A non-iterative posterior sampling algorithm for linear quantile regression model

In this article, a non-iterative posterior sampling algorithm for linear quantile regression model based on the asymmetric Laplace distribution is proposed. The algorithm combines the inverse Bayes formulae, sampling/importance resampling, and the expectation maximization algorithm to obtain independently and identically distributed samples approximately from the observed posterior distribution, which eliminates the convergence problems in the iterative Gibbs sampling and overcomes the difficulty in evaluating the standard deviance in the EM algorithm. The numeric results in simulations and application to the classical Engel data show that the non-iterative sampling algorithm is more effective than the Gibbs sampling and EM algorithm.     

Influence diagnostics for Student-t censored linear regression models

In this paper, we extend the censored linear regression model with normal errors to Student-t errors. A simple EM-type algorithm for iteratively computing maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters is presented. To examine the performance of the proposed model, case-deletion and local influence techniques are developed to show its robust aspect against outlying and influential observations. This is done by the analysis of the sensitivity of the EM estimates under some usual perturbation schemes in the model or data and by inspecting some proposed diagnostic graphics. The efficacy of the method is verified through the analysis of simulated data sets and modelling a real data set first analysed under normal errors. The proposed algorithm and methods are implemented in the R package CensRegMod.     

Multivariate measurement error models based on Student-t distribution under censored responses

Measurement error models constitute a wide class of models that include linear and nonlinear regression models. They are very useful to model many real-life phenomena, particularly in the medical and biological areas. The great advantage of these models is that, in some sense, they can be represented as mixed effects models, allowing us to implement well-known techniques, like the EM-algorithm for the parameter estimation. In this paper, we consider a class of multivariate measurement error models where the observed response and/or covariate are not fully observed, i.e., the observations are subject to certain threshold values below or above which the measurements are not quantifiable. Consequently, these observations are considered censored. We assume a Student-t distribution for the unobserved true values of the mismeasured covariate and the error term of the model, providing a robust alternative for parameter estimation. Our approach relies on a likelihood-based inference using an EM-type algorithm. The proposed method is illustrated through some simulation studies and the analysis of an AIDS clinical trial dataset.     

A non-iterative posterior sampling algorithm for Laplace linear regression model

In this article, a non-iterative sampling algorithm is developed to obtain an independently and identically distributed samples approximately from the posterior distribution of parameters in Laplace linear regression model. By combining the inverse Bayes formulae, sampling/importance resampling, and expectation maximum algorithm, the algorithm eliminates the diagnosis of convergence in the iterative Gibbs sampling and the samples generated from it can be used for inferences immediately. Simulations are conducted to illustrate the robustness and effectiveness of the algorithm. Finally, real data are studied to show the usefulness of the proposed methodology.     

Bayesian mismeasurement t-models for censored responses

This paper aims at introducing a Bayesian robust error-in-variable regression model in which the dependent variable is censored. We extend previous works by assuming a multivariate t distribution for jointly modelling the behaviour of the errors and the latent explanatory variable. Inference is done under the Bayesian paradigm. We use a data augmentation approach and develop a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the posterior distributions. We run a Monte Carlo study to evaluate the efficiency of the posterior estimators in different settings. We compare the proposed model to three other models previously discussed in the literature. As a by-product we also provide a Bayesian analysis of the t-tobit model. We fit all four models to analyse the 2001 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey data.     

A non-iterative sampling Bayesian method for linear mixed models with normal independent distributions

In this paper, we utilize normal/independent (NI) distributions as a tool for robust modeling of linear mixed models (LMM) under a Bayesian paradigm. The purpose is to develop a non-iterative sampling method to obtain i.i.d. samples approximately from the observed posterior distribution by combining the inverse Bayes formulae, sampling/importance resampling and posterior mode estimates from the expectation maximization algorithm to LMMs with NI distributions, as suggested by Tan et al. [33 Tan, M., Tian, G. and Ng, K. 2003. A noniterative sampling method for computing posteriors in the structure of EM-type algorithms. Statist. Sinica, 13(3): 625–640. [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]]. The proposed algorithm provides a novel alternative to perfect sampling and eliminates the convergence problems of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. In order to examine the robust aspects of the NI class, against outlying and influential observations, we present a Bayesian case deletion influence diagnostics based on the Kullback–Leibler divergence. Further, some discussions on model selection criteria are given. The new methodologies are exemplified through a real data set, illustrating the usefulness of the proposed methodology.     

Partially linear censored quantile regression

Censored regression quantile (CRQ) methods provide a powerful and flexible approach to the analysis of censored survival data when standard linear models are felt to be appropriate. In many cases however, greater flexibility is desired to go beyond the usual multiple regression paradigm. One area of common interest is that of partially linear models: one (or more) of the explanatory covariates are assumed to act on the response through a non-linear function. Here the CRQ approach of Portnoy (J Am Stat Assoc 98:1001–1012, 2003) is extended to this partially linear setting. Basic consistency results are presented. A simulation experiment and unemployment example justify the value of the partially linear approach over methods based on the Cox proportional hazards model and on methods not permitting nonlinearity.     

Detection of a change-point in student-t linear regression models

In this work the Schwarz Inforamtion Criterion (SIC) is used in order to locate a change-point in linear regression models with independent errors distributed according to the Student-t distribution. The methodology is applied to data sets from the financial area.     

Likelihood-based inference for censored linear regression models with scale mixtures of skew-normal distributions

In many studies, the data collected are subject to some upper and lower detection limits. Hence, the responses are either left or right censored. A complication arises when these continuous measures present heavy tails and asymmetrical behavior; simultaneously. For such data structures, we propose a robust-censored linear model based on the scale mixtures of skew-normal (SMSN) distributions. The SMSN is an attractive class of asymmetrical heavy-tailed densities that includes the skew-normal, skew-t, skew-slash, skew-contaminated normal and the entire family of scale mixtures of normal (SMN) distributions as special cases. We propose a fast estimation procedure to obtain the maximum likelihood (ML) estimates of the parameters, using a stochastic approximation of the EM (SAEM) algorithm. This approach allows us to estimate the parameters of interest easily and quickly, obtaining as a byproducts the standard errors, predictions of unobservable values of the response and the log-likelihood function. The proposed methods are illustrated through real data applications and several simulation studies.     

Consistency of l 1 estimates in censored linear regression models

In this paper, the regression model with a nonnegativity constraint on the dependent variable is considered. Under weak conditions, L ₁ estimates of the regression coefficients are shown to be consistent.     

Bayesian quantile regression for skew-normal linear mixed models

Linear mixed models have been widely used to analyze repeated measures data which arise in many studies. In most applications, it is assumed that both the random effects and the within-subjects errors are normally distributed. This can be extremely restrictive, obscuring important features of within-and among-subject variations. Here, quantile regression in the Bayesian framework for the linear mixed models is described to carry out the robust inferences. We also relax the normality assumption for the random effects by using a multivariate skew-normal distribution, which includes the normal ones as a special case and provides robust estimation in the linear mixed models. For posterior inference, we propose a Gibbs sampling algorithm based on a mixture representation of the asymmetric Laplace distribution and multivariate skew-normal distribution. The procedures are demonstrated by both simulated and real data examples.     

Bayesian quantile regression for hierarchical linear models

The paper proposes a Bayesian quantile regression method for hierarchical linear models. Existing approaches of hierarchical linear quantile regression models are scarce and most of them were not from the perspective of Bayesian thoughts, which is important for hierarchical models. In this paper, based on Bayesian theories and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, we introduce Asymmetric Laplace distributed errors to simulate joint posterior distributions of population parameters and across-unit parameters and then derive their posterior quantile inferences. We run a simulation as the proposed method to examine the effects on parameters induced by units and quantile levels; the method is also applied to study the relationship between Chinese rural residents' family annual income and their cultivated areas. Both the simulation and real data analysis indicate that the method is effective and accurate.     

Laplace approximations for censored linear regression models

We consider approximate Bayesian inference about scalar parameters of linear regression models with possible censoring. A second-order expansion of their Laplace posterior is seen to have a simple and intuitive form for logconcave error densities with nondecreasing hazard functions. The accuracy of the approximations is assessed for normal and Gumbel errors when the number of regressors increases with sample size. Perturbations of the prior and the likelihood are seen to be easily accommodated within our framework. Links with the work of DiCiccio et al. (1990) and Viveros and Sprott (1987) extend the applicability of our results to conditional frequentist inference based on likelihood-ratio statistics.     

Estimation for the censored partially linear quantile regression models

In this article, we develop estimation procedures for partially linear quantile regression models, where some of the responses are censored by another random variable. The nonparametric function is estimated by basis function approximations. The estimation procedure is easy to implement through existing weighted quantile regression, and it requires no specification of the error distributions. We show the large-sample properties of the resulting estimates, the proposed estimator of the regression parameter is root-n consistent and asymptotically normal and the estimator of the functional component achieves the optimal convergence rate of the nonparametric function. The proposed method is studied via simulations and illustrated with the analysis of a primary biliary cirrhosis (BPC) data.     

Second-order least squares estimation of censored regression models

This paper proposes the second-order least squares estimation, which is an extension of the ordinary least squares method, for censored regression models where the error term has a general parametric distribution (not necessarily normal). The strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimator are derived under fairly general regularity conditions. We also propose a computationally simpler estimator which is consistent and asymptotically normal under the same regularity conditions. Finite sample behavior of the proposed estimators under both correctly and misspecified models are investigated through Monte Carlo simulations. The simulation results show that the proposed estimator using optimal weighting matrix performs very similar to the maximum likelihood estimator, and the estimator with the identity weight is more robust against the misspecification.     

A flexible semiparametric regression model for bimodal,asymmetric and censored data

In this paper, we propose a new semiparametric heteroscedastic regression model allowing for positive and negative skewness and bimodal shapes using the B-spline basis for nonlinear effects. The proposed distribution is based on the generalized additive models for location, scale and shape framework in order to model any or all parameters of the distribution using parametric linear and/or nonparametric smooth functions of explanatory variables. We motivate the new model by means of Monte Carlo simulations, thus ignoring the skewness and bimodality of the random errors in semiparametric regression models, which may introduce biases on the parameter estimates and/or on the estimation of the associated variability measures. An iterative estimation process and some diagnostic methods are investigated. Applications to two real data sets are presented and the method is compared to the usual regression methods.     

Bayesian analysis of censored linear regression models with scale mixtures of normal distributions

As is the case of many studies, the data collected are limited and an exact value is recorded only if it falls within an interval range. Hence, the responses can be either left, interval or right censored. Linear (and nonlinear) regression models are routinely used to analyze these types of data and are based on normality assumptions for the errors terms. However, those analyzes might not provide robust inference when the normality assumptions are questionable. In this article, we develop a Bayesian framework for censored linear regression models by replacing the Gaussian assumptions for the random errors with scale mixtures of normal (SMN) distributions. The SMN is an attractive class of symmetric heavy-tailed densities that includes the normal, Student-t, Pearson type VII, slash and the contaminated normal distributions, as special cases. Using a Bayesian paradigm, an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is introduced to carry out posterior inference. A new hierarchical prior distribution is suggested for the degrees of freedom parameter in the Student-t distribution. The likelihood function is utilized to compute not only some Bayesian model selection measures but also to develop Bayesian case-deletion influence diagnostics based on the q-divergence measure. The proposed Bayesian methods are implemented in the R package BayesCR. The newly developed procedures are illustrated with applications using real and simulated data.     

Gibbs sampling methods for Bayesian quantile regression

This paper considers quantile regression models using an asymmetric Laplace distribution from a Bayesian point of view. We develop a simple and efficient Gibbs sampling algorithm for fitting the quantile regression model based on a location-scale mixture representation of the asymmetric Laplace distribution. It is shown that the resulting Gibbs sampler can be accomplished by sampling from either normal or generalized inverse Gaussian distribution. We also discuss some possible extensions of our approach, including the incorporation of a scale parameter, the use of double exponential prior, and a Bayesian analysis of Tobit quantile regression. The proposed methods are illustrated by both simulated and real data.     

Testing for overdispersion in a censored Poisson regression model

In this article, we investigate the efficiency of score tests for testing a censored Poisson regression model against censored negative binomial regression alternatives. Based on the results of a simulation study, score tests using the normal approximation, underestimate the nominal significance level. To remedy this problem, bootstrap methods are proposed. We find that bootstrap methods keep the significance level close to the nominal one and have greater power uniformly than does the normal approximation for testing the hypothesis.