Globally applicable control chart for online monitoring of stability of process mean

The shape features of run chart patterns of the most recent m observations arising from stable and unstable processes are different. Using this fact, a new monitoring statistic is defined whose value for given m depends on the pattern parameters but not on the process parameters. A control chart for this statistic for given m, therefore, will be globally applicable to normal processes. The simulation study reveals that the proposed statistic approximately follows normal distribution. The performances of the globally applicable control chart in terms of average run lengths (ARLs) are evaluated and compared with the X chart. Both in-control ARL and out-of-control ARLs with respect to different abnormal process conditions are found to be larger than the X chart. However, the proposed concept is promising because it can eliminate the burden of designing separate control charts for different quality characteristics or processes in a manufacturing set-up.     

A new S2 control chart using repetitive sampling

A new S² control chart is presented for monitoring the process variance by utilizing a repetitive sampling scheme. The double control limits called inner and outer control limits are proposed, whose coefficients are determined by considering the average run length (ARL) and the average sample number when the process is in control. The proposed control chart is compared with the existing Shewhart S² control chart in terms of the ARLs. The result shows that the proposed control chart is more efficient than the existing control chart in detecting the process shift.     

The Robustness of the MaxEWMA Chart to Non-normality

Abstract

The MaxEWMA chart has recently been introduced as an improvement over the standard EWMA chart for detecting changes in the mean and/or standard deviation of a normally distributed process. Although this chart was originally developed for normally distributed process data, its robustness to violations of the normality assumption is the central theme of this study. For data distributions with heavy tails or displaying strong skewness, the in-control average run lengths (ARLs) for the MaxEWMA chart are shown to be significantly shorter than expected. On the other hand, out-of-control ARLs are comparable to normal theory values for a variety of symmetric non-normal distributions. The MaxEWMA chart is not robust to skewness.     

On first-order integer-valued autoregressive process with Katz family innovations

This paper considers the first-order integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) process with Katz family innovations. This family of INAR processes includes a broad class of INAR(1) processes with Poisson, negative binomial, and binomial innovations, respectively, featuring equi-, over-, and under-dispersion. Its probabilistic properties such as ergodicity and stationarity are investigated and the formula of the marginal mean and variance is provided. Further, a statistical process control procedure based on the cumulative sum control chart is considered to monitor autocorrelated count processes. A simulation and real data analysis are conducted for illustration.     

Improved R and s control charts for monitoring the process variance

The Shewhart R control chart and s control chart are widely used to monitor shifts in the process spread. One fact is that the distributions of the range and sample standard deviation are highly skewed. Therefore, the R chart and s chart neither provide an in-control average run length (ARL) of approximately 370 nor guarantee the desired type I error of 0.0027. Another disadvantage of these two charts is their failure in detecting an improvement in the process variability. In order to overcome these shortcomings, we propose the improved R chart (IRC) and s chart (ISC) with accurate approximation of the control limits by using cumulative distribution functions of the sample range and standard deviation. Simulation studies show that the IRC and ISC perform very well. We also compare the type II error risks and ARLs of the IRC and ISC and found that the s chart is generally more efficient than the R chart. Examples are given to illustrate the use of the developed charts.     

Maximum Chi-Square Generally Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Mean and Variability

In this article, we propose a new control chart called the maximum chi-square generally weighted moving average (MCSGWMA) control chart. This control chart can effectively combine two generally weighted moving average (GWMA) control charts into a single one and can detect both increases as well as decreases in the process mean and/or variability simultaneously. The average run length (ARL) characteristics of the MCSGWMA and maximum exponentially weighted moving average (MaxEWMA) charts are evaluated by performing computer simulations. The comparison of the ARLs shows that the MCSGWMA control chart performs better than the MaxEWMA control chart.     

Fast Initial Response Features for Poisson GWMA Control Charts

The Poisson GWMA (PGWMA) control chart is an extension model of Poisson EWMA chart. It is substantially sensitive to small process shifts for monitoring Poisson observations. Recently, some approaches have been proposed to modify EWMA charts with fast initial response (FIR) features. In this article, we employ these approaches in PGWMA charts and introduce a novel chart called Poisson double GWMA (PDGWMA) chart for comparison. Using simulation, various control schemes are designed and their average run lengths (ARLs) are computer and compared. It is shown that the PDGWMA chart is the first choice in detecting small shifts especially when the shifts are downward, and the PGWMA chart with adjusted time-varying control limits performs excellently in detecting great process shifts during the initial stage.     

A new approach for monitoring process variance

ABSTRACT

Control charts are effective tools for signal detection in both manufacturing processes and service processes. Much service data come from a process with variables having non-normal or unknown distributions. The commonly used Shewhart variable control charts, which depend heavily on the normality assumption, should not be properly used in such circumstances. In this paper, we propose a new variance chart based on a simple statistic to monitor process variance shifts. We explore the sampling properties of the new monitoring statistic and calculate the average run lengths (ARLs) of the proposed variance chart. Furthermore, an arcsine transformed exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart is proposed because the ARLs of this modified chart are more intuitive and reasonable than those of the variance chart. We compare the out-of-control variance detection performance of the proposed variance chart with that of the non-parametric Mood variance (NP-M) chart with runs rules, developed by Zombade and Ghute [Nonparametric control chart for variability using runs rules. Experiment. 2014;24(4):1683–1691], and the nonparametric likelihood ratio-based distribution-free exponential weighted moving average (NLE) chart and the combination of traditional exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) mean and EWMA variance (CEW) control chart proposed by Zou and Tsung [Likelihood ratio-based distribution-free EWMA control charts. J Qual Technol. 2010;42(2):174–196] by considering cases in which the critical quality characteristic has a normal, a double exponential or a uniform distribution. Comparison results showed that the proposed chart performs better than the NP-M with runs rules, and the NLE and CEW control charts. A numerical example of service times with a right-skewed distribution from a service system of a bank branch in Taiwan is used to illustrate the application of the proposed variance chart and of the arcsine transformed EWMA chart and to compare them with three existing variance (or standard deviation) charts. The proposed charts show better detection performance than those three existing variance charts in monitoring and detecting shifts in the process variance.     

A control chart for monitoring process variation using multiple dependent state sampling

A control chart for monitoring process variation by using multiple dependent state (MDS) sampling is constructed in the present article. The operational formulas for in-control and out-of-control average run lengths (ARLs) are derived. Control constants are established by considering the target in-control ARL at a normal process. The extensive ARL tables are reported for various parameters and shifted values of process parameters. The performance of the proposed control chart has been evaluated with several existing charts in regard of ARLs, which empowered the presented chart and proved far better for timely detection of assignable causes. The application of the proposed concept is illustrated with a real-life industrial example and a simulation-based study to elaborate strength of the proposed chart over the existing concepts.     

CUSUM chart for detecting range shifts when monotonicity of likelihood ratio is invalid

It is often encountered in the literature that the log-likelihood ratios (LLR) of some distributions (e.g. the student t distribution) are not monotonic. Existing charts for monitoring such processes may suffer from the fact that the average run length (ARL) curve is a discontinuous function of control limit. It implies that some pre-specified in-control (IC) ARLs of these charts may not be reached. To guarantee the false alarm rate of a control chart lower than the nominal level, a larger IC ARL is usually suggested in the literature. However, the large IC ARL may weaken the performance of a control chart when the process is out-of-control (OC), compared with a just right IC ARL. To overcome it, we adjust the LLR to be a monotonic one in this paper. Based on it, a multiple CUSUM chart is developed to detect range shifts in IC distribution. Theoretical result in this paper ensures the continuity of its ARL curve. Numerical results show our proposed chart performs well under the range shifts, especially under the large shifts. In the end, a real data example is utilized to illustrate our proposed chart.     

The Robustness of the Three-Way Chart to Non Normality

In batch processing, the Three-Way control chart has been offered for controlling the mean of a process when the batch-to-batch variation is much greater than the within-batch variation. These two sources of variation are typically monitored along with usual batch sample means. Although the Three-Way chart was originally developed for normally distributed process data, its robustness to violations of the normality assumption is the central theme of this study. For data streams with heavy tails or displaying skewness, the in-control average run lengths (ARLs) for the Three-Way chart are seen to be significantly shorter than expected. On the other hand, out-of-control ARLs are much longer than the normal theory benchmarks for symmetric non-normal distributions. The Three-Way chart is not robust to moderate or strong skewness.     

Properties and performance of one-sided cumulative count of conforming chart with parameter estimation in high-quality processes

The one-sided cumulative count of conforming (CCC) chart is a useful method to monitor nonconforming fraction in high-quality manufacturing processes. The nonconforming fraction parameter is assumed to be known when implementing a one-sided CCC chart. In this study, we investigated the impact of estimated nonconforming fraction, [pcirc] ₀, in a one-sided CCC chart. The run length distribution is derived as well as the conditional probability of a false alarm rate (CFAR), conditional average run length (CARL) and its standard deviation (CSDRL). Simulation results are conducted to evaluate the effect of [pcirc] ₀ in a one-sided CCC chart. The results show that values of CFAR, CARL and CSDRL are close to the nominal values for a large sample. The impact of estimation errors was also studied. We find that CFAR decreases for large [pcirc] ₀. Thus, a large value of [pcirc] ₀ is suggested for fewer false alarms.     

One-sided EWMA control charts for monitoring Poisson processes with varying sample sizes

ABSTRACT

Recently considerable research has been devoted to monitoring increases of incidence rate of adverse rare events. This paper extends some one-sided upper exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts from monitoring normal means to monitoring Poisson rate when sample sizes are varying over time. The approximated average run length bounds are derived for these EWMA-type charts and compared with the EWMA chart previously studied. Extensive simulations have been conducted to compare the performance of these EWMA-type charts. An illustrative example is given.     

Some Comments Regarding the Synthetic Chart

The steady-state average run length (ARL) is a function of the in-control probabilities of being in each nonabsorbing state. Davis and Woodall (2002) tabulated values that are significantly smaller than the steady-state ARLs, because they used the out-of-control probabilities. The synthetic chart signals when a second sample point falls beyond the control limits, no matter whether one of them falls above the centerline and the other falls below it. The side-sensitive version of the synthetic chart does not signal when the points beyond the control limits are on opposite sides. With this rule, the chart detects mean changes more quickly.     

Determining Optimal Number of Samples for Constructing Multivariate Control Charts

Normally, an average run length (ARL) is used as a measure for evaluating the detecting performance of a multivariate control chart. This has a direct impact on the false alarm cost in Phase II. In this article, we first conduct a simulation study to calculate both in-control and out-of-control ARLs under various combinations of process shifts and number of samples. Then, a trade-off analysis between sampling inspection and false alarm costs is performed. Both the simulation results and trade-off analysis suggest that the optimal number of samples for constructing a multivariate control chart in Phase I can be determined.     

Monitoring the mean of autocorrelated observations with one generally weighted moving average control chart

Traditionally, using a control chart to monitor a process assumes that process observations are normally and independently distributed. In fact, for many processes, products are either connected or autocorrelated and, consequently, obtained observations are autocorrelative rather than independent. In this scenario, applying an independence assumption instead of autocorrelation for process monitoring is unsuitable. This study examines a generally weighted moving average (GWMA) with a time-varying control chart for monitoring the mean of a process based on autocorrelated observations from a first-order autoregressive process (AR(1)) with random error. Simulation is utilized to evaluate the average run length (ARL) of exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) and GWMA control charts. Numerous comparisons of ARLs indicate that the GWMA control chart requires less time to detect various shifts at low levels of autocorrelation than those at high levels of autocorrelation. The GWMA control chart is more sensitive than the EWMA control chart for detecting small shifts in a process mean.     

CUSUM Control Charts for Multivariate Poisson Distribution

A cumulative sum control chart for multivariate Poisson distribution (MP-CUSUM) is proposed. The MP-CUSUM chart is constructed based on log-likelihood ratios with in-control parameters, Θ₀, and shifts to be detected quickly, Θ₁. The average run length (ARL) values are obtained using a Markov Chain-based method. Numerical experiments show that the MP-CUSUM chart is effective in detecting parameter shifts in terms of ARL. The MP-CUSUM chart with smaller Θ₁ is more sensitive than that with greater Θ₁ to smaller shifts, but more insensitive to greater shifts. A comparison shows that the proposed MP-CUSUM chart outperforms an existing MP chart.     

Accounting for phase I sampling variability in the performance of the MEWMA control chart with estimated parameters

In this article, we assess the performance of the multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) control chart with estimated parameters while considering the practitioner-to-practitioner variability. We evaluate the chart performance in terms of the in-control average run length (ARL) distributional properties; mainly the average (AARL), the standard deviation (SDARL), and some percentiles. We show through simulations that using estimates in place of the in-control parameters may result in an in-control ARL distribution that almost completely lies below the desired value. We also show that even with the use of larger amounts of historical data, there is still a problem with the excessive false alarm rates. We recommend the use of a recently proposed bootstrap-based design technique for adjusting the control limits. The technique is quite effective in controlling the percentage of short in-control ARLs resulting from the estimation error.     

Copula-Based Bivariate ZIP Control Chart for Monitoring Rare Events

One difficulty with developing multivariate attribute control charts is the lack of the related joint distribution. So, if it would be possible to generate the joint distribution of two (or more) attribute characteristics, then a bivaraite (or multivariate) attribute control chart can be developed based on Types I and II errors. Copula function is a solution to the matter. In this article, applying the copula function approach, we achieve the joint distribution of two correlated zero inflated Poisson (ZIP) distributions. Then, using this joint distribution, we develop a bivaraite control chart which can be used for monitoring correlated rare events. This copula-based bivariate ZIP control chart is compared with the simultaneous use of two separate univariate ZIP control charts. Based on the average run length (ARL) measure, it is shown that the proposed control chart is much better than the simultaneous use of two separate univariate charts. In addition, a real case study related to the environmental air in a sterilization process is investigated to show the applicability of the developed control chart.