A Comparison of Procedures for Controlling the False Discovery Rate in the Presence of Small Variance Genes: A Simulation Study

The Significance Analysis of Microarrays (SAM; Tusher et al., 2001 Tusher , V. G. , Tibshirani , R. , Chu , G. ( 2001 ). Significance analysis of microarrys applied to the ionizing radiation response . Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 98 : 5116 – 5121 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) method is widely used in analyzing gene expression data while controlling the FDR by using resampling-based procedure in the microarray setting. One of the main components of the SAM procedure is the adjustment of the test statistic. The introduction of the fudge factor to the test statistic aims at deflating the large value of test statistics due to the small standard error of gene-expression. Lin et al. (2008 Lin , D. , Shkedy , Z. , Burzykowski , T. , Göhlmann , H. W. H. , De Bondt , A. , Perera , T. , Geerts , T. , Bijnens , L. ( 2008 ). Significance analysis of microarray (SAM) for comparisons of several treatments with one control . Biometric Journal, MCP 50 ( 5 ): 801 – 823 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) pointed out that the fudge factor does not effectively improve the power and the control of the FDR as compared to the SAM procedure without the fudge factor in the presence of small variance genes. Motivated by the simulation results presented in Lin et al. (2008 Lin , D. , Shkedy , Z. , Burzykowski , T. , Göhlmann , H. W. H. , De Bondt , A. , Perera , T. , Geerts , T. , Bijnens , L. ( 2008 ). Significance analysis of microarray (SAM) for comparisons of several treatments with one control . Biometric Journal, MCP 50 ( 5 ): 801 – 823 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), in this article, we extend our study to compare several methods for choosing the fudge factor in the modified t-type test statistics and use simulation studies to investigate the power and the control of the FDR of the considered methods.     

The Identification of Potential Longitudinal Biomarkers and Measurements of Effectiveness for Biomarkers as Surrogates in Multivariate Survival Data

A proposed method based on frailty models is used to identify longitudinal biomarkers or surrogates for a multivariate survival. This method is an extention of earlier models by Wulfsohn and Tsiatis (1997 Wulfsohn , M. S. , Tsiatis , A. A. ( 1997 ). A joint model for survival and longitudinal data measured with error . Biometrics 53 ( 1 ): 330 – 339 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Song et al. (2002 Song , X. , Davidian , M. , Tsiatis , A. A. ( 2002 ). A Semiparametric likelihood approach to joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data . Biometrics 58 ( 4 ): 742 – 753 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). In this article, similar to Henderson et al. (2002 Henderson , R. , Diggle , P. J. , Dobson , A. ( 2002 ). Identification and efficacy of longitudinal markers for survival . Biostatistics 3 ( 1 ): 33 – 50 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), a joint likelihood function combines the likelihood functions of the longitudinal biomarkers and the multivariate survival times. We use simulations to explore how the number of individuals, the number of time points per individual and the functional form of the random effects from the longitudianl biomarkers influence the power to detect the association of a longitudinal biomarker and the multivariate survival time. The proposed method is illustrate by using the gastric cancer data.     

On Joint Determination of the Number of States and the Number of Variables in Markov-Switching Models: A Monte Carlo Study

In this article, we examine the performance of two newly developed procedures that jointly select the number of states and variables in Markov-switching models by means of Monte Carlo simulations. They are Smith et al. (2006 Smith , A. , Naik , P. A. , Tsai , C. ( 2006 ). Markov-switching model selection using Kullback–Leibler divergence . Journal of Econometrics 134 ( 2 ): 553 – 577 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Psaradakis and Spagnolo (2006 Psaradakis , Z. , Spagnolo , N. ( 2006 ). Joint determination of the state dimension and autoregressive order for models with Markov regime switching . Journal of Time Series Analysis 27 ( 2 ): 753 – 766 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), respectively. The former develops Markov switching criterion (MSC) designed specifically for Markov-switching models, while the latter recommends the use of standard complexity-penalised information criteria (BIC, HQC, and AIC) in joint determination of the state dimension and the autoregressive order of Markov-switching models. The Monte Carlo evidence shows that BIC outperforms MSC while MSC and HQC are preferable over AIC.     

A Generalization to Bivariate Mittag–Leffler and Bivariate Discrete Mittag–Leffler Autoregressive Processes

A generalization of the Gaver and Lewis (1980 Gaver , D. P. , Lewis , P. A. W. ( 1980 ). First order autoregressive gamma sequences and point processes . Adv. Appl. Probab. 12 : 727 – 745 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) model of first-order autoregressive process with marginals as bivariate Mittag–Leffler distribution is obtained. A necessary and sufficient condition for stationarity of the process is established. Autoregressive process with marginals follow bivariate discrete Mittag–Leffler distribution is also developed. The unknown parameters of the processes are estimated and some numerical results of the estimations are given.     

Estimating Incidence Rate on Current Status Data with Application to a Phase IV Cancer Trial

New drug discovery in the pediatrics has dramatically improved survival, but with long- term adverse events. This motivates the examination of adverse outcomes such as long-term toxicity in a phase IV trial. An ideal approach to monitor long-term toxicity is to systematically follow the survivors, which is generally not feasible. Instead, cross-sectional surveys are conducted in Hudson et al. (2007 Hudson , M. M. , Rai , S. N. , Nunez , C. , Merchant , T. E. , Marina , N. M. , Zalamea , N. , Cox , C. , Phipps , S. , Pompeu , R. , Rosenthal , D. ( 2007 ). Noninvasive evaluation of late anthracycline cardiac toxicity in childhood cancer survivors . J. Clin. Oncol. 25 : 3635 – 3643 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), with one of the objectives to estimate the cumulative incidence rates along with specific interest in fixed-term (5 or 10 year) rates. We present inference procedures based on current status data to our motivating example with very interesting findings.     

On Testing Sample Selection Bias Under the Multicollinearity Problem

ABSTRACT

This paper reviews and extends the literature on the finite sample behavior of tests for sample selection bias. Monte Carlo results show that, when the “multicollinearity problem” identified by Nawata (1993 Nawata , K. ( 1993 ). A note on the estimation of models with sample-selection biases . Economics Letters 42 : 15 – 24 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) is severe, (i) the t-test based on the Heckman–Greene variance estimator can be unreliable, (ii) the Likelihood Ratio test remains powerful, and (iii) nonnormality can be interpreted as severe sample selection bias by Maximum Likelihood methods, leading to negative Wald statistics. We also confirm previous findings (Leung and Yu, 1996 Leung , S. F. , Yu , S. ( 1996 ). On the choice between sample selection and two-part models . Journal of Econometrics 72 : 197 – 229 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) that the standard regression-based t-test (Heckman, 1979 Heckman , J. J. ( 1979 ). Sample selection bias as a specification error . Econometrica 47 : 153 – 161 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and the asymptotically efficient Lagrange Multiplier test (Melino, 1982 Melino , A. ( 1982 ). Testing for sample selection bias . Review of Economic Studies 49 : 151 – 153 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), are robust to nonnormality but have very little power.     

On Complete Convergence for Arrays of Dependent Random Variables

A complete convergence theorem for an array of rowwise independent random variables was established by Sung et al. (2005 Sung , S. H. , Volodin , A. I. , Hu , T.-C. ( 2005 ). More on complete convergence for arrays . Statist. Probab. Lett. 71 : 303 – 311 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). This result has been generalized and extended by Kruglov et al. (2006 Kruglov , V. M. , Volodin , A. I. , Hu , T.-C. ( 2006 ). On complete convergence for arrays . Statist. Probab. Lett. 76 : 1631 – 1640 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Chen et al. (2007 Chen , P. , Hu , T.-C. , Liu , X. , Volodin , A. ( 2007 ). On complete convergence for arrays of rowwise negatively associated random variables . Theor. Probab. Appl. 52 : 393 – 397 . [Google Scholar]). In this article, we extend the results of Sung et al. (2005 Sung , S. H. , Volodin , A. I. , Hu , T.-C. ( 2005 ). More on complete convergence for arrays . Statist. Probab. Lett. 71 : 303 – 311 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Kruglov et al. (2006 Kruglov , V. M. , Volodin , A. I. , Hu , T.-C. ( 2006 ). On complete convergence for arrays . Statist. Probab. Lett. 76 : 1631 – 1640 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Chen et al. (2007 Chen , P. , Hu , T.-C. , Liu , X. , Volodin , A. ( 2007 ). On complete convergence for arrays of rowwise negatively associated random variables . Theor. Probab. Appl. 52 : 393 – 397 . [Google Scholar]) to an array of dependent random variables satisfying Hoffmann-Jørgensen type inequalities.     

Empirical Likelihood Ratio for Linear Transformation Models with Doubly Censored Data

Double censoring arises when T represents an outcome variable that can only be accurately measured within a certain range, [L, U], where L and U are the left- and right-censoring variables, respectively. When L is always observed, we consider the empirical likelihood inference for linear transformation models, based on the martingale-type estimating equation proposed by Chen et al. (2002 Chen , K. , Jin , Z. , Ying , Z. ( 2002 ). Semiparametric analysis of transformation models with censored data . Biometrika 89 : 659 – 668 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). It is demonstrated that both the approach of Lu and Liang (2006 Lu , W. , Liang , Y. ( 2006 ). Empirical likelihood inference for linear transformation models . Journal of Multivariate Analysis 97 : 1586 – 1599 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and that of Yu et al. (2011 Yu , W. , Sun , Y. , Zheng , M. ( 2011 ). Empirical likelihood method for linear transformation models . Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 63 : 331 – 346 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) can be extended to doubly censored data. Simulation studies are conducted to investigate the performance of the empirical likelihood ratio methods.     

A Unified Approach to Ordering Comparison of GPS Distributions with their Mixtures

Recently, several authors have been concerned with ordering comparison of known distributions of the family of generalized power series (GPS) distributions with their mixtures in various senses. In this article, we shall employ a unified approach and obtain similar results, more generally, for all members of the class of the GPS distributions. Some of the previous findings of Misra et al. (2003 Misra , N. , Singh , H. , Harner , E. J. ( 2003 ). Stochastic comparisons of Poisson and binomial random variables with their mixtures . Statist. Probab. Lett. 65 : 279 – 290 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Alamatsaz and Abbasi (2008 Alamatsaz , M. H. , Abbasi , S. ( 2008 ). Ordering comparison of negative binomial random variables with their mixtures . Statist. Probab. Lett. 78 : 2234 – 2239 . [Google Scholar]), and Aghababaei Jazi and Alamatsaz (2010 Aghababaei Jazi , M. , Alamatsaz , M. H. ( 2010 ). Ordering comparison of logarithmic series random variables with their mixtures . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 39 : 3252 – 3263 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) in this connection, then, follow as corollaries. Further, we have derived some more ordering comparison results.     

Marginal correlation from an extended random-effects model for repeated and overdispersed counts

Vangeneugden et al. [15 Vangeneugden, T., Molenberghs, G., Laenen, A., Geys, H., Beunckens, C. and Sotto, C. 2007. Marginal correlation in longitudinal binary data based on generalized linear mixed models, Tech. Rep., Hasselt University. submitted for publication [Google Scholar]] derived approximate correlation functions for longitudinal sequences of general data type, Gaussian and non-Gaussian, based on generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMM). Their focus was on binary sequences, as well as on a combination of binary and Gaussian sequences. Here, we focus on the specific case of repeated count data, important in two respects. First, we employ the model proposed by Molenberghs et al. [13 Molenberghs, G., Verbeke, G. and Demétrio, C. G.B. 2007. An extended random-effects approach to modeling repeated, overdispersed count data. Lifetime Data Anal., 13: 513–531. [Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]], which generalizes at the same time the Poisson-normal GLMM and the conventional overdispersion models, in particular the negative-binomial model. The model flexibly accommodates data hierarchies, intra-sequence correlation, and overdispersion. Second, means, variances, and joint probabilities can be expressed in closed form, allowing for exact intra-sequence correlation expressions. Next to the general situation, some important special cases such as exchangeable clustered outcomes are considered, producing insightful expressions. The closed-form expressions are contrasted with the generic approximate expressions of Vangeneugden et al. [15 Vangeneugden, T., Molenberghs, G., Laenen, A., Geys, H., Beunckens, C. and Sotto, C. 2007. Marginal correlation in longitudinal binary data based on generalized linear mixed models, Tech. Rep., Hasselt University. submitted for publication [Google Scholar]]. Data from an epileptic-seizures trial are analyzed and correlation functions derived. It is shown that the proposed extension strongly outperforms the classical GLMM.     

Testing for Unit Roots and the Impact of Quadratic Trends,with an Application to Relative Primary Commodity Prices

In practice a degree of uncertainty will always exist concerning what specification to adopt for the deterministic trend function when running unit root tests. While most macroeconomic time series appear to display an underlying trend, it is often far from clear whether this component is best modeled as a simple linear trend (so that long-run growth rates are constant) or by a more complicated nonlinear trend function which may, for instance, allow the deterministic trend component to evolve gradually over time. In this article, we consider the effects on unit root testing of allowing for a local quadratic trend, a simple yet very flexible example of the latter. Where a local quadratic trend is present but not modeled, we show that the quasi-differenced detrended Dickey–Fuller-type test of Elliott et al. (1996 Elliott , G. , Rothenberg , T. J. , Stock , J. H. ( 1996 ). Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root . Econometrica 64 : 813 – 836 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) has both size and power which tend to zero asymptotically. An extension of the Elliott et al. (1996 Elliott , G. , Rothenberg , T. J. , Stock , J. H. ( 1996 ). Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root . Econometrica 64 : 813 – 836 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) approach to allow for a quadratic trend resolves this problem but is shown to result in large power losses relative to the standard detrended test when no quadratic trend is present. We consequently propose a simple and practical approach to dealing with this form of uncertainty based on a union of rejections-based decision rule whereby the unit root is rejected whenever either of the detrended or quadratic detrended unit root tests rejects. A modification of this basic strategy is also suggested which further improves on the properties of the procedure. An application to relative primary commodity price data highlights the empirical relevance of the methods outlined in this article. A by-product of our analysis is the development of a test for the presence of a quadratic trend which is robust to whether the data admit a unit root.     

A Broad Class of Partially Specified Autoregressions on Multi-Casting Data

Extending the bifurcating autoregressive (BAR) process (cf. Cowan and Staudte, 1986 Cowan , R. , Staudte , R. G. ( 1986 ). The bifurcating autoregression model in cell lineage studies . Biometrics 42 : 769 – 783 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to multi-casting (multi-splitting) data, Hwang and Choi (2009 Hwang , S. Y. , Choi , M. S. ( 2009 ). Modeling and large sample estimation for multi-casting autoregression . Statist. Prob. Lett. 79 : 1943 – 1950 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) introduced multi-casting autoregression (MCAR, for short) defined on multi-casting tree structured data. This article is concerned with the case when the MCAR model is partially specified only through conditional mean and variance without directly imposing autoregressive (AR) structure. The resulting class of models will be referred to as P-MCAR (partially specified MCAR). The P-MCAR considerably enlarges the class of multi-casting models including (as special cases) MCAR, random coefficient MCAR, conditionally heteroscedastic multi-casting models and binomial-thinning processes. Moment structures for this broad P-MCAR class are investigated. Least squares (LS) estimation method is discussed and asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of the generalized-LS over ordinary-LS is obtained in a closed form. A simulation study is conducted to illustrate results.     

A Bottom-Up Dynamic Model of Portfolio Credit Risk with Stochastic Intensities and Random Recoveries

In Bielecki et al. (2014a Bielecki , T. R. , Cousin , A. , Crépey , S. , Herbertsson , A. ( 2014a ). Dynamic hedging of portfolio credit risk in a markov copula model . J. Optimiz. Theor. Applic . doi: DOI 10.1007/s10957-013-0318-4 (forthcoming) .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), the authors introduced a Markov copula model of portfolio credit risk where pricing and hedging can be done in a sound theoretical and practical way. Further theoretical backgrounds and practical details are developed in Bielecki et al. (2014b Bielecki , T. R. , Cousin , A. , Crépey , S. , Herbertsson , A. ( 2014b ). A bottom-up dynamic model of portfolio credit risk - Part I: Markov copula perspective . In: Recent Adv. Fin. Eng. 2012 , World Scientific (preprint version available at http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1844574) . [Google Scholar],c) where numerical illustrations assumed deterministic intensities and constant recoveries. In the present paper, we show how to incorporate stochastic default intensities and random recoveries in the bottom-up modeling framework of Bielecki et al. (2014a Bielecki , T. R. , Cousin , A. , Crépey , S. , Herbertsson , A. ( 2014a ). Dynamic hedging of portfolio credit risk in a markov copula model . J. Optimiz. Theor. Applic . doi: DOI 10.1007/s10957-013-0318-4 (forthcoming) .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) while preserving numerical tractability. These two features are of primary importance for applications like CVA computations on credit derivatives (Assefa et al., 2011 Assefa , S. , Bielecki , T. R. , Crépey , S. , Jeanblanc , M. ( 2011 ). CVA computation for counterparty risk assessment in credit portfolios . In: Bielecki , T.R. , Brigo , D. , Patras , F. , Eds., Credit Risk Frontiers . Hoboken : Wiley/Bloomberg-Press . [Google Scholar]; Bielecki et al., 2012 Bielecki , T. R. , Crépey , S. , Jeanblanc , M. , Zargari , B. ( 2012 ). Valuation and Hedging of CDS counterparty exposure in a markov copula model . Int. J. Theoret. Appl. Fin. 15 ( 1 ): 1250004 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), as CVA is sensitive to the stochastic nature of credit spreads and random recoveries allow to achieve satisfactory calibration even for “badly behaved” data sets. This article is thus a complement to Bielecki et al. (2014a Bielecki , T. R. , Cousin , A. , Crépey , S. , Herbertsson , A. ( 2014a ). Dynamic hedging of portfolio credit risk in a markov copula model . J. Optimiz. Theor. Applic . doi: DOI 10.1007/s10957-013-0318-4 (forthcoming) .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), Bielecki et al. (2014b Bielecki , T. R. , Cousin , A. , Crépey , S. , Herbertsson , A. ( 2014b ). A bottom-up dynamic model of portfolio credit risk - Part I: Markov copula perspective . In: Recent Adv. Fin. Eng. 2012 , World Scientific (preprint version available at http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1844574) . [Google Scholar]) and Bielecki et al. (2014c Bielecki , T. R. , Cousin , A. , Crépey , S. , Herbertsson , A. ( 2014c ). A bottom-up dynamic model of portfolio credit risk - Part II: Common-shock interpretation, calibration and hedging issues . Recent Adv. Fin. Eng. 2012 , World Scientific (preprint version available at http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2245130) . [Google Scholar]).     

Improved Predictive Inference for Responses Based on Location Parameter Median from the Rayleigh Model Given a Doubly Censored Sample

The purpose of this article is to investigate the predictive inference for responses from the location parameter mean as well as from the median given a doubly censored sample from the two-parameter Rayleigh model. The predictive results by Khan et al. (2010 Khan , H. M. R. , Provost , S. B. , Ashima , S. ( 2010 ). Predictive Inference from a Two-Parameter Rayleigh Life Model Given a Doubly Censored Sample . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 39 ( 7 ): 1237 – 1246 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) are used to obtain the predictive inference for responses from the median, where Khan et al. (2010 Khan , H. M. R. , Provost , S. B. , Ashima , S. ( 2010 ). Predictive Inference from a Two-Parameter Rayleigh Life Model Given a Doubly Censored Sample . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 39 ( 7 ): 1237 – 1246 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) obtained the future estimates from the mean. A numerical example representing 66 liver cancer patients is used for predictive analysis. It is concluded that the predictive inference from the median gives precise results as compared with the location parameter mean.     

An Efficiency and Protection Degree-Based Comparison Among the Quantitative Randomized Response Strategies

There have been many alternative strategies for implementing sampling survey on quantitative characteristic of sensitive issues by using randomized response (RR) technique. The efficiency of most of those strategies has been improved by choosing the suitable design parameters of model. However, the two different procedures with pre-assigned design parameter values cannot ensure that they possess the same protection degree to the respondents. Some earlier comparisons of those strategies are inadequate (as in Eichhorn and Hayre, 1983 Eichhorn , B. H. , Hayre , L. S. ( 1983 ). Scrambled randomized response methods for obtaining sensitive quantitative data . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 7 : 307 – 316 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]; Gupta et al., 2002 Gupta , S. , Gupta , B. , Singh , S. ( 2002 ). Estimation of sensitivity level of personal interview survey questions . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 100 ( 2 ): 239 – 247 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Some literature contains a more comprehensive comparison based on efficiency and protection degree to the respondents among the qualitative characteristic RR techniques (see Bhargava and Singh, 2002 Bhargava , M. , Singh , R. ( 2002 ). On the efficiency comparison of certain randomized response strategies . Metrika 55 : 191 – 197 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]; Nayak, 1994 Nayak , T. K. ( 1994 ). On randomized response surveys for estimating a proportion . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 23 ( 11 ): 3303 – 3321 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]; Zaizai and Zankan, 2004 Zaizai , Y. , Zankan , N. ( 2004 ). A fair comparison of the randomized response strategies . Acta Mathematica Scientia 24A ( 3 ): 362 – 368 . [Google Scholar]). As far as the comparisons are concerned that are based on efficiency and protection degree to the respondents among the quantitative characteristic RR techniques, very few related studies have been found so far. The purpose of this article is to give a more adequate comparison among those earlier quantitative characteristic RR strategies. It is found that several important differences between the results obtained in this article and some known results exist. Therefore, these earlier RR strategies should be reevaluated.     

Second-Order Covariance Matrix Formula for Heteroskedastic Generalized Linear Models

For the first time, we provide a matrix formula for second-order covariances of maximum likelihood estimates in heteroskedastic generalized linear models, thus generalizing the results of Cordeiro (2004 Cordeiro , G. M. ( 2004 ). Second-order covariance matrix of maximum likelihood estimates in generalized linear models . Statist. Probab. Lett. 66 : 153 – 160 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Cordeiro et al. (2006 Cordeiro , G. M. , Barroso , L. P. , Botter , D. A. (2006). Covariance matrix formula for generalized linear models with unknown dispersion. Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 35:113–120.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) related to the generalized linear models with known and unknown dispersion parameter, respectively. The covariance matrix formula does not involve cumulants of log-likelihood derivatives and can be easily obtained using simple matrix operations. We apply our main result to a simple model. Some simulations show that the second-order covariances can be quite pronounced in small to moderate samples. The usual covariances of the maximum likelihood estimates can be corrected by these second-order covariances.     

Identification-robust moment-based tests for Markov switching in autoregressive models

ABSTRACT

This paper develops tests of the null hypothesis of linearity in the context of autoregressive models with Markov-switching means and variances. These tests are robust to the identification failures that plague conventional likelihood-based inference methods. The approach exploits the moments of normal mixtures implied by the regime-switching process and uses Monte Carlo test techniques to deal with the presence of an autoregressive component in the model specification. The proposed tests have very respectable power in comparison with the optimal tests for Markov-switching parameters of Carrasco et al. (2014 Carrasco, M., Hu, L., Ploberger, W. (2014). Optimal test for Markov switching parameters. Econometrica 82(2):765–784.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and they are also quite attractive owing to their computational simplicity. The new tests are illustrated with an empirical application to an autoregressive model of USA output growth.     

Lag Length Selection in DF-GLS Unit Root Tests

We reinvestigate the empirical problem of lag length selection in unit root tests when using the augmented Dickey–Fuller test based on GLS-detrending. We extend the Ng and Perron (1995 Ng , S. , Perron , P. ( 1995 ). Unit root tests in ARMA models with data-dependent methods for the selection of the truncation lag . Journal of American Statistical Association 90 : 268 – 281 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) work on this issue by applying the finite sample critical values calculated using the formulae proposed by Cheung and Lai (1995 Cheung , Y. W. , Lai , K. S. ( 1995 ). Lag order and critical values of a modified Dickey–Fuller test . Oxford Bulletin of Business and Economics 57 : 411 – 418 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]). Unlike Ng and Perron (2001 Ng , S. , Perron , P. (2001). Lag length selection and the construction of unit root tests with good size and power. Econometrica 69:1519–1554.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) we find through simulation studies that the method of selecting lag length using the sequential t-test in the ADF regression of GLS-detrended series performs the best in most cases.     

An Asymmetric Kernel Estimator of Density Function for Stationary Associated Sequences

Here, we apply the smoothing technique proposed by Chaubey et al. (2007 Chaubey , Y. P. , Sen , A. , Sen , P. K. ( 2007 ). A new smooth density estimator for non-negative random variables. Technical Report No. 1/07. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Concordia University, Montreal, Canada . [Google Scholar]) for the empirical survival function studied in Bagai and Prakasa Rao (1991 Bagai , I. , Prakasa Rao , B. L. S. ( 1991 ). Estimation of the survival function for stationary associated processes . Statist. Probab. Lett. 12 : 385 – 391 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) for a sequence of stationary non-negative associated random variables.The derivative of this estimator in turn is used to propose a nonparametric density estimator. The asymptotic properties of the resulting estimators are studied and contrasted with some other competing estimators. A simulation study is carried out comparing the recent estimator based on the Poisson weights (Chaubey et al., 2011 Chaubey , Y. P. , Dewan , I. , Li , J. ( 2011 ). Smooth estimation of survival and density functions for a stationary associated process using poisson weights . Statist. Probab. Lett. 81 : 267 – 276 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) showing that the two estimators have comparable finite sample global as well as local behavior.     

Improved strategy to collect sensitive data by using geometric distribution as a randomization device

Abstract

In this article, we improvise Singh and Grewal (2013 Singh, S., and I. S. Grewal. 2013. Geometric distribution as a randomization device implemented in the Kuk’s model. International Journal of Contemporary Mathematical Sciences 8:243–8.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) and Hussain et al. (2016 Hussain, Z., J. Shabbir, Z. Pervez, S. F. Shah, and M. Khan. 2016. Generalized geometric distribution of order k: A flexible choice to randomize the response. Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation 46:4708–21.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) techniques by introducing a new two-stage randomization response process. Using the proposed new technique, we achieve better efficiency and increasing protection of privacy of respondents than the Kuk (1990 Kuk, A. Y. C. 1990. Asking sensitive questions indirectly. Biometrika 77 (2):436–8.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Singh and Grewal (2013 Singh, S., and I. S. Grewal. 2013. Geometric distribution as a randomization device implemented in the Kuk’s model. International Journal of Contemporary Mathematical Sciences 8:243–8.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) and Hussain et al. (2016 Hussain, Z., J. Shabbir, Z. Pervez, S. F. Shah, and M. Khan. 2016. Generalized geometric distribution of order k: A flexible choice to randomize the response. Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation 46:4708–21.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) models. The relative efficiency and protection of the respondents of the proposed two-stage randomization device have been investigated through simulation study, and the situations are reported where the proposed estimator performs better than its competitors. The SAS code used to investigate the performance of the proposed strategy are also provided.