应走出自己的特色,变危机为契机,发展信息产业,促进国民经济稳定、健康的发展.本文分析了我国信息资源水平对经济增长产生的影响,并就此提出了政策建议.     

经济适用房政策研究综述

本文是一篇关于国内各方对经济适用房政策研究的文献综述,它系统总结了现行经济适用房政策的利与弊,归纳了解决我国城镇中低收入居民住房问题中所面临的困难,并在述评各家之言后,对经济适用房未来的命运提出自己的看法。     

论房地产对经济的影响

近几年来,随着我国经济的快速发展、城市化进程的加快、居民收入水平的提高及政府启动内需的政策,房地产业的发展步入了快速增长的通道.房地产业与国民经济有着紧密的联系,是国民经济的＂睛雨表＂,房地产市场的繁荣和萧条与金融稳定密切相关.本文就房地产对经济的影响进行了论述,具有一定指导意义.     

地区本位下的区域经济协调发展政策

目前我国区域经济发展非常不平衡,区域经济协调发展是我国当前的一项主要经济任务。本论文主要讨论地区本位对区域经济政策的影响,以及在地区本位下,政府为实现其辖区内各地区、各区域经济的协调发展而采取的相关经济政策。     

中国经济2007年的新信号

2007年是我国发展和改革十分关键的一年。7日在北京闭幕的中央经济工作会议，对明年经济工作进行了具体部署。从这些部署中，我们可以看到政策的新信号、经济的新走向。     

经济政策不确定性与企业现金持有策略——基于中国经济政策不确定指数的实证研究

研究经济政策不确定性对企业现金持有策略的影响,发现企业在经济政策不确定性上升时会增持现金,这种现金增持行为在融资约束较为严重、股权集中度较低以及学习能力较差的企业中更加明显.此外,本文还采用中介效应分析方法,发现企业在经济政策不确定性上升时增持的现金,有一部分是以放弃当前投资机会为代价的,被放弃的投资机会构成了企业在经济政策不确定性上升时增持现金的机会成本.     

顺应经济全球化推进我国非公有制经济的结构调整

2001年12月11日,我国成为世贸组织的正式成员.中国入世,就是融入经济全球化之中.经济全球化,是指经济资源跨越国界在全球范围内自由、全面、大量、综合地流动与配置,使世界各国经济相互开放与相互融合,各国经济的发展与整个世界经济的变动相互影响和制约.融入经济全球化,给我国非公有制经济的长足发展带来了机遇.同时,也给非公有制经济的发展提出了新的要求,这就是面对国际大企业的竞争,必须在调整结构中不断发展壮大自己.     

分析发达国家区域经济政策的路径建构与思考

区域经济主要是指在一定的地区内经济发展的内部因素与外部条件相互作用而产生的生产综合体。区域经济可以反映不同地区经济发展的客观规律,中国目前已经划分出了东部经济区域、中部经济区域、东北部经济区域和西部经济区域。对中国的经济区域进行合理的划分有利于政府根据不同地区的发展状况制定出合理的政策,从而推动我国经济的协调发展。其实世界上除了中国其他国家也有自己的经济区域。一些发达国家的经济区域不仅和经济相联系和政治、管理体制、社会背景等相互关联,对经济发展的区域进行合理的划分同样促进了发达国家的进一步发展和各个方面的和谐。为了我国的经济发展能更加协调,我国的区域经济政策需要进一步的完善。     

经济高质量发展视阈下我国区域协调发展的政策效应评估北大核心

评估区域协调发展的政策效应是实现区域一体化发展的重要保障.本文在对我国区域协调发展政策进行量化识别的基础上,实证检验我国区域协调发展政策的调控效果以及深层次调控机制.研究发现:(1)我国区域协调发展政策具有相对较强的空间指向,且重点作用于东部板块、西部板块以及东北板块.(2)目前我国区域协调发展政策大体上可以实现在保障经济发展效率的同时缩小区域经济发展差距的目标.从四大板块来看,区域协调发展政策能够显著缩小东部板块以及西部板块的区域差异,同时对东部板块、中部板块以及西部板块经济高质量发展具有相对较强的促进效应.(3)在区域协调发展政策调控下,东部板块以及西部板块重点通过抬升"腰部省份"或者"尾部省份"的经济发展水平以缩小板块内区域差距,中部板块内各个省份则呈现"齐头并进"的发展态势.     

Long-term planning in the U.S.S.R.

This article illustrates the U.S.S.R. approach to long-term planning and the relationship of cooperative planning within the Comecon countries. The conception of planning which the author puts forward is comprehensive and is illustrative of what is being attempted at the macro level in the centrally planned economies.     

Environmental scanning in U.S. corporations.

Environmental scanning is a new activity among corporations, because of its importance, corporations need to progress by stages to achieve a structured and formal system of scanning, and this takes time. This paper is based on a study examining the evolution and state of environmental scanning among corporations, and finds that the essential difference between scanning at the corporate and at the product/market level is not observed by all companies. Ideally, there should be a close liaison between the two levels so that each may reinforce the scanning effort of the other.     

E.D. Smith and Sons,Ltd.

Lew Smith, the chairman of a privately owned Canadian processor, must decide whether his company will build a plant in the United States. He has been asked to do so by one of his major customers, Loblaw. The company has been making many improvements to its operations but it’s performance has been hurt by the Free Trade Agreement between Canada and the United States. The company has been doing very well, however, as it shifts its focus from making private label to controlled label. Is now the right time to expand the business into a foreign market?     

Aspects of quality . . . and world domination!

Training, learning and development tend to be regarded as central to the success of every organization and the nation. However, not all organizations are able or willing to invest resources in such processes. The paper presents a view that training, learning and development occur as a consequence of successful persuasive actions in a chain of talk, which draw on the discursive and rhetorical resources of an emerging learning movement. Utilizing the findings from an examination of data from the UK Department of Education and Skills-sponsored National Training Award winners, the paper provides an employment of actor-network theory and the sociology of translation to show how some organizations make the case for training, learning and development as a virtuous endeavour. It concludes by suggesting that what is needed is a more detailed understanding of how the case for the adoption of training, learning and development, or not, within organizations is made meaningful.     

Acquiring companies in the U.S.A.

This article lists the five important characteristics for the ideal acquisition candidate for investment in the United States. A good and long-lasting relationship takes much thought, planning and patience and the authors set out practical guidelines for companies seeking to acquire U.S. companies.     

Effects of the Canada-U.S. Trade Agreement on U.S. agricultural exports

This paper investigates the effects of the Canada-U.S. Trade Agreement (CUSTA) on U.S. exports of agricultural products. Econometric analysis found that CUSTA has had a large impact on many U.S. agricultural export categories. All of the consumer-oriented products (except wine and beer), five of the intermediate products, and four of the bulk products had significant CUSTA effects. It is clear that the CUSTA effects have been larger for consumer-oriented food products. There is also evidence that U.S. affiliate sales in Canada have stimulated U.S. exports of consumer-oriented products and intermediate products.