The superharmonic condition for simultaneous estimation of means in exponential familles

The mean vector associated with several independent variates from the exponential subclass of Hudson (1978) is estimated under weighted squared error loss. In particular, the formal Bayes and “Stein-like” estimators of the mean vector are given. Conditions are also given under which these estimators dominate any of the “natural estimators”. Our conditions for dominance are motivated by a result of Stein (1981), who treated the N_p (θ, I) case with p ≥ 3. Stein showed that formal Bayes estimators dominate the usual estimator if the marginal density of the data is superharmonic. Our present exponential class generalization entails an elliptic differential inequality in some natural variables. Actually, we assume that each component of the data vector has a probability density function which satisfies a certain differential equation. While the densities of Hudson (1978) are particular solutions of this equation, other solutions are not of the exponential class if certain parameters are unknown. Our approach allows for the possibility of extending the parametric Stein-theory to useful nonexponential cases, but the problem of nuisance parameters is not treated here.     

Robust Bayesian hypothesis testing in the presence of nuisance parameters

Robust Bayesian testing of point null hypotheses is considered for problems involving the presence of nuisance parameters. The robust Bayesian approach seeks answers that hold for a range of prior distributions. Three techniques for handling the nuisance parameter are studied and compared. They are (i) utilize a noninformative prior to integrate out the nuisance parameter; (ii) utilize a test statistic whose distribution does not depend on the nuisance parameter; and (iii) use a class of prior distributions for the nuisance parameter. These approaches are studied in two examples, the univariate normal model with unknown mean and variance, and a multivariate normal example.     

Unified treatment of Cramér-Rao bound for the nonregular density functions

This paper extends the idea of Vincze (1978) and unifies the approach for the uniparameter and multiparameter situations for obtaining the Cramér-Rao inequality.     

Information,ancillarity, and sufficiency in the presence of nuisance parameters

The Fisher information about parameters of interest (P-information) is invariant with respect to nuisance parameters, and induces an information inequality associated with likelihood factorization. This information inequality provides a natural basis for measuring information loss due to using only a sublikelihood function for inference. In contrast with the global reparametrization of some previous concepts in the literature, the concepts of P-ancillarity and P-sufficiency proposed in this article are characterized by the notion of no pointwise information loss with respect to the parameters of interest. A conditional version of P-sufficiency is also proposed. The asymptotic efficiency of likelihood inference under P-ancillarity or P-sufficiency is outlined.     

On the estimation of restricted mean

In sampling from a continuous distribution with unknown mean μ and variance σ² the problem of estimation of μ, when it is known that μ∈(a, ∞) (or μ∈(-∞, b)), is considered. The estimators proposed here lie in the interval (a, ∞) (or (-∞, b)) almost surely. The performance of these estimators is compared to that of some known estimators in the case of sampling from a normal, exponential and a weighted difference of two independent chi-square distributions.     

On the comparison of the pre-test and shrinkage estimators for the univariate normal mean

The estimation of the mean of an univariate normal population with unknown variance is considered when uncertain non-sample prior information is available. Alternative estimators are defined to incorporate both the sample as well as the non-sample information in the estimation process. Some of the important statistical properties of the restricted, preliminary test, and shrinkage estimators are investigated. The performances of the estimators are compared based on the criteria of unbiasedness and mean square error in order to search for a ‘best’ estimator. Both analytical and graphical methods are explored. There is no superior estimator that uniformly dominates the others. However, if the non-sample information regarding the value of the mean is close to its true value, the shrinkage estimator over performs the rest of the estimators. Received: June 19, 1999; revised version: March 23, 2000     

A class of modified stein estimators with easily computable risk functions

Consider the problem of estimating the mean of a p (≥3)-variate multi-normal distribution with identity variance-covariance matrix and with unweighted sum of squared error loss. A class of minimax, noncomparable (i.e. no estimate in the class dominates any other estimate in the class) estimates is proposed; the class contains rules dominating the simple James-Stein estimates. The estimates are essentially smoothed versions of the scaled, truncated James-Stein estimates studied by Efron and Morris. Explicit and analytically tractable expressions for their risks are obtained and are used to give guidelines for selecting estimates within the class.     

Testing optimality of experimental designs for a regression model with random variables

Tsukanov (Theor. Probab. Appl. 26 (1981) 173–177) considers the regression model $\text{E(}\text{y}\text{|}\text{Z}\text{)=}\text{Fp}\text{+}\text{Zq}$, $\text{D(}\text{y}\text{|}\text{Z}\text{)=σ}{}^2\text{I}{}_{\mathrm{n}}$, where $\text{y}\text{(n×1)}$ is a vector of measured values,$\text{F}\text{(n×k)}$ contains the control variables, $\text{Z}\text{(n×l)}$ contains the observed values, and $\text{p}\text{(k×1)}$ and $\text{q}\text{(l×1)}$ are being estimated. Assuming that $\text{Z}\text{=}\text{FL}\text{+}\text{R}$, where $\text{L}\text{(k×l)}$ is non-random, and the rows of $\text{R}\text{(n×l)}$ are i.i.d. $\text{N(}\text{0}\text{,Σ)}$, we extend Tsukanov's results by (i) computing E(detH_p), where H_p is the covariance matrix of p?, the l.s.e. of p, (ii) considering ‘optimality in the mean’ for the largest root criterion, (iii) discussing these equations when the matrix R has a left-spherical distribution.     

Combining coordinates in simultaneous estimation of normal means

The problem of combining coordinates in Stein-type estimators, when simultaneously estimating normal means, is considered. The question of deciding whether to use all coordinates in one combined shrinkage estimator or to separate into groups and use separate shrinkage estimators on each group is considered. A Bayesian viewpoint is (of necessity) taken, and it is shown that the ‘combined’ estimator is, somewhat surprisingly, often superior.     

Invariant tests for the equality of k scale parameters under spherical symmetry

We consider tests for scale parameters when the underlying distribution belongs to the class of spherically symmetric laws. A (nx1) random vector x has a spherically symmetric distribution if the distribution of x is identical to the distribution of Px for all (n×n) orthogonal matrices P. Using the principle of invariance we show that the usual normal-theory tests are not only invariant tests but are also exactly robust with respect to this class of spherically symmetric laws.     

Sequence-compound estimation in scale-exponential families and speed of convergence

This paper deals with a sequence-compound estimation. The component problem is the squared error loss estimation of θ?[a,b] based on an observation X whose p.d.f. is of the form $\text{u(x)c(θ)}\text{exp}\text{(?}\text{x}\text{θ}\text{)}$. For each $\text{0<t<}\text{1}\text{2}$ a class of sequence-compound estimators $\text{ψ}\text{?}\text{=}\text{ψ}\text{?}{}_1\text{,}\text{ψ}\text{?}{}_2\text{,…)}$ is exhibited whose compound risk (average of risks) up to stage n differs from the Bayes envelope (in the component problem) w.r.t. the empiric distribution G_n of the parameters involved up to stage n by a quantity of order O(n^?δt) for a δ>0. It is also shown that at any stage i the difference of the risk of ψ?_i and the risk of the Bayes response w.r.t. G_i?1 is O(i^?δt). Examples of the above type of families are given where δ is min{1,$\text{2a}\text{b}$} and t is arbitrarily close to $\text{1}\text{2}$. Here it may be worthwhile to mention that a rate $\text{O}\text{(n}{}^{\mathrm{<mtext>?</mtext><mtext>1</mtext><mtext>2</mtext>}}\text{)}$ or better has not yet been obtained even in a very special family of densities.     

Effect of correlation on the estimation of a mean in the presence of spurious observations

This paper examines the effect of correlation of observations on estimators of a mean which are designed to guard against the possibility of spurious observations (that is, observations generated in a manner not intended). The mean squared error, premium and protection of these estimators are evaluated and discussed for some specific correlation structures.     

Implications of survey design for generalized regression estimation of linear functions

The paper presents a general randomization theory approach to point and interval estimation of Q linear functions T_q = Σ^N₁c_kqY_k(q = 1,…,Q), where Y₁,…,Y_N are values of a variable of interest Y in a finite population. Such linear functions include population and domain means and totals, population regression coefficients, etc. We assume that some auxiliary information can be exploited. This suggests the generalized regression technique based on the fit of a linear model, whereby is created approximately design unbiased estimators T?_q. The paper focuses on estimation of the variance-covariance matrix of the T?_q for single stage and two stage designs. Two techniques based on Taylor expansions are compared. Results of Monte-Carlo experiments (not reported here) show that the coverage properties are good of normal-theory confidence intervals flowing from one or the other variance estimate.     

The Likelihood Ratio Test for the Presence of Immunes in a Censored Sample

Models for populations with immune or cured individuals but with others subject to failure are important in many areas, such as medical statistics and criminology. One method of analysis of data from such populations involves estimating an immune proportion 1 ? p and the parameter(s) of a failure distribution for those individuals subject to failure. We use the exponential distribution with parameter λ for the latter and a mixture of this distribution with a mass 1 ? p at infinity to model the complete data. This paper develops the asymptotic theory of a test for whether an immune proportion is indeed present in the population, i.e., for H ₀:p = 1. This involves testing at the boundary of the parameter space for p. We use a likelihood ratio test for H ₀. and prove that minus twice the logarithm of the likelihood ratio has as an asymptotic distribution, not the chi-square distribution, but a 50–50 mixture of a chi-square distribution with 1 degree of freedom, and a point mass at 0. The result is proved under an independent censoring assumption with very mild restrictions.     

Sequential estimation for a family of counting processes in the nuisance parameter case

The paper deals with the problem of sequential estimation for stochastic processes in the presence of a nuisance parameter. Using the approach to estimation through estimating equations, optimum estimating functions based on a random observation time are investigated in some models for processes appearing in reliability systems theory.     

A remark on the Bahadur representation of sample quantiles for negatively associated sequences

Under mild conditions, we investigate further the Bahadur representation of sample quantiles for negatively associated sequences, whose convergence rate is faster than the corresponding one in Ling (2008).