The inverse problem of multivariate and matrix-variate skew normal distributions

In this paper, we prove that the joint distribution of random vectors Z ₁ and Z ₂ and the distribution of Z ₂ are skew normal provided that Z ₁ is skew normally distributed and Z ₂ conditioning on Z ₁ is distributed as closed skew normal. Also, we extend the main results to the matrix variate case.     

Objective Bayesian Analysis of Skew‐t Distributions

Abstract. We study the Jeffreys prior and its properties for the shape parameter of univariate skew‐t distributions with linear and nonlinear Student's t skewing functions. In both cases, we show that the resulting priors for the shape parameter are symmetric around zero and proper. Moreover, we propose a Student's t approximation of the Jeffreys prior that makes an objective Bayesian analysis easy to perform. We carry out a Monte Carlo simulation study that demonstrates an overall better behaviour of the maximum a posteriori estimator compared with the maximum likelihood estimator. We also compare the frequentist coverage of the credible intervals based on the Jeffreys prior and its approximation and show that they are similar. We further discuss location‐scale models under scale mixtures of skew‐normal distributions and show some conditions for the existence of the posterior distribution and its moments. Finally, we present three numerical examples to illustrate the implications of our results on inference for skew‐t distributions.     

A multimodal skewed extension of normal distribution: its properties and applications

A multimodal skewed extension of normal distribution is proposed by applying the general method as in [Huang WJ, Chen YH. Generalized skew-Cauchy distribution. Stat Probab Lett. 2007;77:1137–1147] for the construction of skew-symmetric distributions by using a trigonometric periodic skew function. Some of its distributional properties are investigated. Properties of maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters are studied numerically by simulation. The suitability of the proposed distribution in empirical data modelling is investigated by carrying out comparative fitting of two real-life data sets.     

On multiple constraint skewed models

The Azzalini [A. Azzalini, A class of distributions which includes the normal ones, Scandi. J. Statist. 12 (1985), pp. 171–178.] skew normal model can be viewed as one involving normal components subject to a single linear constraint. As a natural extension of this model, we discuss skewed models involving multiple linear and nonlinear constraints and possibly non-normal components. Particular attention is devoted to a distribution called the extended two-piece normal (ETN) distribution. This model is a two-constraint extension of the two-piece normal model introduced by Kim [H.J. Kim, On a class of two-piece skew normal distributions, Statistics 39(6) (2005), pp. 537–553.]. Likelihood inference for the ETN distribution is developed and illustrated using two data sets.     

A new skew-bimodal distribution with applications

The modeling and analysis of experiments is an important aspect of statistical work in a wide variety of scientific and technological fields. We introduce and study the odd log-logistic skew-normal model, which can be interpreted as a generalization of the skew-normal distribution. The new distribution can be used effectively in the analysis of experiments data since it accommodates unimodal, bimodal, symmetric, bimodal and right-skewed, and bimodal and left-skewed density function depending on the parameter values. We illustrate the importance of the new model by means of three real data sets in analysis of experiments.     

A generalized two-piece skew normal distribution and some of its properties

In this paper, we develop a generalized version of the two-piece skew normal distribution of Kim [On a class of two-piece skew-normal distributions, Statistics 39(6) (2005), pp. 537–553] and derive explicit expressions for its distribution function and characteristic function and discuss some of its important properties. Further estimation of the parameters of the generalized distribution is carried out.     

Bayesian analysis of multivariate stochastic volatility with skew return distribution

Multivariate stochastic volatility models with skew distributions are proposed. Exploiting Cholesky stochastic volatility modeling, univariate stochastic volatility processes with leverage effect and generalized hyperbolic skew t-distributions are embedded to multivariate analysis with time-varying correlations. Bayesian modeling allows this approach to provide parsimonious skew structure and to easily scale up for high-dimensional problem. Analyses of daily stock returns are illustrated. Empirical results show that the time-varying correlations and the sparse skew structure contribute to improved prediction performance and Value-at-Risk forecasts.     

Models for Extremal Dependence Derived from Skew‐symmetric Families

Skew‐symmetric families of distributions such as the skew‐normal and skew‐t represent supersets of the normal and t distributions, and they exhibit richer classes of extremal behaviour. By defining a non‐stationary skew‐normal process, which allows the easy handling of positive definite, non‐stationary covariance functions, we derive a new family of max‐stable processes – the extremal skew‐t process. This process is a superset of non‐stationary processes that include the stationary extremal‐t processes. We provide the spectral representation and the resulting angular densities of the extremal skew‐t process and illustrate its practical implementation.     

Shannon Entropy and Mutual Information for Multivariate Skew‐Elliptical Distributions

Abstract. The entropy and mutual information index are important concepts developed by Shannon in the context of information theory. They have been widely studied in the case of the multivariate normal distribution. We first extend these tools to the full symmetric class of multivariate elliptical distributions and then to the more flexible families of multivariate skew‐elliptical distributions. We study in detail the cases of the multivariate skew‐normal and skew‐t distributions. We implement our findings to the application of the optimal design of an ozone monitoring station network in Santiago de Chile.     

The Skew‐normal Distribution and Related Multivariate Families*

Abstract. This paper provides an introductory overview of a portion of distribution theory which is currently under intense development. The starting point of this topic has been the so‐called skew‐normal distribution, but the connected area is becoming increasingly broad, and its branches include now many extensions, such as the skew‐elliptical families, and some forms of semi‐parametric formulations, extending the relevance of the field much beyond the original theme of ‘skewness’. The final part of the paper illustrates connections with various areas of application, including selective sampling, models for compositional data, robust methods, some problems in econometrics, non‐linear time series, especially in connection with financial data, and more.     

Is a Brownian Motion Skew?

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the maximum likelihood estimator corresponding to the observation of a trajectory of a skew Brownian motion, through a uniform time discretization. We characterize the speed of convergence and the limiting distribution when the step size goes to zero, which in this case are non‐classical, under the null hypothesis of the skew Brownian motion being an usual Brownian motion. This allows to design a test on the skewness parameter. We show that numerical simulations can be easily performed to estimate the skewness parameter and provide an application in Biology.     

Truncated-exponential skew-symmetric distributions

The family of skew distributions introduced by Azzalini and extended by others has received widespread attention. However, it suffers from complicated inference procedures. In this paper, a new family of skew distributions that overcomes the difficulties is introduced. This new family belongs to the exponential family. Many properties of this family are studied, inference procedures developed and simulation studies performed to assess the procedures. Some particular cases of this family, evidence of its flexibility and a real data application are presented. At least 10 advantages of the new family over Azzalini's distributions are established.     

Statistical Analysis of Heat Waves in the State of Victoria in Australia

The recent blistering heat waves of 2009 in the state of Victoria in Australia were so unprecedented in terms of duration and intensity that society was largely unprepared. These heat waves caused serious health, social and economic problems. In this paper, the daily maximum temperatures at ten selected stations are studied. Auto‐regressive integrated moving‐average models are used to prewhiten the time series. Uncorrelated, non‐normal and heavy‐tailed residuals are analyzed by means of a new skew t‐mixture distribution. The number of mixture components is effectively determined by an innovative penalisation procedure. It is shown that the resulting skew t‐mixture models provide an acceptable fit in all cases. Possible future temperature patterns are obtained through simulation. It is forecast that the average duration of high temperature episodes will increase by two to three days per year and a new eight‐year high temperature level is very likely in the coming few years. The relationship between heavy tail behaviour of the fitted distribution and heat waves is noteworthy.     

Performance of extrapolation based on Pitman's measure of closeness in spatial regression models with extended skew t innovations

Pitman's measure of closeness and mean square error of prediction are two well-known criteria for comparison between estimators and also between predictors. In a stationary first order multiplicative spatial autoregressive model, interpolation and extrapolation are compared based on these two criteria. A wide class of different innovation types are also studied containing Gaussian, exponential, asymmetric Laplace and extended skew t distributions.     

The power series skew normal class of distributions

A class of power series skew normal distributions is introduced by generalizing the geometric skew normal distribution of Kundu. Various mathematical properties are derived and estimation addressed by the method of maximum likelihood. The data application of Kundu [Sankhyā B, 76, 2014, 167–189] is revisited and the proposed class is shown to provide a better fit.     

关于斜Laplace分布与Levy偏稳定分布的性质

目前有关重尾或偏态数据的统计分析和理论模型相对较少,基于传统的Laplace分布,提出一种处理偏态和重尾数据的新模型——斜Laplace分布,以研究其参数估计方法。利用数理统计知识推导出该分布与一些常见分布(如正态分布、指数分布)间的统计关系,并给出一种可通过设置不同参数值得到不同分布的Levy偏稳定分布及其稳定性。     

The beta skew-generalized normal distribution

In this article, we develop the skew-generalized normal distribution introduced by Arellano-Valle et al. (2004 Arellano-Valle, R.B., Gomez, H.W., Quintana, F.A. (2004). A new class of skew-normal distribution. Commun. Stat. - Theory Methods. 33(7):1465–1480.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to a new family of the Beta skew-generalized normal (BSGN) distribution . Here, we present some theorems and properties of BSGN distribution and obtain its moment-generating function.     

Characteristic function of the SGT distribution

An explicit closed form is derived for the characteristic function for the skew generalized t distribution studied by Arslan and Genç [The skew generalized t (SGT) distribution as the scale mixture of a skew exponential power distribution and its applications in robust estimation, Statistics 43(5) (2009), pp. 481–498]. The expression involves the Wright generalized hypergeometric Ψ–function.     

Mean-shift outliers model in skew scale-mixtures of normal distributions

ABSTRACT

Asymmetric models have been discussed quite extensively in recent years, in situations where the normality assumption is suspected due to lack of symmetry in the data. Techniques for assessing the quality of fit and diagnostic analysis are important for model validation. This paper presents a study of the mean-shift method for the detection of outliers in regression models under skew scale-mixtures of normal distributions. Analytical solutions for the estimators of the parameters are obtained through the use of Expectation–Maximization algorithm. The observed information matrix for the calculation of standard errors is obtained for each distribution. Simulation studies and an application to the analysis of a data have been carried out, showing the efficiency of the proposed method in detecting outliers.     

Inference and diagnostics in skew scale mixtures of normal regression models

Skew scale mixtures of normal distributions are often used for statistical procedures involving asymmetric data and heavy-tailed. The main virtue of the members of this family of distributions is that they are easy to simulate from and they also supply genuine expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation. In this paper, we extend the EM algorithm for linear regression models and we develop diagnostics analyses via local influence and generalized leverage, following Zhu and Lee's approach. This is because Cook's well-known approach cannot be used to obtain measures of local influence. The EM-type algorithm has been discussed with an emphasis on the skew Student-t-normal, skew slash, skew-contaminated normal and skew power-exponential distributions. Finally, results obtained for a real data set are reported, illustrating the usefulness of the proposed method.