ON CHARACTERIZATIONS THROUGH MIXED SUMS

Let X, X‘ and X“ be independent and have the same law, and let U be uniform on [0,1] and independent of X’ and XI”. A problem which has received considerable attention is to identify the laws of X for which X =c U(X‘+X“), the equality being in law. If X is positive it has an exponential law, and mixture solutions exist without the sign restriction. The problem has been extended to allow more summands on either side and to let U have a special beta law. In the positive case X then has a gamma law. This problem is tackled in full generality by considering an integral equation for the characteristic function of X. Uniqueness results and necessary conditions are given. The general case is reduced to that where X is positive, and the solution of the corresponding integral equation is constructed under the necessary conditions. This is shown to characterize all possible laws of X when there is a single summand on the left and U has an arbitrary law on [0,1]. Examples are given and known particular results are sharpened.     

CORRELATIONS AND CHARACTERIZATIONS OF THE UNIFORM DISTRIBUTION

Two characterizations of the uniform distribution on a suitable compact space are proved. These characterizations are applied to a number of particular examples of which the most interesting is the following: if X , Y and Z are independent n-vectors whose components are independent and identically distributed within a vector, then the pairwise independence of the product moment correlation coefficients between X , Y and Z implies that these vectors are normally distributed.     

MOMENT ESTIMATION IN THE CLASS OF BISEXUAL BRANCHING PROCESSES WITH POPULATION–SIZE DEPENDENT MATING

This paper concerns the estimation of the offspring mean vector, the covariance matrix and the growth rate in the class of bisexual branching processes with population‐size dependent mating. For the proposed estimators, some unconditional moments and some conditioned to non‐extinction are determined and asymptotic properties are established. Confidence intervals are obtained and, as illustration, a simulation example is given.     

BEADS,BAGS, BAYES,AND THE FUNDAMENTAL PROBLEM OF SAMPLING THEORY

Motivated by a discussion of an elementary probability puzzle provided by Anderson and Provost [1] Anderson, O. D. and Provost, S. B. 1992. Beads, bags and Bayes. Int. J. Math. Educ. Sci. Technol., 23: 25–37. [Taylor & Francis Online] , [Google Scholar], we review what may be called the fundamental problem of finite population sampling theory and propose that only super-model or Bayesian approaches to finite population sampling are acceptable.     

STRATEGY, NONTRANSITIVE DOMINANCE AND THE EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION

An easily programmed recursive formula for the evaluation of the distribution function of ratios of linear combinations of independent exponential random variables is developed. This formula is shown to yield the probability that one team beats another in a contest we call the special gladiator game. This game generates tournaments which exhibit nontransitive dominance and have some surprising consequences. Similar results are obtained for a recursive formula based on the geometric distribution.     

ON THE INDEPENDENCE OF THE SAMPLE MEAN AND TRANSLATION-INVARIANT STATISTICS FOR MATRIX NORMAL DISTRIBUTIONS

We present an explicit characterization of the joint dependency structure of an n×p matrix normal random matrix such that the p-dimensional sample mean vector is independent of all translation invariant statistics.     

A COMPARISON OF THE IMPRECISE BETA CLASS, THE RANDOMIZED PLAY-THE-WINNER RULE AND THE TRIANGULAR TEST FOR CLINICAL TRIALS WITH BINARY RESPONSES

This paper develops clinical trial designs that compare two treatments with a binary outcome. The imprecise beta class (IBC), a class of beta probability distributions, is used in a robust Bayesian framework to calculate posterior upper and lower expectations for treatment success rates using accumulating data. The posterior expectation for the difference in success rates can be used to decide when there is sufficient evidence for randomized treatment allocation to cease. This design is formally related to the randomized play‐the‐winner (RPW) design, an adaptive allocation scheme where randomization probabilities are updated sequentially to favour the treatment with the higher observed success rate. A connection is also made between the IBC and the sequential clinical trial design based on the triangular test. Theoretical and simulation results are presented to show that the expected sample sizes on the truly inferior arm are lower using the IBC compared with either the triangular test or the RPW design, and that the IBC performs well against established criteria involving error rates and the expected number of treatment failures.     

ESTIMATION OF THE CONCENTRATION PARAMETERS OF THE FISHER MATRIX DISTRIBUTION ON 50(3) AND THE BINGHAM DISTRIBUTION ON Sq, q≥ 2

Two procedures are considered for estimating the concentration parameters of the Fisher matrix distribution for rotations or orientations in three dimensions. The first is maximum likelihood. The use of a convenient 1-dimensional integral representation of the normalising constant, which greatly simplifies the computation, is suggested. The second approach exploits the equivalence of the Fisher distribution for rotations in three dimensions, and the Bingham distribution for axes in four dimensions. We describe a pseudo likelihood procedure which works for the Bingham distribution in any dimension. This alternative approach does not require numerical integration. Results on the asymptotic efficiency of the pseudo likelihood estimator relative to the maximum likelihood estimator are given, and the two estimators are compared in the analysis of a well-known vectorcardiography dataset.