THE THREAT OF VICTIMIZATION: A THEORETICAL RECONCEPTUALIZATION OF FEAR OF CRIME

Prior analysis in fear of crime research designates fear of crime as the dependent variable and designates independent variables that cause its existence. Two independent variables that are often discussed as causes of fear of crime are perceived risk and constrained behaviors. This paper critiques this conceptualization of fear of crime and argues that the focus of study should not be fear of crime but a larger construct called “the threat of victimization.” The threat of victimization consists of three components; the emotive component (fear of crime), the cognitive component (perceived risk), and the behavioral component (constrained behaviors). Therefore, fear of crime is not a consequence of perceived risk and constrained behaviors, but is instead involved in a complex reciprocal relationship with these two variables. This theoretical argument and its implications will be explored.     

ON THE AMBIGUITIES OF A SOCIOLOGICAL ANALYSIS OF THE CULTURE OF NARCISSISM

This article is devoted to an analysis of three sets of ambiguities underlying sociological analyses of the new culture of narcissism. The first set concerns the differential importance of childhood experiences and the contradictory cultural norms that regulate the placement of the adult self in time and space. The second set concerns the problem of whether these contradictions result from the structural characteristics of post-industrial societies or, alternatively, from the transition from a system of stratification based on production skills to one based on consumption patterns. Because we argue that narcissism is produced by such a transition and by concomitant anomic processes, the third set concerns the universal, unintentional and invarant properties attributed to sociopsychological responses to anomie. Examination of these ambiguities enables us to specify the additional analyses needed for a sociological understanding of narcissism, as well as the methodologies that such analyses require.     

THE EFFECT OF FEAR OF SEXUAL VICTIMIZATION ON ADOLESCENT FEAR OF CRIME

The author examines the effect of fear of sexual victimization on fear of crime among adolescents. Criminologists have indicated that gender is one of the strongest predictors of fear of crime: Women are more fearful than men. Some authors (Warr 1984, and Ferraro 1995, among others) have suggested that this differential fear among women can mostly be attributed to their inordinate fear of sexual victimization. This relationship, however, has only been examined among adults. Using a sample of 725 adolescents, the effect of fear of sexual victimization and other demographic and contextual variables on fear of criminal victimization is examined. Results indicate that fear of sexual victimization is the best predictor of fear of nonsexual victimization, whereas the effects of other variables are contingent on race and gender. The reasons for this finding, as well as the implications for social policies, are discussed.     

THE OPTIMAL DEFENSE OF NETWORKS OF TARGETS

This paper examines a game‐theoretic model of attack and defense of multiple networks of targets in which there exist intranetwork strategic complementarities among targets. The defender's objective is to successfully defend all the networks and the attacker's objective is to successfully attack at least one network of targets. Although there are multiple equilibria, we characterize correlation structures in the allocations of forces across targets that arise in all equilibria. For example, in all equilibria the attacker utilizes a stochastic “guerrilla warfare” strategy in which a single random network is attacked. (JEL C72, D74)     

东扩中央别墅区,格拉斯小镇升温"SINCE2006鲁能地产格拉斯别墅造镇计划"特刊之二

河流、船坞、码头,树林、繁花、星空,石阶、小径、青苔……这些从城市的记忆里逐渐消失的词汇,在百年历史的小镇里,却被再三强调,大肆书写!     

WEAPONS OF SEX,WEAPONS OF WAR

Recent international attention has focused on designations of rape and sexual violence in conflict zones. The most formative debates on this issue centre on the 1990s-era conflicts in the former Yugoslavia and Rwanda, which also involved heated debates amongst feminists over designations of rape as genocide. While the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda case, the Prosecutor v. Akayesu, resulted in the first formal charge of wartime rape as genocide within international criminal law, the first case to charge wartime rape as genocidal occurred in US federal court. This project looks for the overarching social and political meaning of the contemporary international legal focus on rape and sexual violence. It examines why, how, and to what extent US and transnational feminist legal academics and activists transmitted and secured their understandings of the relationships between sex, violence and ethno-religious difference within the international legal arena. In doing so, I argue that their participation in the contemporary recognition and narration of sexual injury in a global context both retreads and reconfigures the heated 1980s-era US Sex Wars debates on the workings of gender, sex, race and power.     

OUT OF SIGHT AND OUT OF MIND

Based on E.P. Thompson's insistence that cultural hegemony involves the creation of blinkers that open up certain venues of sight while closing down others, this essay relies on the faculty of seeing (or not-seeing) to suggest a critique of the critique of intellectual property rights. In the current climate of increasing intellectual property expansionism, the public domain has emerged the positive other, a shield against the missiles launched by the blitz-krieg inclined copyright holders, even perhaps a benevolent Dr Jekyll to ward off Mr Hyde's hyper-aggression. I will argue that two powerful rhetorical devices have become commonplace in the critique against the current intellectual property system and in defense of the value of the public domain: creativity and free/dom (or the ideas of free and freedom), and that these, far from being simple and universal categories, in fact are constructions that need to be further problematized and discussed. The ongoing copyright wars have resulted in a polarization of debate and ways of thinking that sometimes hide the complexities of the problem at hand. Instead, a more constructive way to approach the private/public matrix is to envision them not as static opposites, but as constituents of a field in constant flux. As we consider the public domain, must we also deal with intellectual property rights, or rather with flows of ownership between spheres that we sometimes define as private, sometimes as public.     

THE RISING COST OF TIME OF FEMALES, THE GROWTH OF NATIONAL BRANDS AND THE SUPPLY OF RETAIL SERVICES

A rise in the relative cost of time of women has increased the demand for brand names and reduced the demand for information traditionally supplied by retailers. A theory of the optimal allocation of shopping responsibilities in a two-earner household shows that a rise in the woman's wage increases the demand for brand names by more than an increase in the man's wage. An increase in the relative earnings of women is related to a rise in male shopping, the growth of trademark filings, an increase in manufacturer advertising, and a reduction in retail personal services in several industries.     

THE ANALYSIS OF THE PREDICTABILITY OF LOTTERY NUMBER

The article first briefly review the origin and development of the lottery, sums up the previous literature, think the lottery is random lottery and is predictable; Then, through the analysis of the mechanics of the SSC of the ratio of betting amount to award setting and the winning probability, combined with the trend and probability theory, this paper proposes a lottery number prediction method; Finally, as for the proposed prediction method with practice, using the method of historical data test and practical test, the effectiveness of the methods made records and statistics, prove the feasibility of lottery prediction and the prediction method is effective.     

TREATMENT OF MARITAL CONFLICT AND PREVENTION OF DIVORCE

This paper provides a review of previous literature reviews on the effectiveness of marital therapy and evaluates the long-term efficacy of couples therapy in preventing marital separation and divorce. There is general agreement that marital therapy can be effective in reducing marital conflict and promoting marital satisfaction, at least in the short term. Research examining the long-term efficacy of couples therapy for the prevention of marital separation and divorce is sparse but promising with respect to its effectiveness in promoting marital stability. Predictors of successful marital therapy outcomes, the clinical significance of marital therapy outcomes, and the cost effectiveness of marital therapy are also discussed.     

STRUCTURAL ESTIMATION OF SEQUENTIAL GAMES OF COMPLETE INFORMATION

In models of strategic interaction, there may be important order of entry effects if one player can credibly commit to an action (e.g., entry) before other players. If one estimates a simultaneous‐move model, then the move‐order effects will be confounded with the payoffs. This article considers nonparametric identification and simulation‐based estimation of sequential games of complete information. Relative to simultaneous‐move games, these models avoid the problem of multiple equilibria and require fewer payoff normalizations. We apply the estimator in several Monte Carlo experiments and to study entry‐order effects using data from the airline industry. (JEL C57, C15, L93)