Corporate development— preferred strategies in U.K. companies

In this paper policies available for corporate development are examined and the suggestion is made that new business development remains an option that must be considered. The time span of the growth, the ‘quality’ of any growth and the extent of managerial commitment to ‘growth business’ are identified as important factors that should influence decisions on corporate development. Results of two surveys made by the authors of U.K. corporate experience with different NBD entry strategies for new business development are also discussed in the paper.     

Can industries de-mature?— Applying new technologies to mature industries

This paper looks at how an industry matures and the role technology can play in reversing the trend. It also explores alternative techniques that managers can use to determine whether the application of new technology can revitalize a particular product line or service, and how to determine which technology should be developed or applied. In this way new technology can be used to develop an effective competitive advantage in the marketplace.     

“Modest doubt is called the beacon of the wise”—Incorporating uncertainty in risk analysis from Shakespeare to today

“Modest doubt is call'd the beacon of the wise.”—William Shakespeare, Troilus and Cressida. Although the character Hector warns his fellow Trojans with this line not to engage in war against the Greeks, Shakespeare's works are replete with characters who do not incorporate modest doubt, or any consideration of uncertainty, in their risk decisions. Perhaps Shakespeare was simply a keen observer of human nature. Although risk science has developed tremendously over the last five decades (and scientific inquiry over five centuries), the human mind still frequently defaults to conviction about certain beliefs, absent sufficient scientific evidence—which has effects not just on individual lives, but on policy decisions that affect many. This perspective provides background on the Shakespearean quote in its literary and historical context. Then, as this quote is the theme of the 2023 Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, we describe how “modest doubt”—incorporating the notion of uncertainty into risk analysis for individual and policy decisions—is still the “beacon of the wise” today.