国家统计局举办三省基层统计局长培训班

为认真贯彻落实《全国人大常委会执法检查组关于检查<中华人民共和国统计法>实施情况的报告》和国务院领导批示精神，国家统计局成立了《统计法》修改领导小组，同时成立了《统计法》修改工作小组和专家咨询组。这标志着备受社会各界关注的《统计法》修改工作已正式启动。     

统计告别“有法难依”——国家统计局局长张塞谈新《统计法》

5月15日第八届全国人大常委会第十九次会议上,首先审议通过了《关于修改<统计法>的决定》并颁布实施。这是我国加强统计法制建设,确保统计数据质量,推进统计事业健康有序向前发展的一项重大举措。近日,国家统计局局长张塞同志,慨括地介绍了这次修改《统计法》的重大意义和主要内容。张塞首先解释了当前我国修改《统计法》的必要性和迫切性。他说,《统计法》自     

《统计法》修改的主要内容

第八届全国人大常委会第十九次会议《关于修改统计法的决定》(简称《修改决定》下同),经过这次修改,《统计法》由原来的二十八条修改为三十四条。修改的主要内容大体上可以归纳为几个方面: 一、关于统计职能 《修改决定》以法律的形式对统计职能作了肯定,修改了《统计法》第二条、第十九条。 第二条修改为:“统计的基本任务是对国民经济和     

县级统计部门贯彻统计法的着力点

县级统计部门贯彻统计法的着力点湛江市赤坎区统计局林书海从《统计法》的诞生，统计法规、条例和处罚方法的相继颁布，到修改后的《统计法》出台，已十多年。这期间是统计法不断接受统计实践检验、不断修改、不断完善，最终形成一套比较完善的法制体系的过程，也是为统计...     

《统计法》释义(一)

《统计法》释义（一）修改后的《统计法》已经颁布实施了。为了使广大统计人员充分了解《统计法》，本刊特开此栏目，逐条介绍《统计法》的内容，希望能对读者有所补益。第一章总则第一条为了有效地，科学地组织统计工作，保障统计资料的准确性和及时性，发挥统计在了解国...     

加强统计法制建设促进统计工作发展

加强统计法制建设促进统计工作发展　　日前闭幕的八届全国人大常委会第十九次会议审议通过了关于修改《中华人民共和国统计法》的决定，对已实施１２年的我国第一部《统计法》做出郑重的修改。这是国家为适应建立社会主义市场经济体制的需要，促进统计深化改革和提高工作...     

动态

《统计法》修改咨询小组、领导小组办公室分别举行座谈1990年12月3日,《统计法》修改咨询小组由组长李成瑞主持召开座谈会,征求和咨询对《统计法》     

统计虚假成因及治理对策研究

《统计法》已实施20余年,但统计数据虚假现象仍然十分严重。文章从统计体制、统计方法、执法缺陷等方面探析了统计数据虚假成因及治理对策。同时,现行《统计法》亟需修改完善。     

为维护《统计法》的尊严而斗争

本刊本期在《认真实施统计法》专栏中发表的一组文章,揭露了陕西省延川县有关领导滥用职权,根据自己主观的需要,随心所欲地授意修改统计数据这一严重违反《统计法》的事件。     

《统计法》到该修改的时候了

《统计法》实施十年来，在推动统计事业的发展，在保障统计机构和统计人员依法独立行使统计监督职权，在保障统计资料的准确性和及时性，促进社会主义四个现代化的顺利发展都起到了重大的作用。但是，随着社会主义市场经济体制的建立，现行《统计法》中不少条款早已不适应当前形势的发展需要。这是因为当时制订统计法的背景与现实的大环境已有很大不同，对于大量的违法案件和行政干予统计数据，现行《统计法》中的一些规定已难以有效地进行约束和制裁。为此；加速《统计法》的修改势在必行。修改的重点应是统计管理体制、法律责任和执法手段…     

Estimation of the parameter in the problem of the nile

Estimation of the parameter in the problem of the Nile is treated as a decision problem with squared error loss, It is shown that the minimum risk scale equivariant estimator dominates the incomplete sufficient unbiased estimators considered by Iwase and Seto, Sharper bounds for the equivariant estimator are derived which may be used to obtain the values of the same from the sample with sufficient accuracy.     

论国民经济核算体系的理论基础

国民经济核算体系是宏观经济管理的重要工具,它在经济研究的领域中正受到世界各国越来越多的注意。国民经济核算体系首先是经济理论与经济统计相结合的产物,正确地理解核算体系的理论基础,对于核算体系的研究是十分重要的。     

On the experience of projecting the family composition of the population of the USSR

The joint efforts in the USSR by the Central Planning Commission and the State Statistical Commission to develop projections of family characteristics of the Soviet population are described. The projections, based on official data for the rural and urban populations in 1987, are for the years 1991, 1996, 2001, and 2006.     

On the Computation of the Distribution for the Analysis of Means

Abstract

We discuss the accuracy of the computation and present a fortran program to compute the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the analysis of means (ANOM).     

On the estimation of the parameters of the von mises distribution

The usual maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of the von Mises distribution are shown to perform badly in small samples. In view of this and the fact that these estimators require a large amount of computation, alternative, simpler estimators are proposed. It is shown that these estimators are at least comparable to the traditional estimators and are, in many cases, superior to them. We also apply the procedure of jackknifing to the maximum likelihood estimator of the concentration parameter of the von Mises distribution and compare the properties of the jackknifed estimator with the other estimators considered in this paper.     

On the behavior of mle of the scale parameter of the student family

This paper contains a study of the qualitative properties of the maximum likelihood estimate of the scale parameter of the Student family as a function of its (continuous) degrees of freedom. Sharp bounds are provided for the estimate and its (continuous) degrees of freedom. Sharp bounds are provided for the estimate and its monotonicity as a function of the degrees of freedom is established. Inferential implications are also discussed.     

人工神经网络变量选取与隐藏单元数的确定

根据多隐藏层所有训练样本误差平方和最小设计优化问题,求解并绘出计算流程图。Trevor等人认为隐藏单元过多比过少好,交叉验证估计（隐藏单元）正则化参数没有必要。还有一种通常做法是常常利用分类树挑选变量作为输入变量进行人工神经网络建模。而从人工神经网络与多元统计、传统回归和其他数据挖掘工具的区别和联系出发,认为这些观点和做法值得商酌;用ZIP编码实例说明隐藏单元过多不一定比过少好,实际数据分析中所需隐藏单元数的确定可以用交叉验证结合经验判断来实现,利用分类树选择的变量对于人工神经网络没有太大的效果;通过分类树删节变量以降低计算量的效果不如通过压缩隐藏单元个数降低计算量来得好;非完全问题“从简单到一般”思想与完全问题中选择所有变量的思想不矛盾。在总结了Le Cun等人的局部联结以有效降低权数思想的基础上,提出通过随机选择人工变量建立人工神经网络分布式模型系统的设想。     

Demographic policy in the light of the resolutions of the Twenty-sixth Congress of the Communist Party

The USSR is moving from extensive to intensive type of population reproduction, not because of any governmental measures but as a reaction to objective circumstances. At present there is a reduction in the population cohort of working age. This has an adverse effect on production. And the number of the elderly is increasing; we must involve them more in the production process, in monitoring the service sphere, for instance. The infant mortality rate has declined sharply in the USSR, especially since World War II. The birthrate has also dropped, but it is still higher than in the US, France, or West Germany. Some authorities think that this (the ZPG) is a good idea, but this author thinks it is a bad idea, meaning a drop in society's productive forces. We need an active demographic policy, meaning one which ensures optimal reproduction of the population with an improvement in its health, culture, and living standard. The policy must be differentiated, as conditions vary from one part of the country to another. An example is the 1981 decree on assistance to families with children which provides for payments of 35-50 rubles/month to mothers who must stay home to look after children. The number of children per family to ensure reproduction must be 2.6 on the average. In the Central Asian republics family sizes of 4-5 children are anticipated, but in the RSFSR, Ukraine, Belorussia, and the Baltic republics the anticipated size of families is rather low. Measures must be taken to alter this by providing assistance to families with children.