A Note on the Canonical Correlations From Contingency Tables

Explicit formulae are obtained for the asymptotic variances and covariances of canonical correlations which correspond to non-zero theoretical correlations in (p+ 1) x (q+1) contingency tables, with p≤q. The moments of the roots of a central Wishart matrix distributed as Wp(q; I ) are also given in general, with means, variances and covariances tabulated for p= 2, 3, 4: these may apply to canonical correlations corresponding to zeros.     

ALL THE GAUSSIAN WHITE NOISE SERIAL COVARIANCE MOMENTS TO ORDER FOUR

Using a recursive method, we obtain all the cumulants, central moments, and moments about zero, up to order 4, for the mean-corrected serial covariances from series realisations of length n, given a Gaussian white noise process. Some implicit higher order results are also derived.     

Recurrence relations for single and product moments of progressively Type-II censored order statistics from generalized logistic distribution with applications to inference

In this article, we establish several recurrence relations for the single and product moments of progressively Type-II right censored order statistics from a generalized logistic distribution. The use of these relations in a systematic manner allow us to compute all the means, variances, and covariances of progressively Type-II right censored order statistics from the generalized logistic distribution for all sample sizes n, effective sample sizes m, and all progressive censoring schemes (R₁, …, R_m). These moments are then utilized to derive best linear unbiased estimators of the scale and location-scale parameters of the generalized logistic distribution. A comparison of these estimators with the maximum likelihood estimates is then made through Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, the best linear unbiased predictors of censored failure times is discussed briefly.     

Recurrence relations for single and product moments of progressively Type-II censored order statistics from a generalized half-logistic distribution with application to inference

In this paper, we establish several recurrence relations for the single and product moments of progressively Type-II right-censored order statistics from a generalized half-logistic distribution. The use of these relations in a systematic recursive manner enables the computation of all the means, variances, and covariances of progressively Type-II right-censored order statistics from the generalized half-logistic distribution for all sample sizes n, effective sample sizes m, and all progressive censoring schemes (R ₁, …, R _m ). The results established here generalize the corresponding results for the usual order statistics due to Balakrishnan and Sandhu [Recurrence relations for single and product moments of order statistics from a generalized half-logistic distribution with applications to inference, J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 52 (1995), pp. 385–398.]. The moments so determined are then utilized to derive the best linear unbiased estimators of the scale and location–scale parameters of the generalized half-logistic distribution. The best linear unbiased predictors of censored failure times are discussed briefly. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate the inferential method developed here.     

Asymptotic distributions of functions of a sample covariance matrix under the elliptical distribution

This paper is concerned with asymptotic distributions of functions of a sample covariance matrix under the elliptical model. Simple but useful formulae for calculating asymptotic variances and covariances of the functions are derived. Also, an asymptotic expansion formula for the expectation of a function of a sample covariance matrix is derived; it is given up to the second-order term with respect to the inverse of the sample size. Two examples are given: one of calculating the asymptotic variances and covariances of the stepdown multiple correlation coefficients, and the other of obtaining the asymptotic expansion formula for the moments of sample generalized variance.     

Moments of variables summing to gamma order statistics

Song, Buchberger, and Deddens (1992) derived means, variances, and covariances of variables summing to normal order statistics and proved that these variables are negatively correlated. In this paper we consider the case of variables summing to gamma order statistics. Formulas for the general product moments of these variables are obtained. Contrary to the normal case, variables summing to gamma order statistics are not necessarily negatively correlated. In addition, the covariances of variables corresponding to different order statistics are also obtained.     

Distribution approximation and modelling via orthogonal polynomial sequences

A general methodology is developed for approximating the distribution of a random variable on the basis of its exact moments. More specifically, a probability density function is approximated by the product of a suitable weight function and a linear combination of its associated orthogonal polynomials. A technique for generating a sequence of orthogonal polynomials from a given weight function is provided and the coefficients of the linear combination are explicitly expressed in terms of the moments of the target distribution. On applying this approach to several test statistics, we observed that the resulting percentiles are consistently in excellent agreement with the tabulated values. As well, it is explained that the same moment-matching technique can be utilized to produce density estimates on the basis of the sample moments obtained from a given set of observations. An example involving a well-known data set illustrates the density estimation methodology advocated herein.     

ON AN IDENTITY FOR FINDING MOMENTS OF SAMPLE MOMENTS OF BIVARIATE NORMAL RANDOM VARIABLES

Probabilistic arguments are used to establish an identity useful for deriving the moments of the sample variances and covariance of a bivariate normal population. Some variances and covariances are derived to illustrate the use of the identity.     

Testing Serial Correlation in Semiparametric Varying-Coefficient Partially Linear Models

We propose two test statistics for testing serial correlation in semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear models. The proposed test statistics are not only for testing zero first-order serial correlation, but also for testing higher-order serial correlations. Under the null hypothesis of no serial correlation, the test statistics are shown to have asymptotic normal or chi-square distributions. By using R, some Monte Carlo experiments are conducted to examine the finite sample performances of the proposed tests. Simulation results show that the estimated size and power of the proposed tests behave well.     

Structured regularization for conditional Gaussian graphical models

Conditional Gaussian graphical models are a reparametrization of the multivariate linear regression model which explicitly exhibits (i) the partial covariances between the predictors and the responses, and (ii) the partial covariances between the responses themselves. Such models are particularly suitable for interpretability since partial covariances describe direct relationships between variables. In this framework, we propose a regularization scheme to enhance the learning strategy of the model by driving the selection of the relevant input features by prior structural information. It comes with an efficient alternating optimization procedure which is guaranteed to converge to the global minimum. On top of showing competitive performance on artificial and real datasets, our method demonstrates capabilities for fine interpretation, as illustrated on three high-dimensional datasets from spectroscopy, genetics, and genomics.     

Optimal allocation of time points for the random effects model

In this article the problem of the optimal selection and allocation of time points in repeated measures experiments is considered. D‐ optimal designs for linear regression models with a random intercept and first order auto‐regressive serial correlations are computed numerically and compared with designs having equally spaced time points. When the order of the polynomial is known and the serial correlations are not too small, the comparison shows that for any fixed number of repeated measures, a design with equally spaced time points is almost as efficient as the D‐ optimal design. When, however, there is no prior knowledge about the order of the underlying polynomial, the best choice in terms of efficiency is a D‐ optimal design for the highest possible relevant order of the polynomial. A design with equally‐spaced time points is the second best choice     

On the Correlation of Common Factors with Variance Not Accounted for by the Factor Model

The case that the factor model does not account for all the covariances of the observed variables is considered. It is shown that principal components representing covariances not accounted for by the factor model can have a nonzero correlation with the common factors of the factor model. The substantial correlations of components representing variance not accounted for by the factor model with common factors are demonstrated in a simulation study comprising model error. Based on these results, a new version of Harman's factor score predictor minimizing the correlation with residual components is proposed.     

Inferences for generalized exponential distribution based on record statistics

In this paper we consider three parameter generalized exponential distribution. Exact expressions for single and product moments of record statistics are derived. These expressions are written in terms of Riemann zeta and polygamma functions. Recurrence relations for single and product moments of record statistics are also obtained. These relations can be used to obtain the higher order moments from those of the lower order. The means, variances and covariances of the record statistics are computed for various values of the shape parameter and for some record statistics. These values are used to compute the coefficients of the best linear unbiased estimators of the location and scale parameters. The variances of these estimators are also presented. The predictors of the future record statistics are also discussed.     

Recursive computation of the single and product moments of order statistics from the complementary exponential–geometric distribution

The complementary exponential–geometric distribution has been proposed recently as a simple and useful reliability model for analysing lifetime data. For this distribution, some recurrence relations are established for the single and product moments of order statistics. These recurrence relations enable the computation of the means, variances and covariances of all order statistics for all sample sizes in a simple and efficient recursive manner. By using these relations, we have tabulated the means, variances and covariances of order statistics from samples of sizes up to 10 for various values of the shape parameter θ. These values are in turn used to determine the best linear unbiased estimator of the scale parameter β based on complete and Type-II right-censored samples.     

On fractional moments of quadratic expressions in normal variables1

Fractional moments, product cumulants and product moments of general quadratic expressions in singular and nonsingular normal variables are explicitly evaluated. A general method of deriving such moments is also indicated. Particular cases art; shown to agree with known results.     

Linear statistical inference for global and local minimum variance portfolios

Traditional portfolio optimization has often been criticized for not taking estimation risk into account. Estimation risk is mainly driven by the parameter uncertainty regarding the expected asset returns rather than their variances and covariances. The global minimum variance portfolio has been advocated by many authors as an appropriate alternative to the tangential portfolio. This is because there are no expectations which have to be estimated and thus the impact of estimation errors can be substantially reduced. However, in many practical situations an investor is not willing to choose the global minimum variance portfolio but he wants to minimize the variance of the portfolio return under specific constraints for the portfolio weights. Such a portfolio is called local minimum variance portfolio. Small-sample hypothesis tests for global and local minimum variance portfolios are derived and the exact distributions of the estimated portfolio weights are calculated in the present work. The first two moments of the estimator for the expected portfolio returns are also provided and the presented instruments are illustrated by an empirical study.     

Process capability analysis for serially dependent processes of Poisson counts

Process capability indices evaluate the actual compliance of a process with given external specifications in a single number. For the case of a process of independent and identically distributed Poisson counts, two types of index have been proposed and investigated in the literature. The assumption of serial independence, however, is quite unrealistic for practice. We consider the case of an underlying Poisson INAR(1) process which has an AR(1)-like autocorrelation structure. We show that the performance of the estimated indices is degraded heavily if serial dependence is ignored. Therefore, we develop approaches for estimating the process capability (both for the observation and innovation process), which explicitly consider the observed degree of autocorrelation. For this purpose, we introduce a new unbiased estimator of the innovations’ mean of a Poisson INAR(1) process and derive its exact as well as asymptotic stochastic properties. In this context, we also present new explicit expressions for the third- and fourth-order moments of a Poisson INAR(1) process. Then the capability indices and the performance of their estimators are analysed and recommendations for practice are given.     

Modeling Conditional Covariances With Economic Information Instruments

We propose a new model for conditional covariances based on predetermined idiosyncratic shocks as well as macroeconomic and own information instruments. The specification ensures positive definiteness by construction, is unique within the class of linear functions for our covariance decomposition, and yields a simple yet rich model of covariances. We introduce a property, invariance to variate order, that assures estimation is not impacted by a simple reordering of the variates in the system. Simulation results using realized covariances show smaller mean absolute errors (MAE) and root mean square errors (RMSE) for every element of the covariance matrix relative to a comparably specified BEKK model with own information instruments. We also find a smaller mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square percentage error (RMSPE) for the entire covariance matrix. Supplementary materials for practitioners as well as all Matlab code used in the article are available online.     

Absolute Moments of Generalized Hyperbolic Distributions and Approximate Scaling of Normal Inverse Gaussian Lévy Processes

Abstract.  Expressions for (absolute) moments of generalized hyperbolic and normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) laws are given in terms of moments of the corresponding symmetric laws. For the (absolute) moments centred at the location parameter μ explicit expressions as series containing Bessel functions are provided. Furthermore, the derivatives of the logarithms of absolute μ -centred moments with respect to the logarithm of time are calculated explicitly for NIG Lévy processes. Computer implementation of the formulae obtained is briefly discussed. Finally, some further insight into the apparent scaling behaviour of NIG Lévy processes is gained.     

Estimating the parameters of a BINMA Poisson model for a non-stationary bivariate time series

This article proposes a novel non-stationary BINMA time series model by extending two INMA processes where their innovation series follow the bivariate Poisson under time-varying moment assumptions. This article also demonstrates, through simulation studies, the use and superiority of the generalized quasi-likelihood (GQL) approach to estimate the regression effects, which is computationally less complicated as compared to conditional maximum likelihood estimation (CMLE) and the feasible generalized least squares (FGLS). The serial and bivariate dependence correlations are estimated by a robust method of moments.