On the Moments of a Semi-Markovian Random Walk with Gaussian Distribution of Summands

In this article, a semi-Markovian random walk with delay and a discrete interference of chance (X(t)) is considered. It is assumed that the random variables ζ _n , n = 1, 2,…, which describe the discrete interference of chance form an ergodic Markov chain with ergodic distribution which is a gamma distribution with parameters (α, λ). Under this assumption, the asymptotic expansions for the first four moments of the ergodic distribution of the process X(t) are derived, as λ → 0. Moreover, by using the Riemann zeta-function, the coefficients of these asymptotic expansions are expressed by means of numerical characteristics of the summands, when the process considered is a semi-Markovian Gaussian random walk with small drift β.     

A discrete distribution associated with a pure birth process

A discrete distribution associated with a pure birth process starting with no individuals, with birth rates λ ⁿ =λ forn=0, 2, …,m−1 and λ ⁿ forn≥m is considered in this paper. The probability mass function is expressed in terms of an integral that is very convenient for computing probabilities, moments, generating functions and others. Using this representation, the mean and the k-th factorial moments of the distribution are obtained. Some nice characterizations of this distribution are also given.     

On the Exponential Decay Rate of the Tail of a Discrete Probability Distribution

Abstract

We give a sufficient condition for the exponential decay of the tail of a discrete probability distribution π = (π _n ) _n≥0 in the sense that lim _n→∞(1/n) log∑ _i>n π _i  = ?θ with 0 < θ < ∞. We focus on analytic properties of the probability generating function of a discrete probability distribution, especially, the radius of convergence and the number of poles on the circle of convergence. Furthermore, we give an example of an M/G/1 type Markov chain such that the tail of its stationary distribution does not decay exponentially.     

Stochastic Comparisons and Dependence of Spacings from Two Samples of Exponential Random Variables

Let X ₁,X ₂,…,X _n be independent exponential random variables such that X _i has hazard rate λ for i = 1,…,p and X _j has hazard rate λ* for j = p + 1,…,n, where 1 ≤ p < n. Denote by D _i:n (λ, λ*) = X _i:n  ? X _i?1:n the ith spacing of the order statistics X _1:n  ≤ X _2:n  ≤ ··· ≤ X _n:n , i = 1,…,n, where X _0:n ≡ 0. It is shown that the spacings (D _1,n ,D _2,n ,…,D _n:n ) are MTP₂, strengthening one result of Khaledi and Kochar (2000), and that (D _1:n (λ₂, λ*),…,D _n:n (λ₂, λ*)) ≤ _lr (D _1:n (λ₁, λ*),…,D _n:n (λ₁, λ*)) for λ₁ ≤ λ* ≤ λ₂, where ≤ _lr denotes the multivariate likelihood ratio order. A counterexample is also given to show that this comparison result is in general not true for λ* < λ₁ < λ₂.     

Some New Results on Likelihood Ratio Orderings for Spacings of Heterogeneous Exponential Random Variables

Let X ₁, X ₂,…, X _n be independent exponential random variables with X _i having failure rate λ _i for i = 1,…, n. Denote by D _i:n  = X _i:n  ? X _i?1:n the ith spacing of the order statistics X _1:n  ≤ X _2:n  ≤ ··· ≤ X _n:n , i = 1,…, n, where X _0:n ≡ 0. It is shown that if λ _n+1 ≤ [≥] λ _k for k = 1,…, n then D _n:n  ≤ _lr D _n+1:n+1 and D _1:n  ≤ _lr D _2:n+1 [D _2:n+1 ≤ _lr D _2:n ], and that if λ _i  + λ _j  ≥ λ _k for all distinct i,j, and k then D _n?1:n  ≤ _lr D _n:n and D _n:n+1 ≤ _lr D _n:n , where ≤ _lr denotes the likelihood ratio order. We also prove that D _1:n  ≤ _lr D _2:n for n ≥ 2 and D _2:3 ≤ _lr D _3:3 for all λ _i 's.     

Constants on a Uniform Berry-Esseen Bound on Some Borel Sets in ℝ k via Stein's Method

For each n, k ∈ ?, let Y _i  = (Y _i1, Y _i2,…, Y _ik ), 1 ≤ i ≤ n be independent random vectors in ? ^k with finite third moments and Y _ij are independent for all j = 1, 2,…, k. In this article, we use the Stein's technique to find constants in uniform bounds for multidimensional Berry-Esseen inequality on a closed sphere, a half plane and a rectangular set.     

Small-Sample Quantile Estimators in a Large Nonparametric Model

The large nonparametric model in this note is a statistical model with the family ? of all continuous and strictly increasing distribution functions. In the abundant literature of the subject, there are many proposals for nonparametric estimators that are applicable in the model. Typically the kth order statistic X _k:n is taken as a simplest estimator, with k = [nq], or k = [(n + 1)q], or k = [nq] + 1, etc. Often a linear combination of two consecutive order statistics is considered. In more sophisticated constructions, different L-statistics (e.g., Harrel–Davis, Kaigh–Lachenbruch, Bernstein, kernel estimators) are proposed. Asymptotically the estimators do not differ substantially, but if the sample size n is fixed, which is the case of our concern, differences may be serious. A unified treatment of quantile estimators in the large, nonparametric statistical model is developed.     

The Distribution of Sums of Certain I.I.D. Pareto Variates

ABSTRACT

Though the Pareto distribution is important to actuaries and economists, an exact expression for the distribution of the sum of n i.i.d. Pareto variates has been difficult to obtain in general. This article considers Pareto random variables with common probability density function (pdf) f(x) = (α/β) (1 + x/β)^α+1 for x > 0, where α = 1,2,… and β > 0 is a scale parameter. To date, explicit expressions are known only for a few special cases: (i) α = 1 and n = 1,2,3; (ii) 0 < α < 1 and n = 1,2,…; and (iii) 1 < α < 2 and n = 1,2,…. New expressions are provided for the more general case where β > 0, and α and n are positive integers. Laplace transforms and generalized exponential integrals are used to derive these expressions, which involve integrals of real valued functions on the positive real line. An important attribute of these expressions is that the integrands involved are non oscillating.     

Matching Three Moments with Minimal Acyclic Phase Type Distributions

Abstract

A number of approximate analysis techniques are based on matching moments of continuous time phase type (PH) distributions. This paper presents an explicit method to compose minimal order continuous time acyclic phase type (APH) distributions with a given first three moments. To this end we also evaluate the bounds for the first three moments of order n APH distributions (APH(n)). The investigations of these properties are based on a basic transformation, which extends the APH(n ? 1) class with an additional phase in order to describe the APH(n) class.     

New Generalizations of Cauchy Distribution

The generalized skew-normal distribution introduced by Balakrishnan (2002 Balakrishnan , N. ( 2002 ). Discussion on ‘Skew multivariate models related to hidden truncation and/or selective reporting’ by B. C. Arnold and R. J. Beaver . Test 11 : 37 – 39 .[Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) is used to obtain new generalizations of univariate Cauchy distribution with two parameters, denoted by GC _{m, n} (a, b) with m and n non-negative integer numbers and a, b ∈ R. For cases (m, n) = (1, 2), (m, n) = (2, 1), (m, n) = (0, 3) and (m, n) = (3, 0) explicit forms of the density functions are derived and compared to previous generalizations of Cauchy and skew-Cauchy distributions.     

Empirical Bayes Testing for the Mean Lifetime of Exponential Distributions: Unequal Sample Sizes Case

This paper deals with an empirical Bayes testing problem for the mean lifetimes of exponential distributions with unequal sample sizes. We study a method to construct empirical Bayes tests {δ* _nl + 1,n }^∞ _n = 1 for the sequence of the testing problems. The asymptotic optimality of {δ* _nl + 1,n }^∞ _n = 1 is studied. It is shown that the sequence of empirical Bayes tests {δ* _nl + 1,n }^∞ _n = 1 is asymptotically optimal, and its associated sequence of regrets converges to zero at a rate (ln n)^4M?1/n, where M is an upper bound of sample sizes.     

Improved Ordering Results for Fail-Safe Systems with Exponential Components

Let X_{2: n} and Y_{2: m} be the second order statistics from n independent exponential variables with hazards λ₁, …, λ_n, and an independent exponential sample of size m with hazard change to λ, respectively. When m ? n, we obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for comparing X_{2: n} and Y_{2: m} in mean residual life, dispersive, hazard rate, and likelihood ratio orderings based on some inequalities between λ_i’s and λ. The established results show how one can compare an (n ? 1)-out-of-n system consisting of heterogeneous components with exponential lifetimes with any (m ? 1)-out-of-m system consisting of homogeneous components with exponential lifetimes.     

Optimal Nonparametric Quantile Estimators. Towards a General Theory. A Survey

“Nonparametric” in the title is used to say that observations X ₁,…,X _n come from an unknown distribution F ∈ ? with ? being the class of all continuous and strictly increasing distribution functions. The problem is to estimate the quantile of a given order q ∈ (0,1) of the distribution F. The class ? of distributions is very large; it is so large that even X _nq:n , where nq is an integer, may be very poor estimator of the qth quantile. To assess the performance of estimators no properties based on moments may be used: expected values of estimators should be replaced by their medians, their variances—by some characteristics of concentration of distributions around the median. If an estimator is median-biased for one of distributions, the bias of the estimator may be infinitely large for other distributions. In the note optimal estimators with respect to various criteria of optimality are presented. The pivotal function F(T) of the estimator T is introduced which enables us to apply the classical statistical approach.     

Tree Structured QBD Markov Chains and Tree‐Like QBD Processes

Abstract

In this paper, we show that an arbitrary tree structured quasi‐birth–death (QBD) Markov chain can be embedded in a tree‐like QBD process with a special structure. Moreover, we present an algebraic proof that applying the natural fixed point iteration (FPI) to the nonlinear matrix equation V = B + ∑ _s=1 ^d U _s (I ? V)^?1 D _s that solves the tree‐like QBD process, is equivalent to the more complicated iterative algorithm presented by Yeung and Alfa (1996).     

A One Sided Test Based on Sample Quasi Ranges

Abstract

Let the data from the ith treatment/population follow a distribution with cumulative distribution function (cdf) F _i (x) = F[(x ? μ _i )/θ _i ], i = 1,…, k (k ≥ 2). Here μ _i (?∞ < μ _i  < ∞) is the location parameter, θ _i (θ _i  > 0) is the scale parameter and F(?) is any absolutely continuous cdf, i.e., F _i (?) is a member of location-scale family, i = 1,…, k. In this paper, we propose a class of tests to test the null hypothesis H ₀ ? θ₁ = · = θ _k against the simple ordered alternative H _A  ? θ₁ ≤ · ≤ θ _k with at least one strict inequality. In literature, use of sample quasi range as a measure of dispersion has been advocated for small sample size or sample contaminated by outliers [see David, H. A. (1981). Order Statistics. 2nd ed. New York: John Wiley, Sec. 7.4]. Let X _i1,…, X _in be a random sample of size n from the population π _i and R _ir  = X _i:n?r  ? X _i:r+1, r = 0, 1,…, [n/2] ? 1 be the sample quasi range corresponding to this random sample, where X _i:j represents the jth order statistic in the ith sample, j = 1,…, n; i = 1,…, k and [x] is the greatest integer less than or equal to x. The proposed class of tests, for the general location scale setup, is based on the statistic W _r  = max_1≤i<j≤k (R _jr /R _ir ). The test is reject H ₀ for large values of W _r . The construction of a three-decision procedure and simultaneous one-sided lower confidence bounds for the ratios, θ _j /θ _i , 1 ≤ i < j ≤ k, have also been discussed with the help of the critical constants of the test statistic W _r . Applications of the proposed class of tests to two parameter exponential and uniform probability models have been discussed separately with necessary tables. Comparisons of some members of our class with the tests of Gill and Dhawan [Gill A. N., Dhawan A. K. (1999). A One-sided test for testing homogeneity of scale parameters against ordered alternative. Commun. Stat. – Theory and Methods 28(10):2417–2439] and Kochar and Gupta [Kochar, S. C., Gupta, R. P. (1985). A class of distribution-free tests for testing homogeneity of variances against ordered alternatives. In: Dykstra, R. et al., ed. Proceedings of the Conference on Advances in Order Restricted Statistical Inference at Iowa city. Springer Verlag, pp. 169–183], in terms of simulated power, are also presented.     

On the Distribution of Matrix Quadratic Forms

A characterization of the distribution of the multivariate quadratic form given by X A X′, where X is a p × n normally distributed matrix and A is an n × n symmetric real matrix, is presented. We show that the distribution of the quadratic form is the same as the distribution of a weighted sum of non central Wishart distributed matrices. This is applied to derive the distribution of the sample covariance between the rows of X when the expectation is the same for every column and is estimated with the regular mean.     

Precise Large Deviations for Sums of Independent Random Variables with Consistently Varying Tails

In this article, we investigate the precise large deviations for a sum of independent but not identical distributed random variables. {X _n , n ≥ 1} are independent non-negative random variables with distribution functions {F _n , n ≥ 1}. We assume that the average of right tails of distribution functions F _n is equivalent to some distribution function F with consistently varying tails. In applications, we apply our main results to a realistic example (Pareto-type distribution) and obtain a specific result.     

Testing a covariance matrix: exact null distribution of its likelihood criterion

For X～ N _p (μ, Σ) testing H _o:Σ = Σ ₀, with Σ ₀ known, relies at present on an approximation of the null-distribution of the likelihood ratio statistic.

We present here the exact null distribution and also its computation, hence providing a precise tool that can be used in small sample cases.