A conditional perspective of weighted variance estimation of the optimal regression estimator

The estimation of the variance for the GREG (general regression) estimator by weighted residuals is widely accepted as a method which yields estimators with good conditional properties. Since the optimal (regression) estimator shares the properties of GREG estimators which are used in the construction of weighted variance estimators, we introduce the weighting procedure also for estimating the variance of the optimal estimator. This method of variance estimation was originally presented in a seemingly ad hoc manner, and we shall discuss it from a conditional point of view and also look at an alternative way of utilizing the weights. Examples that stress conditional behaviour of estimators are then given for elementary sampling designs such as simple random sampling, stratified simple random sampling and Poisson sampling, where for the latter design we have conducted a small simulation study.     

Efficient estimators for adaptive stratified sequential sampling

In stratified sampling, methods for the allocation of effort among strata usually rely on some measure of within-stratum variance. If we do not have enough information about these variances, adaptive allocation can be used. In adaptive allocation designs, surveys are conducted in two phases. Information from the first phase is used to allocate the remaining units among the strata in the second phase. Brown et al. [Adaptive two-stage sequential sampling, Popul. Ecol. 50 (2008), pp. 239–245] introduced an adaptive allocation sampling design – where the final sample size was random – and an unbiased estimator. Here, we derive an unbiased variance estimator for the design, and consider a related design where the final sample size is fixed. Having a fixed final sample size can make survey-planning easier. We introduce a biased Horvitz–Thompson type estimator and a biased sample mean type estimator for the sampling designs. We conduct two simulation studies on honey producers in Kurdistan and synthetic zirconium distribution in a region on the moon. Results show that the introduced estimators are more efficient than the available estimators for both variable and fixed sample size designs, and the conventional unbiased estimator of stratified simple random sampling design. In order to evaluate efficiencies of the introduced designs and their estimator furthermore, we first review some well-known adaptive allocation designs and compare their estimator with the introduced estimators. Simulation results show that the introduced estimators are more efficient than available estimators of these well-known adaptive allocation designs.     

基于回归组合技术的连续性抽样估计方法研究

在使用样本轮换的连续性抽样调查中,不仅可以利用前期调查的研究变量的信息,还可使用现期调查的辅助变量信息来建立回归模型进行回归估计,进而构造回归组合估计量,并在此基础上确定最优样本轮换率和最优权重系数,使得回归组合估计量的方差最小,从而更大程度地提高连续性抽样调查的估计精度。     

Ordered partially ordered judgment subset sampling with applications to parametric inference

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we use the idea of order statistics from independent and non-identically distributed random variables to propose ordered partially ordered judgment subset sampling (OPOJSS) and then develop optimal linear parametric inferences. The best linear unbiased and invariant estimators of the location and scale parameters of a location-scale family are developed based on OPOJSS. It is shown that, despite the presence or absence of ranking errors, the proposed estimators with OPOJSS are uniformly better than the existing estimators with simple random sampling (SRS), ranked set sampling (RSS), ordered RSS (ORSS) and partially ordered judgment subset sampling (POJSS). Moreover, we also derive the best linear unbiased estimators (BLUEs) of the unknown parameters of the simple linear regression model with replicated observations using POJSS and OPOJSS. It is found that the BLUEs with OPOJSS are more precise than the BLUEs based on SRS, RSS, ORSS and POJSS.     

On the Evaluation of the Kolmogorov Statistic

At least two computer program packages, SPSS and STRATA, use simulated Bernoulli trials to draw (without replacement) a random sample of records from a finite population of records. Therefore, the size of the sample is a random variable. Two estimators of a population total under this sampling procedure are compared with the usual estimator under simple random sampling. Conditions under which the Bernoulli sampling estimators have almost the same mean squared error as the simple random-sample estimator are illustrated.     

Multiple inverse sampling in post-stratification with subpopulation sizes unknown: a solution for quota sampling

We extend traditional inverse sampling to multiple case. We then modify the multiple inverse sampling design to a version with taking a simple random sample at the beginning similar to Chang et al (J. Statist. Plan. Inference 69 (1998) 209) and a truncated version similar to Chang et al (J. Statist. Plan. Inference 76 (1999) 215). Using Murthy (Sankhya 18 (1957) 379) we develop their unbiased estimators and their unbiased variance estimators. These unbiased estimators can also be applied to a frequently used sampling scheme called quota sampling by practitioners. The multiple inverse sampling may be viewed as an improved version of quota sampling in some sense. We show that our estimators for estimating the proportions (weights) of subpopulations are more efficient and robust than available estimators using a small simulation study.     

Best linear unbiased estimates in ranked-set sampling with particular reference to imperfect ordering

SUMMARY Ranked-set sampling is a widely used sampling procedure when sample observations are expensive or difficult to obtain. It departs from simple random sampling by seeking to spread the observations in the sample widely over the distribution or population. This is achieved by ranking methods which may need to employ concomitant information. The ranked-set sample mean is known to be more efficient than the corresponding simple random sample mean. Instead of the ranked-set sample mean, this paper considers the corresponding optimal estimator: the ranked-set best linear unbiased estimator. This is shown to be more efficient, even for normal data, but particularly for skew data, such as from an exponential distribution. The corresponding forms of the estimators are quite distinct from the ranked-set sample mean. Improvement holds where the ordering is perfect or imperfect, with this prospect of improper ordering being explored through the use of concomitants. In addition, the corresponding optimal linear estimator of a scale parameter is also discussed. The results are applied to a biological problem that involves the estimation of root weights for experimental plants, where the expense of measurement implies the need to minimize the number of observations taken.     

Estimation of population mean and variance in flock management: a ranked set sampling approach in a finite population setting

Ranked set sampling is a sampling technique that provides substantial cost efficiency in experiments where a quick, inexpensive ranking procedure is available to rank the units prior to formal, expensive and precise measurements. Although the theoretical properties and relative efficiencies of this approach with respect to simple random sampling have been extensively studied in the literature for the infinite population setting, the use of ranked set sampling methods has not yet been explored widely for finite populations. The purpose of this study is to use sheep population data from the Research Farm at Ataturk University, Erzurum, Turkey, to demonstrate the practical benefits of ranked set sampling procedures relative to the more commonly used simple random sampling estimation of the population mean and variance in a finite population. It is shown that the ranked set sample mean remains unbiased for the population mean as is the case for the infinite population, but the variance estimators are unbiased only with use of the finite population correction factor. Both mean and variance estimators provide substantial improvement over their simple random sample counterparts.     

Robust extreme ranked set sampling

In this paper, a robust extreme ranked set sampling (RERSS) procedure for estimating the population mean is introduced. It is shown that the proposed method gives an unbiased estimator with smaller variance, provided the underlying distribution is symmetric. However, for asymmetric distributions a weighted mean is given, where the optimal weights are computed by using Shannon's entropy. The performance of the population mean estimator is discussed along with its properties. Monte Carlo simulations are used to demonstrate the performance of the RERSS estimator relative to the simple random sample (SRS), ranked set sampling (RSS) and extreme ranked set sampling (ERSS) estimators. The results indicate that the proposed estimator is more efficient than the estimators based on the traditional sampling methods.     

A balanced multi-level rotation sampling design and its efficient composite estimators

We present a multi-level rotation sampling design which includes most of the existing rotation designs as special cases. When an estimator is defined under this sampling design, its variance and bias remain the same over survey months, but it is not so under other existing rotation designs. Using the properties of this multi-level rotation design, we derive the mean squared error (MSE) of the generalized composite estimator (GCE), incorporating the two types of correlations arising from rotating sample units. We show that the MSEs of other existing composite estimators currently used can be expressed as special cases of the GCE. Furthermore, since the coefficients of the GCE are unknown and difficult to determine, we present the minimum risk window estimator (MRWE) as an alternative estimator. This MRWE has the smallest MSE under this rotation design and yet, it is easy to calculate. The MRWE is unbiased for monthly and yearly changes and preserves the internal consistency in total. Our numerical study shows that the MRWE is as efficient as GCE and more efficient than the existing composite estimators and does not suffer from the drift problem [Fuller W.A., Rao J.N.K., 2001. A regression composite estimator with application to the Canadian Labour Force Survey. Surv. Methodol. 27 (2001) 45–51] unlike the regression composite estimators.     

Estimation of finite population mean in simple and stratified random sampling using two auxiliary variables

We propose an improved difference-cum-exponential ratio type estimator for estimating the finite population mean in simple and stratified random sampling using two auxiliary variables. We obtain properties of the estimators up to first order of approximation. The proposed class of estimators is found to be more efficient than the usual sample mean estimator, ratio estimator, exponential ratio type estimator, usual two difference type estimators, Rao (1991) estimator, Gupta and Shabbir (2008) estimator, and Grover and Kaur (2011) estimator. We use six real data sets in simple random sampling and two in stratified sampling for numerical comparisons.     

Flat-Top Realized Kernel Estimation of Quadratic Covariation With Nonsynchronous and Noisy Asset Prices

This article develops a general multivariate additive noise model for synchronized asset prices and provides a multivariate extension of the generalized flat-top realized kernel estimators, analyzed earlier by Varneskov (2014), to estimate its quadratic covariation. The additive noise model allows for α-mixing dependent exogenous noise, random sampling, and an endogenous noise component that encompasses synchronization errors, lead-lag relations, and diurnal heteroscedasticity. The various components may exhibit polynomially decaying autocovariances. In this setting, the class of estimators considered is consistent, asymptotically unbiased, and mixed Gaussian at the optimal rate of convergence, n^1/4. A simple finite sample correction based on projections of symmetric matrices ensures positive definiteness without altering the asymptotic properties of the estimators. It, thereby, guarantees the existence of nonlinear transformations of the estimated covariance matrix such as correlations and realized betas, which inherit the asymptotic properties from the flat-top realized kernel estimators. An empirically motivated simulation study assesses the choice of sampling scheme and projection rule, and it shows that flat-top realized kernels have a desirable combination of robustness and efficiency relative to competing estimators. Last, an empirical analysis of signal detection and out-of-sample predictions for a portfolio of six stocks of varying size and liquidity illustrates the use and properties of the new estimators.     

Marshall–Olkin Extended Lomax Distribution and Its Application to Censored Data

The problem of making statistical inference about θ =P(X > Y) has been under great investigation in the literature using simple random sampling (SRS) data. This problem arises naturally in the area of reliability for a system with strength X and stress Y. In this study, we will consider making statistical inference about θ using ranked set sampling (RSS) data. Several estimators are proposed to estimate θ using RSS. The properties of these estimators are investigated and compared with known estimators based on simple random sample (SRS) data. The proposed estimators based on RSS dominate those based on SRS. A motivated example using real data set is given to illustrate the computation of the newly suggested estimators.     

A Generalized Class of Ratio Type Exponential Estimators of Population Mean Under Linear Transformation of Auxiliary Variable

Recently, Shabbir and Gupta [Shabbir, J. and Gupta, S. (2011). On estimating finite population mean in simple and stratified random sampling. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 40(2), 199–212] defined a class of ratio type exponential estimators of population mean under a very specific linear transformation of auxiliary variable. In the present article, we propose a generalized class of ratio type exponential estimators of population mean in simple random sampling under a very general linear transformation of auxiliary variable. Shabbir and Gupta's [Shabbir, J. and Gupta, S. (2011). On estimating finite population mean in simple and stratified random sampling. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 40(2), 199–212] class of estimators is a particular member of our proposed class of estimators. It has been found that the optimal estimator of our proposed generalized class of estimators is always more efficient than almost all the existing estimators defined under the same situations. Moreover, in comparison to a few existing estimators, our proposed estimator becomes more efficient under some simple conditions. Theoretical results obtained in the article have been verified by taking a numerical illustration. Finally, a simulation study has been carried out to see the relative performance of our proposed estimator with respect to some existing estimators which are less efficient under certain conditions as compared to the proposed estimator.     

Estimation of population coefficient of variation in simple and stratified random sampling under two-phase sampling scheme when using two auxiliary variables

We propose an improved class of exponential ratio type estimators for coefficient of variation (CV) of a finite population in simple and stratified random sampling using two auxiliary variables under two-phase sampling scheme. We examine the properties of the proposed estimators based on first order of approximation. The proposed class of estimators is more efficient than the usual sample CV estimator, ratio estimator, exponential ratio estimator, usual difference estimator and modified difference type estimator. We also use real data sets for numerical comparisons.     

Selected Ranked Set Sampling

This paper proposes a sampling procedure called selected ranked set sampling (SRSS), in which only selected observations from a ranked set sample (RSS) are measured. This paper describes the optimal linear estimation of location and scale parameters based on SRSS, and for some distributions it presents the required tables for optimal selections. For these distributions, the optimal SRSS estimators are compared with the other popular simple random sample (SRS) and RSS estimators. In every situation the estimators based on SRSS are found advantageous at least in some respect, compared to those obtained from SRS or RSS. The SRSS method with errors in ranking is also described. The relative precision of the estimator of the population mean is investigated for different degrees of correlations between the actual and erroneous ranking. The paper reports the minimum value of the correlation coefficient between the actual and the erroneous ranking required for achieving better precision with respect to the usual SRS estimator and with respect to the RSS estimator.     

An eigenproblem approach to optimal equal-precision sample allocation in subpopulations

Allocation of samples in stratified and/or multistage sampling is one of the central issues of sampling theory. In a survey of a population often the constraints for precision of estimators of subpopulations parameters have to be taken care of during the allocation of the sample. Such issues are often solved with mathematical programming procedures. In many situations it is desirable to allocate the sample, in a way which forces the precision of estimates at the subpopulations level to be both: optimal and identical, while the constraints of the total (expected) size of the sample (or samples, in two-stage sampling) are imposed. Here our main concern is related to two-stage sampling schemes. We show that such problem in a wide class of sampling plans has an elegant mathematical and computational solution. This is done due to a suitable definition of the optimization problem, which enables to solve it through a linear algebra setting involving eigenvalues and eigenvectors of matrices defined in terms of some population quantities. As a final result, we obtain a very simple and relatively universal method for calculating the subpopulation optimal and equal-precision allocation which is based on one of the most standard algorithms of linear algebra (available, e.g., in R software). Theoretical solutions are illustrated through a numerical example based on the Labour Force Survey. Finally, we would like to stress that the method we describe allows to accommodate quite automatically for different levels of precision priority for subpopulations.     

Estimation of the means of the bivariate normal using moving extreme ranked set sampling with concomitant variable

The estimation of the means of the bivariate normal distribution, based on a sample obtained using a modification of the moving extreme ranked set sampling technique (MERSS) is considered. The modification involves using a concomitant random variable. Nonparametric-type methods as well as the maximum likelihood estimation are considered. The estimators obtained are compared to their counterparts based on simple random sampling (SRS). It appears that the suggested estimators are more efficient. Also, MERSS with concomitant variable is easier to use in practice than the usual ranked set sampling (RSS) with concomitant variable. The issue of robustness of the procedure is addressed. Real trees data set is used for illustration.     

Recursive computation of inclusion probabilities in ranked-set sampling

We derive recursive algorithms for computing first-order and second-order inclusion probabilities for ranked-set sampling from a finite population. These algorithms make it practical to compute inclusion probabilities even for relatively large sample and population sizes. As an application, we use the inclusion probabilities to examine the performance of Horvitz-Thompson estimators under different varieties of balanced ranked-set sampling. We find that it is only for balanced Level 2 sampling that the Horvitz-Thompson estimator can be relied upon to outperform the simple random sampling mean estimator.     

On quantiles estimation based on different stratified sampling with optimal allocation

This work considers the problem of estimating a quantile function based on different stratified sampling mechanism. First, we develop an estimate for population quantiles based on stratified simple random sampling (SSRS) and extend the discussion for stratified ranked set sampling (SRSS). Furthermore, the asymptotic behavior of the proposed estimators are presented. In addition, we derive an analytical expression for the optimal allocation under both sampling schemes. Simulation studies are designed to examine the performance of the proposed estimators under varying distributional assumptions. The efficiency of the proposed estimates is further illustrated by analyzing a real data set from CHNS.