On the small sample properties of norm-restricted maximum likelihood estimators for logistic regression models

This paper develops alternatives to maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) for logistic regression models and compares the mean squared error (MSE) of the estimators. The MLE for the vector of underlying success probabilities has low MSE only when the true probabilities are extreme (i.e., near 0 or 1). Extreme probabilities correspond to logistic regression parameter vectors which are large in norm. A competing “restricted” MLE and an empirical version of it are suggested as estimators with better performance than the MLE for central probabilities. An approximate EM-algorithm for estimating the restriction is described. As in the case of normal theory ridge estimators, the proposed estimators are shown to be formally derivable by Bayes and empirical Bayes arguments. The small sample operating characteristics of the proposed estimators are compared to the MLE via a simulation study; both the estimation of individual probabilities and of logistic parameters are considered.     

A pseudo restricted MLE under multivariate order restrictions and its algorithm

Abstract

It is shown in this paper that a quasi order for the vectors in R^p is a cone induced if and only if the order is preservable under limits and under linear combinations with non-negative coefficients. For the mean vectors in MANOVA subject to the restriction of simple ordering, a pseudo restricted MLE is proposed. This estimator is a matrix projection onto a closed convex set inside the restricted domain. An algorithm for the pseudo restricted MLE is developed, that computes the matrix projections using only vector projections.     

Estimation of two ordered normal means when a covariance matrix is known

Estimation of two normal means with an order restriction is considered when a covariance matrix is known. It is shown that restricted maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) stochastically dominates both estimators proposed by Hwang and Peddada [Confidence interval estimation subject to order restrictions. Ann Statist. 1994;22(1):67–93] and Peddada et al. [Estimation of order-restricted means from correlated data. Biometrika. 2005;92:703–715]. The estimators are also compared under the Pitman nearness criterion and it is shown that the MLE is closer to ordered means than the other two estimators. Estimation of linear functions of ordered means is also considered and a necessary and sufficient condition on the coefficients is given for the MLE to dominate the other estimators in terms of mean squared error.     

On the restricted almost unbiased estimators in linear regression

In this paper, the restricted almost unbiased ridge regression estimator and restricted almost unbiased Liu estimator are introduced for the vector of parameters in a multiple linear regression model with linear restrictions. The bias, variance matrices and mean square error (MSE) of the proposed estimators are derived and compared. It is shown that the proposed estimators will have smaller quadratic bias but larger variance than the corresponding competitors in literatures. However, they will respectively outperform the latter according to the MSE criterion under certain conditions. Finally, a simulation study and a numerical example are given to illustrate some of the theoretical results.     

Simultaneous estimation of restricted location parameters based on permutation and sign-change

The problem of simultaneously estimating location parameters is addressed, where the vector of location parameters belongs to a polyhedral cone including simple order, tree order and positive orthant restrictions and so forth. This paper proposes modified estimators based on orthogonal transformations such as sign-change and permutation and proves that, in a multivariate location family, the modified estimators are minimax under quadratic loss. Shrinkage minimax estimators improving on the modified estimators are obtained for a restricted mean vector of spherically symmetric distribution. An application of sign-change transformation is also given in estimation of a bounded normal mean.     

The relative efficiency of the restricted estimators in linear regression models

This paper deals with the problem of multicollinearity in a multiple linear regression model with linear equality restrictions. The restricted two parameter estimator which was proposed in case of multicollinearity satisfies the restrictions. The performance of the restricted two parameter estimator over the restricted least squares (RLS) estimator and the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator is examined under the mean square error (MSE) matrix criterion when the restrictions are correct and not correct. The necessary and sufficient conditions for the restricted ridge regression, restricted Liu and restricted shrunken estimators, which are the special cases of the restricted two parameter estimator, to have a smaller MSE matrix than the RLS and the OLS estimators are derived when the restrictions hold true and do not hold true. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples based on Webster, Gunst and Mason data and Gorman and Toman data. We conduct a final demonstration of the performance of the estimators by running a Monte Carlo simulation which shows that when the variance of the error term and the correlation between the explanatory variables are large, the restricted two parameter estimator performs better than the RLS estimator and the OLS estimator under the configurations examined.     

New Shrinkage Parameters for the Liu-type Logistic Estimators

The binary logistic regression is a widely used statistical method when the dependent variable has two categories. In most of the situations of logistic regression, independent variables are collinear which is called the multicollinearity problem. It is known that multicollinearity affects the variance of maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) negatively. Therefore, this article introduces new shrinkage parameters for the Liu-type estimators in the Liu (2003) in the logistic regression model defined by Huang (2012) in order to decrease the variance and overcome the problem of multicollinearity. A Monte Carlo study is designed to show the goodness of the proposed estimators over MLE in the sense of mean squared error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE). Moreover, a real data case is given to demonstrate the advantages of the new shrinkage parameters.     

On second-order admissibilities of the estimators of gamma shape vector

Simultaneous estimation problem of gamma shape vector is considered.First, it is shown that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), the bias corrected MLE, and the conditional MLE of shape vector are second-order inadmissible. Second, these estimators are improved up to the second order. Finally, we identify whether these improved estimators are second-order admissible or not. Simulation studies are also given.     

Norm restricted maximum likelihood estimators for binary regression models with parametric link

Parametric link transformation families have shown to be useful in the analysis of binary regression data since they avoid th? problem of link misspecifaction. Inference for these models are commonly based on likelihood methods. Duffy and Santner (1988, 1989) however showed that ordinary logistic maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) have poor mean square error (MSE) behavior in small samples compared to alternative norm restricted estimators. This paper extends these alternative norm restricted estimators to binary regression models with any specified parametric link family. These extended norm restricted MLE's are strongly consistent and efficient under regularity conditions. Finally a simulation study shows that an empiric version of norm restricted MLE's exhibit superior MSE behavior in small samples compared to MLE's with fixed known link.     

Performance of ridge estimator in inverse Gaussian regression model

The presence of multicollinearity among the explanatory variables has undesirable effects on the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). Ridge estimator (RE) is a widely used estimator in overcoming this issue. The RE enjoys the advantage that its mean squared error (MSE) is less than that of MLE. The inverse Gaussian regression (IGR) model is a well-known model in the application when the response variable positively skewed. The purpose of this paper is to derive the RE of the IGR under multicollinearity problem. In addition, the performance of this estimator is investigated under numerous methods for estimating the ridge parameter. Monte Carlo simulation results indicate that the suggested estimator performs better than the MLE estimator in terms of MSE. Furthermore, a real chemometrics dataset application is utilized and the results demonstrate the excellent performance of the suggested estimator when the multicollinearity is present in IGR model.     

Estimating the correlation coefficient in the presence of correlated observations from a bivariate normal population

Estimation of the correlation coefficient between two variates (p) in the presence of correlated observations from a bivar iate normal population is considered The estimated maximum likelihood estimator (EMLE), an estimate based on the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), is proposed and studied for the estimation of p For the large sample case , approximate expressions foi the variance and the bias of the Pearson estimate of the correlation coefficient are derived. These expressions suggests that the Pearson’s estimator possesses high mean square error (MSE) in estimating ρ in comparison to the MLE The MSE is particularly high when the observations within clusters aie highly correlated. The Pearson’s estimate, the MLE, and the EMLE aie evaluated in a simulation study This study shows that the proposed EMLE pefoims bettei than the Pearson’s correlation coefficient except when the number of clusters is small.     

The validation of a beta-binomial model for overdispersed binomial data

The beta-binomial model has been widely used as an analytically tractable alternative that captures the overdispersion of an intra-correlated, binomial random variable, X. However, the model validation for X has been rarely investigated. As a beta-binomial mass function takes on a few different shapes, the model validation is examined for each of the classified shapes in this article. Further, the mean square error (MSE) is illustrated for each shape by the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) based on a beta-binomial model approach and the method of moments estimator (MME) in order to gauge when and how much the MLE is biased.     

Estimating ordered quantiles of two exponential populations with a common minimum guarantee time

The problem of estimating ordered quantiles of two exponential populations is considered, assuming equality of location parameters (minimum guarantee times), using the quadratic loss function. Under order restrictions, we propose new estimators which are the isotonized version of the MLEs, call it, restricted MLE. A sufficient condition for improving equivariant estimators is derived under order restrictions on the quantiles. Consequently, estimators improving upon the old estimators have been derived. A detailed numerical study has been done to evaluate the performance of proposed estimators using the Monte-Carlo simulation method and recommendations have been made for the use of the estimators.     

An Exact Algorithm for Projection onto a Polyhedral Cone

Projection is an operation widely used in restricted statistical inferences. A polyhedral cone restriction includes many interesting problems in linear regression, order restricted inferences etc. This paper proposes an exact algorithm for the projection of a vector onto a polyhedral cone, and presents an application to second order polynomial regression subject to a non-negative, isotonic restriction.     

Estimation for two-parameter weibull distribution and extreme-value distribution under multiply type-II censoring

Compared to Type-II censoring, multiply Type-II censoring is a more general, yet mathematically and numerically much more complicated censoring scheme. For multiply Type II censored data from a two-parameter Weibull distribution, we propose several estimators, including MLE, approximate MLE, and estimators corresponding to the BLUE and BLIE from estimating parameters in extreme-value distribution. An approximately unbiased estimator for the shape parameter is also proposed which has the smallest MSE. Numerical examples show that this estimator is the best in terms of bias and MSE. Numerical examples also show that the approximate MLE which admits a closed form is better for estimating the scale parameter.     

A Generalized Stochastic Restricted Ridge Regression Estimator

In this article, we introduce a new stochastic restricted estimator for the unknown vector parameter in the linear regression model when stochastic linear restrictions on the parameters hold. We show that the new estimator is a generalization of the ordinary mixed estimator (OME), Liu estimator (LE), ordinary ridge estimator (ORR), (k-d) class estimator, stochastic restricted Liu estimator (SRLE), and stochastic restricted ridge estimator (SRRE). Performance of the new estimator in comparison to other estimators in terms of the mean squares error matrix (MMSE) is examined. Numerical example from literature have been given to illustrate the results.     

Two kinds of restricted modified estimators in linear regression model

In this paper, we introduce two kinds of new restricted estimators called restricted modified Liu estimator and restricted modified ridge estimator based on prior information for the vector of parameters in a linear regression model with linear restrictions. Furthermore, the performance of the proposed estimators in mean squares error matrix sense is derived and compared. Finally, a numerical example and a Monte Carlo simulation are given to illustrate some of the theoretical results.     

Estimation for Continuous Branching Processes

The maximum-likelihood estimator for the curved exponential family given by continuous branching processes with immigration is investigated. These processes originated from population biology but also model the dynamics of interest rates and development of the state of technology in economics. It is proved that in contrast to branching processes with discrete space and/or time the MLE gives a unified approach to the inference. In order to include singular subdomains of the parameter space we modify the MLE slightly. Consistency and asymptotic normality for the MLE are considered. Concerning the asymptotic theory of the experiments, all three properties LAQ, LAN, and LAMN occur for different submodels     

Zero-inflated models and estimation in zero-inflated Poisson distribution

In this paper, we briefly overview different zero-inflated probability distributions. We compare the performance of the estimates of Poisson, Generalized Poisson, ZIP, ZIGP and ZINB models through Mean square error (MSE), bias and Standard error (SE) when the samples are generated from ZIP distribution. We propose a new estimator referred to as probability estimator (PE) of inflation parameter of ZIP distribution based on moment estimator (ME) of the mean parameter and compare its performance with ME and maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) through a simulation study. We use the PE along with ME and MLE to fit ZIP distribution to various zero-inflated datasets and observe that the results do not differ significantly. We recommend using PE in place of MLE since it is easy to calculate and the simulation study in this paper demonstrates that the PE performs as good as MLE irrespective of the sample size.     

The role of reversals in order‐restricted inference

A statistical model is said to be an order‐restricted statistical model when its parameter takes its values in a closed convex cone C of the Euclidean space. In recent years, order‐restricted likelihood ratio tests and maximum likelihood estimators have been criticized on the grounds that they may violate a cone order monotonicity (COM) property, and hence reverse the cone order induced by C. The authors argue here that these reversals occur only in the case that C is an obtuse cone, and that in this case COM is an inappropriate requirement for likelihood‐based estimates and tests. They conclude that these procedures thus remain perfectly reasonable procedures for order‐restricted inference.