Prediction based on linear combinations of order statistics and bivariate concomitants in the case of multivariate elliptical distributions

In this paper, by considering a (3n+1) -dimensional random vector (X₀, X^T, Y^T, Z^T)^T having a multivariate elliptical distribution, we derive the exact joint distribution of (X₀, a^TX_(n), b^TY_[n], c^TZ_[n])^T, where a, b, c∈?ⁿ, X_(n)=(X₍₁₎, …, X_(n))^T, X₍₁₎<···<X_(n), is the vector of order statistics arising from X, and Y_[n]=(Y_[1], …, Y_[n])^T and Z_[n]=(Z_[1], …, Z_[n])^T denote the vectors of concomitants corresponding to X_(n) ((Y_[r], Z_[r])^T, for r=1, …, n, is the vector of bivariate concomitants corresponding to X_(r)). We then present an alternate approach for the derivation of the exact joint distribution of (X₀, X_(r), Y_[r], Z_[r])^T, for r=1, …, n. We show that these joint distributions can be expressed as mixtures of four-variate unified skew-elliptical distributions and these mixture forms facilitate the prediction of X_(r), say, based on the concomitants Y_[r] and Z_[r]. Finally, we illustrate the usefulness of our results by a real data.     

Limiting behavior of randomly weighted averages of symmetric heavy-tailed random variables

In this paper we consider a sequence of independent continuous symmetric random variables X₁, X₂, …, with heavy-tailed distributions. Then we focus on limiting behavior of randomly weighted averages S_n = R⁽ⁿ⁾₁X₁ + ??? + R⁽ⁿ⁾_nX_n, where the random weights R⁽ⁿ⁾₁, …, R_n⁽ⁿ⁾ which are independent of X₁, X₂, …, X_n, are the cuts of (0, 1) by the n ? 1 order statistics from a uniform distribution. Indeed we prove that c_nS_n converges in distribution to a symmetric α-stable random variable with c_n = n^{1 ? 1/α}/Γ^1/α(α + 1).     

Nonparametric comparison of curves with dependent errors

Suppose that data {(x _l,i,n , y _l,i,n ): l?=?1, …, k; i?=?1, …, n} are observed from the regression models: Y _l,i,n ?=?m _l (x _l,i,n )?+?? _l,i,n , l?=?1, …, k, where the regression functions {m _l } _l=1 ^k are unknown and the random errors {? _l,i,n } are dependent, following an MA(∞) structure. A new test is proposed for testing the hypothesis H ₀: m ₁?=?·?·?·?=?m _k , without assuming that {m _l } _l=1 ^k are in a parametric family. The criterion of the test derives from a Crámer-von-Mises-type functional based on different distances between {[mcirc]} _l and {[mcirc]} _s , l?≠?s, l, s?=?1, …, k, where {[mcirc] _l } _l=1 ^k are nonparametric Gasser–Müller estimators of {m _l } _l=1 ^k . A generalization of the test to the case of unequal design points, with different sample sizes {n _l } _l=1 ^k and different design densities {f _l } _l=1 ^k , is also considered. The asymptotic normality of the test statistic is obtained under general conditions. Finally, a simulation study and an analysis with real data show a good behavior of the proposed test.     

Some novel results on pairwise quasi-asymptotical independence with applications to risk theory

In this article we obtain some novel results on pairwise quasi-asymptotically independent (pQAI) random variables. Concretely speaking, let X₁, …, X_n be n real-valued pQAI random variables, and W₁, …, W_n be another n non negative and arbitrarily dependent random variables, but independent of X₁, …, X_n. Under some mild conditions, we prove that W₁X₁, …, W_nX_n are still pQAI as well. Our result is in a general setting whether the primary random variables X₁, …, X_n are heavy-tailed or not. Finally, a special case of above result is applied to risk theory for investigating the finite-time ruin probability for a discrete-time risk model with a wide type of dependence structure.     

Randomly weighted sums and their maxima with heavy-tailed increments and dependence structure

Consider the randomly weighted sums S_m(θ) = ∑^m_{i = 1}θ_iX_i, 1 ? m ? n, and their maxima M_n(θ) = max?_{1 ? m ? n}S_m(θ), where X_i, 1 ? i ? n, are real-valued and dependent according to a wide type of dependence structure, and θ_i, 1 ? i ? n, are non negative and arbitrarily dependent, but independent of X_i, 1 ? i ? n. Under some mild conditions on the right tails of the weights θ_i, 1 ? i ? n, we establish some asymptotic equivalence formulas for the tail probabilities of S_n(θ) and M_n(θ) in the case where X_i, 1 ? i ? n, are dominatedly varying, long-tailed and subexponential distributions, respectively.     

Weak and strong uniform consistency rates of kernel density estimates for randomly censored data

Let X₁,., X_n, be i.i.d. random variables with distribution function F, and let Y₁,.,.,Y_n be i.i.d. with distribution function G. For i = 1, 2,.,., n set δ_i, = 1 if X_i ≤ Y_i, and 0 otherwise, and X_i, = min{X_i, K_i}. A kernel-type density estimate of f, the density function of F w.r.t. Lebesgue measure on the Borel o-field, based on the censored data (δ_i, X_i), i = 1,.,.,n, is considered. Weak and strong uniform consistency properties over the whole real line are studied. Rates of convergence results are established under higher-order differentiability assumption on f. A procedure for relaxing such assumptions is also proposed.     

Lois limites pour les statistiques d'ordre dans le cas non identiquement distribue

Let X₁, X₂,… be a sequence of independent random variables with distribution functions F₁, where 1 ≤ i ≤ n, and for each n ≥ 1 let X_1,n ≤… ≤ X_n,n denote the order statistics of the first n random variables. Under suitable hypotheses about the F₁, we characterize the limit distribution functions H(x) for which P(X_k,n ? a_nx + b_n) → H(x), where a_n > 0 and b_n are real constants. We consider the cases where κ = κ(n) satisfies √n {κ(n)/n — λ} → 0 and √n {κ(n)/n — λ} → ∞ separately.     

Almost Sure Convergence of Weighted Sums for Negatively Associated Random Variables

In this article, let {X₁, …, X_n} be a sequence of negatively associated random variables and {a_ni, 1 ? i ? n, n ? 1} be a triangular array of constants. Several almost sure convergence theorems for the weighted sums ∑ⁿ_{i = 1}a_niX_i are established.     

Stochastic Comparisons and Dependence of Spacings from Two Samples of Exponential Random Variables

Let X ₁,X ₂,…,X _n be independent exponential random variables such that X _i has hazard rate λ for i = 1,…,p and X _j has hazard rate λ* for j = p + 1,…,n, where 1 ≤ p < n. Denote by D _i:n (λ, λ*) = X _i:n  ? X _i?1:n the ith spacing of the order statistics X _1:n  ≤ X _2:n  ≤ ··· ≤ X _n:n , i = 1,…,n, where X _0:n ≡ 0. It is shown that the spacings (D _1,n ,D _2,n ,…,D _n:n ) are MTP₂, strengthening one result of Khaledi and Kochar (2000), and that (D _1:n (λ₂, λ*),…,D _n:n (λ₂, λ*)) ≤ _lr (D _1:n (λ₁, λ*),…,D _n:n (λ₁, λ*)) for λ₁ ≤ λ* ≤ λ₂, where ≤ _lr denotes the multivariate likelihood ratio order. A counterexample is also given to show that this comparison result is in general not true for λ* < λ₁ < λ₂.     

Randomly weighted sums of linearly wide quadrant-dependent random variables with heavy tails

This paper investigates tail behavior of the randomly weighted sum ∑ⁿ_{k = 1}θ_kX_k and reaches an asymptotic formula, where X_k, 1 ? k ? n, are real-valued linearly wide quadrant-dependent (LWQD) random variables with a common heavy-tailed distribution, and θ_k, 1 ? k ? n, independent of X_k, 1 ? k ? n, are n non-negative random variables without any dependence assumptions. The LWQD structure includes the linearly negative quadrant-dependent structure, the negatively associated structure, and hence the independence structure. On the other hand, it also includes some positively dependent random variables and some other random variables. The obtained result coincides with the existing ones.     

A zero-one law for large order statistics

Fix r ≥ 1, and let {M_nr} be the rth largest of {X₁,X₂,…X_n}, where X₁,X₂,… is a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with distribution function F. It is proved that P[M_nr ≤ u_n i.o.] = 0 or 1 according as the series Σ^∞_n=3Fⁿ(u_n)(log log n)^r/n converges or diverges, for any real sequence {u_n} such that n{1 -F(u_n)} is nondecreasing and divergent. This generalizes a result of Bamdorff-Nielsen (1961) in the case r = 1.     

A Strong Invariance Theorem of the Tail Empirical Copula Processes

We study the behavior of bivariate empirical copula process 𝔾 _n (·, ·) on pavements [0, k _n /n]² of [0, 1]², where k _n is a sequence of positive constants fulfilling some conditions. We provide a upper bound for the strong approximation of 𝔾 _n (·, ·) by a Gaussian process when k _n /n↘γ as n → ∞, where 0 ≤ γ ≤1.     

BAYESIAN SMOOTHING WITH OCCASIONAL JUMPS

Consider a sequence of independent random variables X ₁, X ₂,…,X _n observed at n equally spaced time points where X _i has a probability distribution which is known apart from the values of a parameter θ _i ∈ R which may change from observation to observation. We consider the problem of estimating θ = (θ₁, θ₂,…,θ _n ) given the observed values of X ₁, X ₂,…,X _n . The paper proposes a prior distribution for the parameters θ for which sets of parameter values exhibiting no change, or no change apart from a few sudden large changes, or lots of small changes, all have positive prior probability. Markov chain sampling may be used to calculate Bayes estimates of the parameters. We report the results of a Monte Carlo study based on Poisson distributed data which compares the Bayes estimator with estimators obtained using cubic splines and with estimators derived from the Schwarz criterion. We conclude that the Bayes method is preferable in a minimax sense since it never produces the disastrously large errors of the other methods and pays only a modest price for this degree of safety. All three methods are used to smooth mortality rates for oesophageal cancer in Irish males aged 65–69 over the period 1955 through 1994.     

Construction and selection of tightened–normal–tightened variables sampling scheme of type TNTVSS (n 1, n 2; k)

This paper provides tables for the construction and selection of tightened–normal–tightened variables sampling scheme of type TNTVSS (n ₁, n ₂; k). The method of designing the scheme indexed by (AQL, α) and (LQL, β) is indicated. The TNTVSS (n _T , n _N; k) is compared with conventional single sampling plans for variables and with TNT (n ₁, n ₂; c) scheme for attributes, and it is shown that the TNTVSS is more efficient.     

Orderings for series and parallel systems comprising heterogeneous exponentiated Weibull-geometric components

Let X₁, …, X_n be independent random variables with X_i ～ EWG(α, β, λ_i, p_i), i = 1, …, n, and Y₁, …, Y_n be another set of independent random variables with Y_i ～ EWG(α, β, γ_i, q_i), i = 1, …, n. The results established here are developed in two directions. First, under conditions p₁ = ??? = p_n = q₁ = ??? = q_n = p, and based on the majorization and p-larger orders between the vectors of scale parameters, we establish the usual stochastic and reversed hazard rate orders between the series and parallel systems. Next, for the case λ₁ = ??? = λ_n = γ₁ = ??? = γ_n = λ, we obtain some results concerning the reversed hazard rate and hazard rate orders between series and parallel systems based on the weak submajorization between the vectors of (p₁, …, p_n) and (q₁, …, q_n). The results established here can be used to find various bounds for some important aging characteristics of these systems, and moreover extend some well-known results in the literature.     

Reliability analysis of systems with components having two dependent subcomponents

In this article, a system that consists of n independent components each having two dependent subcomponents (A_i, B_i), i = 1, …, n is considered. The system is assumed to compose of components that have two correlated subcomponents (A_i, B_i), and functions iff both systems of subcomponents A₁, A₂, …, A_n and B₁, B₂, …, B_n work under certain structural rules. The expressions for reliability and mean time to failure of such systems are obtained. A sufficient condition to compare two systems of bivariate components in terms of stochastic ordering is also presented.     

Concomitants of multivariate order statistics from multivariate elliptical distributions

ABSTRACT

In this article, we consider a (k + 1)n-dimensional elliptically contoured random vector (X^T₁, X₂^T, …, X^T_k, Z^T)^T = (X₁₁, …, X_1n, …, X_k1, …, X_kn, Z₁, …, Z_n)^T and derive the distribution of concomitant of multivariate order statistics arising from X₁, X₂, …, X_k. Specially, we derive a mixture representation for concomitant of bivariate order statistics. The joint distribution of the concomitant of bivariate order statistics is also obtained. Finally, the usefulness of our result is illustrated by a real-life data.     

Some New Results on Likelihood Ratio Orderings for Spacings of Heterogeneous Exponential Random Variables

Let X ₁, X ₂,…, X _n be independent exponential random variables with X _i having failure rate λ _i for i = 1,…, n. Denote by D _i:n  = X _i:n  ? X _i?1:n the ith spacing of the order statistics X _1:n  ≤ X _2:n  ≤ ··· ≤ X _n:n , i = 1,…, n, where X _0:n ≡ 0. It is shown that if λ _n+1 ≤ [≥] λ _k for k = 1,…, n then D _n:n  ≤ _lr D _n+1:n+1 and D _1:n  ≤ _lr D _2:n+1 [D _2:n+1 ≤ _lr D _2:n ], and that if λ _i  + λ _j  ≥ λ _k for all distinct i,j, and k then D _n?1:n  ≤ _lr D _n:n and D _n:n+1 ≤ _lr D _n:n , where ≤ _lr denotes the likelihood ratio order. We also prove that D _1:n  ≤ _lr D _2:n for n ≥ 2 and D _2:3 ≤ _lr D _3:3 for all λ _i 's.     

Exchangeability,predictive sufficiency and Bayesian bootstrap

Summary Let {X _n } be a sequence of random variables conditionally independent and identically distributed given the random variable Θ. The aim of this paper is to show that in many interesting situations the conditional distribution of Θ, given (X ₁,…,X _n ), can be approximated by means of the bootstrap procedure proposed by Efron and applied to a statisticT _n (X ₁,…,X _n ) sufficient for predictive purposes. It will also be shown that, from the predictive point of view, this is consistent with the results obtained following a common Bayesian approach.