On estimation of the scale matrix of the multivariate f distribution

Let F _p×phave a multivariate F distribution with a scale p×p matrix Δ and degrees of freedom k₁ and k₂ such that k_i - p - 1 > 0, i = 1,2. The estimation of Δ under entropy and squared error loss functions are considered. In both cases a new class of orthogonally invariant estimators are obtained which dominate the best unbiased estimator.     

Monotonic minimax estimators of a 2×2 covariance matrix

Let S : 2 × 2 have a nonsingular Wishart distribution with unknown matrix σ and n degrees of freedom. For estimating σ two families of mimmax estimators, with respect to the entropy loss, are presented. These estimators are of the form σ(S) = Rø(L)R^t where R is orthogonal, L and Φ are diagonal, and RLR^T = S. Conditions under which the components of Φ and L follow the same order relation [i.e., writing Φ = diag(Φ₁,Φ₂) and L = diag(l₁,/₂) with l₁ ≥ l₂, we have Φ₁ ≥ Φ₂] are established. Comparisons with Stein's estimators and other orthogonally invariant estimators are discussed.     

Order-preserving Estimators and an Inequality on the Integration of Zonal Polynomial

ABSTRACT

Suppose X , p × p p.d. random matrix, has the distribution which depends on a p × p p.d. parameter matrix Σ and this distribution is orthogonally invariant. The orthogonally invariant estimator of Σ which has the eigenvalues of the same order as the eigenvalues of X is called order-preserving. We conjecture that a non-order-preserving estimator is dominated by modified order-preserving estimators with respect to the entropy (Stein's) loss function. We show that an inequality on the integration of zonal polynomial is sufficient for this conjecture. We also prove this inequality for the case p = 2.     

On estimating the mean of the selected normal population in two-stage adaptive designs

Adaptive design is widely used in clinical trials. In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the mean of the selected normal population in two-stage adaptive designs. Under the LINEX and L₂ loss functions, admissibility and minimax results are derived for some location invariant estimators of the selected normal mean. The naive sample mean estimator is shown to be inadmissible under the LINEX loss function and to be not minimax under both loss functions.     

Estimating the common hazard rate of several exponential distributions

Abstract

In the present communication, we consider the estimation of the common hazard rate of several exponential distributions with unknown and unequal location parameters with a common scale parameter under a general class of bowl-shaped scale invariant loss functions. We have shown that the best affine equivariant estimator (BAEE) is inadmissible by deriving a non smooth improved estimator. Further, we have obtained a smooth estimator which improves upon the BAEE. As an application, we have obtained explicit expressions of improved estimators for special loss functions. Finally, a simulation study is carried out for numerically comparing the risk performance of various estimators.     

On The Role of a Certain Eigenvalue in Estimating the Growth Rate of a Branching Process

In many situations, the data given on a p-type Galton-Watson process Z_n eP N^p will consist of the total generation sizes |Z_n| only. In that case, the maximum likelihood estimator ρ_ML of the growth rate ρ is not observable, and the asymptotic properties of the most obvious estimators of ρ based on the |Z_n|, as studied by Asmussen & Keiding (1978), show a crucial dependence on |ρ₁|,ρ₁ being a certain other eigenvalue of the offspring mean matrix. In fact, if |ρ₁|²≤ρ, then the speed of convergence compares badly with ρ_ML. In the present note, it is pointed out that recent results of Heyde (1981) on so-called Fibonacci branching processes provide further examples of this phenomenon, and an estimator with the same speed of convergence as ρ_ML and based on the |Z_n| alone is exhibited for the case p= 2, ρ₁²≥ρ.     

Estimating the parameter of selected uniform population under the squared log error loss function

Let π₁, …, π_k be k (? 2) independent populations, where π_i denotes the uniform distribution over the interval (0, θ_i) and θ_i > 0 (i = 1, …, k) is an unknown scale parameter. The population associated with the largest scale parameter is called the best population. For selecting the best population, We use a selection rule based on the natural estimators of θ_i, i = 1, …, k, for the case of unequal sample sizes. Consider the problem of estimating the scale parameter θ_L of the selected uniform population when sample sizes are unequal and the loss is measured by the squared log error (SLE) loss function. We derive the uniformly minimum risk unbiased (UMRU) estimator of θ_L under the SLE loss function and two natural estimators of θ_L are also studied. For k = 2, we derive a sufficient condition for inadmissibility of an estimator of θ_L. Using these condition, we conclude that the UMRU estimator and natural estimator are inadmissible. Finally, the risk functions of various competing estimators of θ_L are compared through simulation.     

Equivariant estimators of the covariance matrix

Given a Wishart matrix S [S ∽ W_p(n, Σ)] and an independent multinomial vector X [X ∽ N_p (μ, Σ)], equivariant estimators of Σ are proposed. These estimators dominate the best multiple of S and the Stein-type truncated estimators.     

Improved estimation of the scale parameter, the hazard rate parameter and the ratio of the scale parameters in exponential distributions: An integrated approach

We give new classes of Strawderman-type improved estimators for the scale parameter σ₂ and the hazard rate parameter 1/σ₁ of the exponential distributions E(μ₂,σ₂) and E(μ₁,σ₁) under the entropy loss. We then use these estimators to construct improved estimators for the ratio ρ=σ₂/σ₁. The sampling framework we consider integrates important life-testing schemes separately studied in the literature so far, namely, (i) i.i.d. sampling, (ii) Type-II censoring, (iii) progressive Type-II censoring and adaptive progressive Type-II censoring and (iv) record values data. Furthermore, we establish simple identities connecting the risk functions of the estimators of σ₂ and 1/σ₁ and those of ρ that have a direct impact on studying the risk behavior of the latter estimators. Finally, we indicate that no matter which of the above life-testing schemes is employed for the estimation of σ₂, 1/σ₁ or ρ, the corresponding improved estimator, which may be of Stein-type or Brewster and Zidek-type or Strawderman-type, will offer the same improvement over the usual estimator as long as the number of observed complete failure times is the same for each scheme. Our results unify and extend existing results on the estimation of exponential scale parameters in one or two populations.     

On the improved estimation of a function of the scale parameter of an exponential distribution based on doubly censored sample

In the present article, we have studied the estimation of entropy, that is, a function of scale parameter ln⁡σ of an exponential distribution based on doubly censored sample when the location parameter is restricted to positive real line. The estimation problem is studied under a general class of bowl-shaped non monotone location invariant loss functions. It is established that the best affine equivariant estimator (BAEE) is inadmissible by deriving an improved estimator. This estimator is non-smooth. Further, we have obtained a smooth improved estimator. A class of estimators is considered and sufficient conditions are derived under which these estimators improve upon the BAEE. In particular, using these results we have obtained the improved estimators for the squared error and the linex loss functions. Finally, we have compared the risk performance of the proposed estimators numerically. One data analysis has been performed for illustrative purposes.     

Estimated Generalized Least Squares for a Heteroscedastic Regression Model

This paper considers the general linear regression model yc = X₁β+u_t under the heteroscedastic structure E(u_t) = 0, E(u²) =σ²- (X_tβ)², E(u_t u_s) = 0, tæs, t, s= 1, T. It is shown that any estimated GLS estimator for β is asymptotically equivalent to the GLS estimator under some regularity conditions. A three-step GLS estimator, which calls upon the assumption E(u_t²) =s?²(X,β)² for the estimation of the disturbance covariance matrix, is considered.     

Estimating the common hazard rate of two exponential distributions with ordered location parameters

This paper is concerned with estimating the common hazard rate of two exponential distributions with unknown and ordered location parameters under a general class of bowl-shaped scale invariant loss functions. The inadmissibility of the best affine equivariant estimator is established by deriving an improved estimator. Another estimator is obtained which improves upon the best affine equivariant estimator. A class of improving estimators is derived using the integral expression of risk difference approach of Kubokawa [A unified approach to improving equivariant estimators. Ann Statist. 1994;22(1):290–299]. These results are applied to specific loss functions. It is further shown that these estimators can be derived for four important sampling schemes: (i) complete and i.i.d. sample, (ii) record values, (iii) type-II censoring, and (iv) progressive Type-II censoring. A simulation study is carried out for numerically comparing the risk performance of these proposed estimators.     

Some robust tests of independence in symmetrical multivariate distributions

Let X =(x)^ij=(11¹, …, X,)_T, i = l, …n, be an n X random matrix having multivariate symmetrical distributions with parameters μ, Σ. The p-variate normal with mean μ and covariance matrix is a member of this family. Let be the squared multiple correlation coefficient between the first and the succeeding p₁ components, and let p² = + be the squared multiple correlation coefficient between the first and the remaining p₁ + p₂ =p – 1 components of the p-variate normal vector. We shall consider here three testing problems for multivariate symmetrical distributions. They are (A) to test p² =0 against; (B) to test against =0, 0; (C) to test against p² =0, We have shown here that for problem (A) the uniformly most powerful invariant (UMPI) and locally minimax test for the multivariate normal is UMPI and is locally minimax as p² 0 for multivariate symmetrical distributions. For problem (B) the UMPI and locally minimax test is UMPI and locally minimax as for multivariate symmetrical distributions. For problem (C) the locally best invariant (LBI) and locally minimax test for the multivariate normal is also LBI and is locally minimax as for multivariate symmetrical distributions.     

ROBUST RIDGE REGRESSION BASED ON AN M-ESTIMATOR

Consider the linear regression model y =β₀1 +Xβ+ in the usual notation. It is argued that the class of ordinary ridge estimators obtained by shrinking the least squares estimator by the matrix (X¹X + kI)^-1X'X is sensitive to outliers in the ^variable. To overcome this problem, we propose a new class of ridge-type M-estimators, obtained by shrinking an M-estimator (instead of the least squares estimator) by the same matrix. Since the optimal value of the ridge parameter k is unknown, we suggest a procedure for choosing it adaptively. In a reasonably large scale simulation study with a particular M-estimator, we found that if the conditions are such that the M-estimator is more efficient than the least squares estimator then the corresponding ridge-type M-estimator proposed here is better, in terms of a Mean Squared Error criteria, than the ordinary ridge estimator with k chosen suitably. An example illustrates that the estimators proposed here are less sensitive to outliers in the y-variable than ordinary ridge estimators.     

Beyond tail median and conditional tail expectation: Extreme risk estimation using tail Lp-optimization

The conditional tail expectation (CTE) is an indicator of tail behavior that takes into account both the frequency and magnitude of a tail event. However, the asymptotic normality of its empirical estimator requires that the underlying distribution possess a finite variance; this can be a strong restriction in actuarial and financial applications. A valuable alternative is the median shortfall (MS), although it only gives information about the frequency of a tail event. We construct a class of tail L^p-medians encompassing the MS and CTE. For p in (1,2), a tail L^p-median depends on both the frequency and magnitude of tail events, and its empirical estimator is, within the range of the data, asymptotically normal under a condition weaker than a finite variance. We extrapolate this estimator and another technique to extreme levels using the heavy-tailed framework. The estimators are showcased on a simulation study and on real fire insurance data.     

Estimation of the location of a 0-type or ∞-type singularity by Poisson observations

We consider an inhomogeneous Poisson process X on [0, T]. The intensity function of X is supposed to be strictly positive and smooth on [0, T] except at the point θ, in which it has either a 0-type singularity (tends to 0 like |x| ^p , p∈(0, 1)), or an ∞-type singularity (tends to ∞ like |x| ^p , p∈(?1, 0)). We suppose that we know the shape of the intensity function, but not the location of the singularity. We consider the problem of estimation of this location (shift) parameter θ based on n observations of the process X. We study the Bayesian estimators and, in the case p>0, the maximum-likelihood estimator. We show that these estimators are consistent, their rate of convergence is n ^1/(p+1), they have different limit distributions, and the Bayesian estimators are asymptotically efficient.     

Bayesian and Robust Bayesian analysis under a general class of balanced loss functions

For estimating an unknown parameter θ, we introduce and motivate the use of balanced loss functions of the form L_{r, w, d0}(q, d)=wr(d₀, d)+ (1-w) r(q, d){L_{\rho, \omega, \delta_0}(\theta, \delta)=\omega \rho(\delta_0, \delta)+ (1-\omega) \rho(\theta, \delta)}, as well as the weighted version q(q) L_{r, w, d0}(q, d){q(\theta) L_{\rho, \omega, \delta_0}(\theta, \delta)}, where ρ(θ, δ) is an arbitrary loss function, δ ₀ is a chosen a priori “target” estimator of q, w ? [0,1){\theta, \omega \in[0,1)}, and q(·) is a positive weight function. we develop Bayesian estimators under L_{r, w, d0}{L_{\rho, \omega, \delta_0}} with ω > 0 by relating such estimators to Bayesian solutions under L_{r, w, d0}{L_{\rho, \omega, \delta_0}} with ω = 0. Illustrations are given for various choices of ρ, such as absolute value, entropy, linex, and squared error type losses. Finally, under various robust Bayesian analysis criteria including posterior regret gamma-minimaxity, conditional gamma-minimaxity, and most stable, we establish explicit connections between optimal actions derived under balanced and unbalanced losses.     

A New Family of Nonparametric Quantile Estimators

A new core methodology for creating nonparametric L-quantile estimators is introduced and three new quantile L-estimators (SV1 _p , SV2 _p , and SV3 _p ) are constructed using the new methodology. Monte Carlo simulation was used in order to investigate the performance of the new estimators for small and large samples under normal distribution and a variety of light and heavy-tailed symmetric and asymmetric distributions. The new estimators outperform, in most of the cases studied, the Harrell–Davis quantile estimator and the weighted average at X _([np]) quantile estimator.     

Estimation of a multivariate normal covariance matrix under a certain structure

We consider the estimation of Σ of the p-dimensional normal distribution N_p (0, Σ) when Σ?=?θ₀ I_p ?+?θ₁ aa′, where a is an unknown p-dimensional normalized vector and θ₀?>?0, θ₁?≥?0 are also unknown. First, we derive the restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimator. Second, we propose a new estimator, which dominates the REML estimator with respect to Stein's loss function. Finally, we carry out Monte Carlo simulation to investigate the magnitude of the new estimator's superiority.