Statistical inference for partially time-varying coefficient errors-in-variables models

This paper studies the partially time-varying coefficient models where some covariates are measured with additive errors. In order to overcome the bias of the usual profile least squares estimation when measurement errors are ignored, we propose a modified profile least squares estimator of the regression parameter and construct estimators of the nonlinear coefficient function and error variance. The proposed three estimators are proved to be asymptotically normal under mild conditions. In addition, we introduce the profile likelihood ratio test and then demonstrate that it follows an asymptotically χ²${\chi }^2$ distribution under the null hypothesis. Finite sample behavior of the estimators is investigated via simulations too.     

Adaptive Estimation Using Weighted Least Squares

This paper proposes an adaptive estimator that is more precise than the ordinary least squares estimator if the distribution of random errors is skewed or has long tails. The adaptive estimates are computed using a weighted least squares approach with weights based on the lengths of the tails of the distribution of residuals. Smaller weights are assigned to those observations that have residuals in the tails of long-tailed distributions and larger weights are assigned to observations having residuals in the tails of short-tailed distributions. Monte Carlo methods are used to compare the performance of the proposed estimator and the performance of the ordinary least squares estimator. The estimates that were studied in this simulation include the difference between the means of two populations, the mean of a symmetric distribution, and the slope of a regression line. The adaptive estimators are shown to have lower mean squared errors than those for the ordinary least squares estimators for short-tailed, long-tailed, and skewed distributions, provided the sample size is at least 20. The ordinary least squares estimator has slightly lower mean squared error for normally distributed errors. The adaptive estimator is recommended for general use for studies having sample sizes of at least 20 observations unless the random errors are known to be normally distributed.     

Efficient Estimation and Robust Inference of Linear Regression Models in the Presence of Heteroscedastic Errors and High Leverage Points

It is common for linear regression models that the error variances are not the same for all observations and there are some high leverage data points. In such situations, the available literature advocates the use of heteroscedasticity consistent covariance matrix estimators (HCCME) for the testing of regression coefficients. Primarily, such estimators are based on the residuals derived from the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator that itself can be seriously inefficient in the presence of heteroscedasticity. To get efficient estimation, many efficient estimators, namely the adaptive estimators are available but their performance has not been evaluated yet when the problem of heteroscedasticity is accompanied with the presence of high leverage data. In this article, the presence of high leverage data is taken into account to evaluate the performance of the adaptive estimator in terms of efficiency. Furthermore, our numerical work also evaluates the performance of the robust standard errors based on this efficient estimator in terms of interval estimation and null rejection rate (NRR).     

Kernel regression estimation in a Banach space

In this paper, we study a nonparametric regression estimator when the response variable is in a separable Banach space and the explanatory variable takes values in a separable semi-metric space. Under general conditions, we establish some asymptotic results and give upper bounds for the p$p$-mean and almost sure (pointwise and integrated) estimation errors. Finally, we present the case where the explanatory variable is the Wiener process.     

A surprising property of uniformly best linear affine estimation in linear regression when prior information is fuzzy

It is already shown in Arnold and Stahlecker (2009) that, in linear regression, a uniformly best estimator exists in the class of all Γ-compatible$\Gamma \text{-compatible}$ linear affine estimators. Here, prior information is given by a fuzzy set Γ$\Gamma$ defined by its ellipsoidal α-cuts$\alpha \text{-cuts}$. Surprisingly, such a uniformly best linear affine estimator is uniformly best not only in the class of all Γ-compatible$\Gamma \text{-compatible}$ linear affine estimators but also in the class of all estimators satisfying a very weak and sensible condition. This property of a uniformly best linear affine estimator is shown in the present paper. Furthermore, two illustrative special cases are mentioned, where a generalized least squares estimator on the one hand and a general ridge or Kuks–Olman estimator on the other hand turn out to be uniformly best.     

Mantel-Haenszel estimators for irregular sparse K2×J tables

This paper deals with sparse K2×J(J>2)$K2\times J(J>2)$ tables. Projection-method Mantel–Haenszel (MH) estimators of the common odds ratios have been proposed for K2×J$K2\times J$ tables, which include Greenland's generalized MH estimator as a special case. The method projects log-transformed MH estimators for all K2×2$K2\times 2$ subtables, which were called naive MH estimators, onto a linear space spanned by log odds ratios. However, for sparse tables it is often the case that naive MH estimators are unable to be computed. In this paper we introduce alternative naive MH estimators using a graph that represents K2×J$K2\times J$ tables, and apply the projection to these alternative estimators. The idea leads to infinitely many reasonable estimators and we propose a method to choose the optimal one by solving a quadratic optimization problem induced by the graph, where some graph-theoretic arguments play important roles to simplify the optimization problem. An illustration is given using data from a case–control study. A simulation study is also conducted, which indicates that the MH estimator tends to have a smaller mean squared error than the MH estimator previously suggested and the conditional maximum likelihood estimator for sparse tables.     

Estimating the variance in nonparametric regression—what is a reasonable choice?

The exact mean-squared error (MSE) of estimators of the variance in nonparametric regression based on quadratic forms is investigated. In particular, two classes of estimators are compared: Hall, Kay and Titterington's optimal difference-based estimators and a class of ordinary difference-based estimators which generalize methods proposed by Rice and Gasser, Sroka and Jennen-Steinmetz. For small sample sizes the MSE of the first estimator is essentially increased by the magnitude of the integrated first two squared derivatives of the regression function. It is shown that in many situations ordinary difference-based estimators are more appropriate for estimating the variance, because they control the bias much better and hence have a much better overall performance. It is also demonstrated that Rice's estimator does not always behave well. Data-driven guidelines are given to select the estimator with the smallest MSE.     

Regression with outlier shrinkage

We propose a robust regression method called regression with outlier shrinkage (ROS) for the traditional n>p$n>p$ cases. It improves over the other robust regression methods such as least trimmed squares (LTS) in the sense that it can achieve maximum breakdown value and full asymptotic efficiency simultaneously. Moreover, its computational complexity is no more than that of LTS. We also propose a sparse estimator, called sparse regression with outlier shrinkage (SROS), for robust variable selection and estimation. It is proven that SROS can not only give consistent selection but also estimate the nonzero coefficients with full asymptotic efficiency under the normal model. In addition, we introduce a concept of nearly regression equivariant estimator for understanding the breakdown properties of sparse estimators, and prove that SROS achieves the maximum breakdown value of nearly regression equivariant estimators. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate our methods.     

Developing a restricted two-parameter Liu-type estimator: A comparison of restricted estimators in the binary logistic regression model

In the context of estimating regression coefficients of an ill-conditioned binary logistic regression model, we develop a new biased estimator having two parameters for estimating the regression vector parameter β when it is subjected to lie in the linear subspace restriction Hβ = h. The matrix mean squared error and mean squared error (MSE) functions of these newly defined estimators are derived. Moreover, a method to choose the two parameters is proposed. Then, the performance of the proposed estimator is compared to that of the restricted maximum likelihood estimator and some other existing estimators in the sense of MSE via a Monte Carlo simulation study. According to the simulation results, the performance of the estimators depends on the sample size, number of explanatory variables, and degree of correlation. The superiority region of our proposed estimator is identified based on the biasing parameters, numerically. It is concluded that the new estimator is superior to the others in most of the situations considered and it is recommended to the researchers.     

On the improved estimation of a function of the scale parameter of an exponential distribution based on doubly censored sample

In the present article, we have studied the estimation of entropy, that is, a function of scale parameter ln⁡σ of an exponential distribution based on doubly censored sample when the location parameter is restricted to positive real line. The estimation problem is studied under a general class of bowl-shaped non monotone location invariant loss functions. It is established that the best affine equivariant estimator (BAEE) is inadmissible by deriving an improved estimator. This estimator is non-smooth. Further, we have obtained a smooth improved estimator. A class of estimators is considered and sufficient conditions are derived under which these estimators improve upon the BAEE. In particular, using these results we have obtained the improved estimators for the squared error and the linex loss functions. Finally, we have compared the risk performance of the proposed estimators numerically. One data analysis has been performed for illustrative purposes.     

Estimation of dynamic panel data models with both individual and time-specific effects

This paper proposes a generalized least squares and a generalized method of moment estimators for dynamic panel data models with both individual-specific and time-specific effects. We also demonstrate that the common estimators ignoring the presence of time-specific effects are inconsistent when N→∞$N\to \infty$ but T is finite if the time-specific effects are indeed present. Monte Carlo studies are also conducted to investigate the finite sample properties of various estimators. It is found that the generalized least squares estimator has the smallest bias and root mean square error, and also has nominal size close to the empirical size. It is also found that even when there is no presence of time-specific effects, there is hardly any efficiency loss of the generalized least squares estimator assuming its presence compared to the generalized least squares estimator allowing only the presence of individual-specific effects.     

Two-parameter ridge estimator in the binary logistic regression

The binary logistic regression is a commonly used statistical method when the outcome variable is dichotomous or binary. The explanatory variables are correlated in some situations of the logit model. This problem is called multicollinearity. It is known that the variance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is inflated in the presence of multicollinearity. Therefore, in this study, we define a new two-parameter ridge estimator for the logistic regression model to decrease the variance and overcome multicollinearity problem. We compare the new estimator to the other well-known estimators by studying their mean squared error (MSE) properties. Moreover, a Monte Carlo simulation is designed to evaluate the performances of the estimators. Finally, a real data application is illustrated to show the applicability of the new method. According to the results of the simulation and real application, the new estimator outperforms the other estimators for all of the situations considered.     

Improving the estimators of the parameters of a probit regression model: A ridge regression approach

This paper considered the estimation of the regression parameters of a general probit regression model. Accordingly, we proposed five ridge regression (RR) estimators for the probit regression models for estimating the parameters (β)$(\beta )$ when the weighted design matrix is ill-conditioned and it is suspected that the parameter β$\beta$ may belong to a linear subspace defined by Hβ=h$H\beta =h$. Asymptotic properties of the estimators are studied with respect to quadratic biases, MSE matrices and quadratic risks. The regions of optimality of the proposed estimators are determined based on the quadratic risks. Some relative efficiency tables and risk graphs are provided to illustrate the numerical comparison of the estimators. We conclude that when q≥3$q\ge 3$, one would uses PRRRE; otherwise one uses PTRRE with some optimum size α$\alpha$. We also discuss the performance of the proposed estimators compare to the alternative ridge regression method due to Liu (1993).     

On choosing estimators'in a simple linear errors-in-variables model

This paper focuses on studying the accuracy of two well-known estimators in a simple errors-in-variables model, the ordinary least squares and the corrected least squares estimator. As a measure of accuracy of the estimators, the mean squared error is adopted. While Ketellapper (1983) addressed this issue for the case where the error of measurement in the independent variable is known, the present article is concerned with this comparison for the case where the ratio of the error variances is known. Comparison of the mean squared errors of the above estimators leads to a simple rule involving quantities estimable from the data, which can be used for deciding which of the two to be preferred on the basis of higher accuracy.     

Finite sample properties of an HPT estimator when each individual regression coefficient is estimated in a misspecified linear regression model

ABSTRACT

In this paper, assuming that there exist omitted variables in the specified model, we analytically derive the exact formula for the mean squared error (MSE) of a heterogeneous pre-test (HPT) estimator whose components are the ordinary least squares (OLS) and feasible ridge regression (FRR) estimators. Since we cannot examine the MSE performance analytically, we execute numerical evaluations to investigate small sample properties of the HPT estimator, and compare the MSE performance of the HPT estimator with those of the FRR estimator and the usual OLS estimator. Our numerical results show that (1) the HPT estimator is more efficient when the model misspecification is severe; (2) the HPT estimator with the optimal critical value obtained under the correctly specified model can be safely used even when there exist omitted variables in the specified model.     

Comparisons of the <Emphasis Type="Italic">r</Emphasis> − <Emphasis Type="Italic">k</Emphasis> class estimator to the ordinary least squares estimator under the Pitman’s closeness criterion

In the presence of multicollinearity, the r − k class estimator is proposed as an alternative to the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator which is a general estimator including the ordinary ridge regression (ORR), the principal components regression (PCR) and the OLS estimators. Comparison of competing estimators of a parameter in the sense of mean square error (MSE) criterion is of central interest. An alternative criterion to the MSE criterion is the Pitman’s (1937) closeness (PC) criterion. In this paper, we compare the r − k class estimator to the OLS estimator in terms of PC criterion so that we can get the comparison of the ORR estimator to the OLS estimator under the PC criterion which was done by Mason et al. (1990) and also the comparison of the PCR estimator to the OLS estimator by means of the PC criterion which was done by Lin and Wei (2002).     

Improved reduced-bias tail index and quantile estimators

In this paper, we deal with bias reduction techniques for heavy tails, trying to improve mainly upon the performance of classical high quantile estimators. High quantiles depend strongly on the tail index γ$\gamma$, for which new classes of reduced-bias estimators have recently been introduced, where the second-order parameters in the bias are estimated at a level _k1$k_1$ of a larger order than the level k at which the tail index is estimated. Doing this, it was seen that the asymptotic variance of the new estimators could be kept equal to the one of the popular Hill estimators. In a similar way, we now introduce new classes of tail index and associated high quantile estimators, with an asymptotic mean squared error smaller than that of the classical ones for all k in a large class of heavy-tailed models. We derive their asymptotic distributional properties and compare them with those of alternative estimators. Next to that, an illustration of the finite sample behavior of the estimators is also provided through a Monte Carlo simulation study and the application to a set of real data in the field of insurance.     

Efficiency of least squares estimators in the presence of spatial autocorrelation

The effect of spatial autocorrelation on inferences made using ordinary least squares estimation is considered. It is found, in some cases, that ordinary least squares estimators provide a reasonable alternative to the estimated generalized least squares estimators recommended in the spatial statistics literature. One of the most serious problems in using ordinary least squares is that the usual variance estimators are severely biased when the errors are correlated. An alternative variance estimator that adjusts for any observed correlation is proposed. The need to take autocorrelation into account in variance estimation negates much of the advantage that ordinary least squares estimation has in terms of computational simplicity     

Asymptotic normality of estimators in heteroscedastic errors-in-variables model

This article is concerned with the estimating problem of heteroscedastic partially linear errors-in-variables models. We derive the asymptotic normality for estimators of the slope parameter and the nonparametric component in the case of known error variance with stationary $\alpha $ -mixing random errors. Also, when the error variance is unknown, the asymptotic normality for the estimators of the slope parameter and the nonparametric component as well as variance function is considered under independent assumptions. Finite sample behavior of the estimators is investigated via simulations too.     

Robust regression estimators compared via monte carlo

This paper presents results of a Monte Carlo simulation of eight families of robust regression estimators in various situations. The effects studied include long-tailed error terms, measurement error in the independent variables, various spacings of the independent variables, different sample sizes and correlation between the independent variables. An estimator that combines the best features of several of the estimators is recommended for further study.