State space modeling of multiple time series: a comment

This paper provides guidance in choosing k₁ andk₂ of the double k-class (KK) estimator such that it will improve upon both the ordinary least squares (OLS) and Stein-rule (SR) estimators in predictive mean squared error (PMSE). Asymptotic bias and mean squared error (MSE) results are derived for nonnormal and other cases. A simulation compares the KK estimator with the OLS and SR estimators.     

On the use of the Stein variance estimator in the double <Emphasis Type="Italic">k</Emphasis>-class estimator when each individual regression coefficient is estimated

In this paper we consider the double k-class estimator which incorporates the Stein variance estimator. This estimator is called the SVKK estimator. We derive the explicit formula for the mean squared error (MSE) of the SVKK estimator for each individual regression coefficient. It is shown analytically that the MSE performance of the Stein-rule estimator for each individual regression coefficient can be improved by utilizing the Stein variance estimator. Also, MSE’s of several estimators included in a family of the SVKK estimators are compared by numerical evaluations.     

The exact mean squared error risks of preliminary test type estimators for the multivariate normal mean

The exact mean squared error risks of the preliminary test estimtor and the Sclove modified Stein rule estimator (Sclove, Morris and Radhakrishnan, 1972) for the multivariate normal mean are computed and their risks are compared with the risks of Stein estimators.     

EXACT FINITE-SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF A PRE-TEST ESTIMATOR IN RIDGE REGRESSION

This paper discusses a pre-test regression estimator which uses the least squares estimate when it is “large” and a ridge regression estimate for “small” regression coefficients, where the preliminary test is applied separately to each regression coefficient in turn to determine whether it is “large” or “small.” For orthogonal regressors, the exact finite-sample bias and mean squared error of the pre-test estimator are derived. The latter is less biased than a ridge estimator, and over much of the parameter space the pre-test estimator has smaller mean squared error than least squares. A ridge estimator is found to be inferior to the pre-test estimator in terms of mean squared error in many situations, and at worst the latter estimator is only slightly less efficient than the former at commonly used significance levels.     

Stein rule prediction of the composite target function in a general linear regression model

This paper considers the problem of simultaneous prediction of the actual and average values of the dependent variable in a general linear regression model. Utilizing the philosophy of Stein rule procedure, a family of improved predictors for a linear function of the actual and expected value of the dependent variable for the forecast period has been proposed. An unbiased estimator for the mean squared error (MSE) matrix of the proposed family of predictors has been obtained and dominance of the family of Stein rule predictors over the best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) has been established under a quadratic loss function.     

On a class of shrinkage estimators of vector of regression coefficients the

This paper studies a class of shrinkage estimators of the vector of regression coefficients. The small disturbance approximations for the bias and the mean squared error matrix of the estimator are derived. In the sense of mean squared error, these estimators dominate the least squares estimator and the generalized Stein estimator developed by Hosmane (1988).     

Comparison of the Stein and the usual estimators for the regression error variance under the Pitman nearness criterion when variables are omitted

This paper compares the Stein and the usual estimators of the error variance under the Pitman nearness (PN) criterion in a regression model which is mis-specified due to missing relevant explanatory variables. The exact expression of the PN-probability is derived and numerically evaluated. Contrary to the well-known result under mean squared errors (MSE), with the PN criterion the Stein variance estimator is uniformly dominated by the usual estimator when no relevant variables are excluded from the model. With an increased degree of model mis-specification, neither estimator strictly dominates the other. The authors are grateful to two anonymous referees for their valuable comments. Also, the first author is grateful to the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science for partial financial support.     

A comparison of estimators for the mean in the inverse gaussian distribution with a known coefficient of variation

In this paper, we discuss an estimation problem of the mean in the inverse Gaussian distribution with a known coefficient of variation. Two types of linear estimators for the mean, the linear minimum variance unbiased estimator and the linear minimum mean squared error estimator, are constructed by using the squared error loss function and their properties are examined. It is observed that, for small samples the performance of the proposed estimators is better than that of the maximum likelihood estimator, when the coefficient of variation is large.     

An improved and efficient biased estimation technique in logistic regression model

Abstract

In this article, we propose a new improved and efficient biased estimation method which is a modified restricted Liu-type estimator satisfying some sub-space linear restrictions in the binary logistic regression model. We study the properties of the new estimator under the mean squared error matrix criterion and our results show that under certain conditions the new estimator is superior to some other estimators. Moreover, a Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to show the performance of the new estimator in the simulated mean squared error and predictive median squared errors sense. Finally, a real application is considered.     

Semiparametric Stein estimators

Stein [Stein, C. (1956). Inadmissibility of the usual estimator for the mean of a multivariate normal distribution. In Proc. 3rd Berkeley symp. math. statist. and pro. (pp. 197–206). University of California Press], in his seminal paper, came up with the surprising discovery that the sample mean is an inadmissible estimator of the population mean in three or higher dimensions under squared error loss. The past five decades have witnessed multiple extensions and variations of Stein’s results. In this paper we develop Stein-type estimators in a semiparametric framework and prove their coordinatewise asymptotic dominance over the sample mean in terms of Bayes risks.     

Efficient estimation for time series following generalized linear models

In this paper, we consider James–Stein shrinkage and pretest estimation methods for time series following generalized linear models when it is conjectured that some of the regression parameters may be restricted to a subspace. Efficient estimation strategies are developed when there are many covariates in the model and some of them are not statistically significant. Statistical properties of the pretest and shrinkage estimation methods including asymptotic distributional bias and risk are developed. We investigate the relative performances of shrinkage and pretest estimators with respect to the unrestricted maximum partial likelihood estimator (MPLE). We show that the shrinkage estimators have a lower relative mean squared error as compared to the unrestricted MPLE when the number of significant covariates exceeds two. Monte Carlo simulation experiments were conducted for different combinations of inactive covariates and the performance of each estimator was evaluated in terms of its mean squared error. The practical benefits of the proposed methods are illustrated using two real data sets.     

A new linearized ridge Poisson estimator in the presence of multicollinearity

Poisson regression is a very commonly used technique for modeling the count data in applied sciences, in which the model parameters are usually estimated by the maximum likelihood method. However, the presence of multicollinearity inflates the variance of maximum likelihood (ML) estimator and the estimated parameters give unstable results. In this article, a new linearized ridge Poisson estimator is introduced to deal with the problem of multicollinearity. Based on the asymptotic properties of ML estimator, the bias, covariance and mean squared error of the proposed estimator are obtained and the optimal choice of shrinkage parameter is derived. The performance of the existing estimators and proposed estimator is evaluated through Monte Carlo simulations and two real data applications. The results clearly reveal that the proposed estimator outperforms the existing estimators in the mean squared error sense.KEYWORDS: Poisson regression, multicollinearity, ridge Poisson estimator, linearized ridge regression estimator, mean squared errorMathematics Subject Classifications: 62J07, 62F10     

An empirical investigation of different operating characteristics of several estimators of the intraclass correlation in the analysis of binary data

This paper is concerned with properties (bias, standard deviation, mean square error and efficiency) of twenty six estimators of the intraclass correlation in the analysis of binary data. Our main interest is to study these properties when data are generated from different distributions. For data generation we considered three over-dispersed binomial distributions, namely, the beta-binomial distribution, the probit normal binomial distribution and a mixture of two binomial distributions. The findings regarding bias, standard deviation and mean squared error of all these estimators, are that (a) in general, the distributions of biases of most of the estimators are negatively skewed. The biases are smallest when data are generated from the beta-binomial distribution and largest when data are generated from the mixture distribution; (b) the standard deviations are smallest when data are generated from the beta-binomial distribution; and (c) the mean squared errors are smallest when data are generated from the beta-binomial distribution and largest when data are generated from the mixture distribution. Of the 26, nine estimators including the maximum likelihood estimator, an estimator based on the optimal quadratic estimating equations of Crowder (1987), and an analysis of variance type estimator is found to have least amount of bias, standard deviation and mean squared error. Also, the distributions of the bias, standard deviation and mean squared error for each of these estimators are, in general, more symmetric than those of the other estimators. Our findings regarding efficiency are that the estimator based on the optimal quadratic estimating equations has consistently high efficiency and least variability in the efficiency results. In the important range in which the intraclass correlation is small (≤0 5), on the average, this estimator shows best efficiency performance. The analysis of variance type estimator seems to do well for larger values of the intraclass correlation. In general, the estimator based on the optimal quadratic estimating equations seems to show best efficiency performance for data from the beta-binomial distribution and the probit normal binomial distribution, and the analysis of variance type estimator seems to do well for data from the mixture distribution.     

PMSE dominance of the positive-part shrinkage estimator in a regression model with proxy variables

Consider a linear regression model with some relevant regressors are unobservable. In such a situation, we estimate the model by using the proxy variables as regressors or by simply omitting the relevant regressors. In this paper, we derive the explicit formula of predictive mean squared error (PMSE) of a general family of shrinkage estimators of regression coefficients. It is shown analytically that the positive-part shrinkage estimator dominates the ordinary shrinkage estimator even when proxy variables are used in place of the unobserved variables. Also, as an example, our result is applied to the double k-class estimator proposed by Ullah and Ullah (Double k-class estimators of coefficients in linear regression. Econometrica. 1978;46:705–722). Our numerical results show that the positive-part double k-class estimator with proxy variables has preferable PMSE performance.     

A minimum variance kernel estimator and a discrete frequency polygon estimator for ordinal contingency tables

This paper introduces two estimators, a boundary corrected minimum variance kernel estimator based on a uniform kernel and a discrete frequency polygon estimator, for the cell probabilities of ordinal contingency tables. Simulation results show that the minimum variance boundary kernel estimator has a smaller average sum of squared error than the existing boundary kernel estimators. The discrete frequency polygon estimator is simple and easy to interpret, and it is competitive with the minimum variance boundary kernel estimator. It is proved that both estimators have an optimal rate of convergence in terms of mean sum of squared error, The estimators are also defined for high-dimensional tables.     

Modified ridge-type for the Poisson regression model: simulation and application

The Poisson regression model (PRM) is employed in modelling the relationship between a count variable (y) and one or more explanatory variables. The parameters of PRM are popularly estimated using the Poisson maximum likelihood estimator (PMLE). There is a tendency that the explanatory variables grow together, which results in the problem of multicollinearity. The variance of the PMLE becomes inflated in the presence of multicollinearity. The Poisson ridge regression (PRRE) and Liu estimator (PLE) have been suggested as an alternative to the PMLE. However, in this study, we propose a new estimator to estimate the regression coefficients for the PRM when multicollinearity is a challenge. We perform a simulation study under different specifications to assess the performance of the new estimator and the existing ones. The performance was evaluated using the scalar mean square error criterion and the mean squared error prediction error. The aircraft damage data was adopted for the application study and the estimators’ performance judged by the SMSE and the mean squared prediction error. The theoretical comparison shows that the proposed estimator outperforms other estimators. This is further supported by the simulation study and the application result.KEYWORDS: Poisson regression model, Poisson maximum likelihood estimator, multicollinearity, Poisson ridge regression, Liu estimator, simulation     

ON THE COMMON SCALE PARAMETER OF SEVERAL PARETO POPULATIONS IN CENSORED SAMPLES

The problem of estimation of an unknown common scale parameter of several Pareto distributions with unknown and possibly unequal shape parameters in censored samples is considered. A new class of estimators which includes both the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator (UMVUE) is proposed and examined under a squared error loss.     

A new kind of stochastic restricted biased estimator for logistic regression model

In the logistic regression model, the variance of the maximum likelihood estimator is inflated and unstable when the multicollinearity exists in the data. There are several methods available in literature to overcome this problem. We propose a new stochastic restricted biased estimator. We study the statistical properties of the proposed estimator and compare its performance with some existing estimators in the sense of scalar mean squared criterion. An example and a simulation study are provided to illustrate the performance of the proposed estimator.KEYWORDS: Logistic regression, maximum likelihood estimator, mean squared error matrix, ridge regression, simulation study, stochastic restricted estimatorMathematics Subject Classifications: Primary 62J05, Secondary 62J07     

Estimating the variance of the sample median

The small-sample bias and root mean squared error of several distribution-free estimators of the variance of the sample median are examined. A new estimator is proposed that is easy to compute and tends to have the smallest bias and root mean squared error.     

A TWO-PHASE SAMPLING ESTIMATOR IN SAMPLE SURVEYS

A two-phase sampling estimator of the ratio-type for estimating the mean of a finite population, has been considered where the value of ρC_y/C_x can be guessed or estimated in advance. Here C_y and C_x denote respectively the coefficients of variation of the characteristic under study, y, and the auxiliary characteristic x and ρ denotes the coefficient of correlation between y and x. When the value of ρC_y/C_x is guessed or estimated exactly, the estimator has a smaller large-sample variance compared with either an ordinary ratio estimator or an ordinary linear regression estimator in two-phase sampling in the case where the first-phase sample is drawn independently from the second-phase sample. If the sample at the second phase is a subsample of the first-phase sample, the estimator has variance equal to that of the linear regression estimator. The largest value of the difference between the assumed value and the actual value of ρC_y/C_x has been obtained so as not to result in the variance of the estimator being larger than the variances of either an ordinary ratio estimator or an ordinary linear regression estimator.