共查询到1条相似文献,搜索用时 0 毫秒
1.
Mira M. Hidajat Mark D. Hayward Yasuhiko Saito 《Population research and policy review》2007,26(2):219-234
In this paper, we lay the initial groundwork for anticipating Indonesia’s future burden of disease by developing a demographic
model of population health. We develop this model within the analytic framework of a Markov-based multistate life table model
to calculate an important indicator of the burden of disease, the expected years of active life of elderly Indonesians. The
magnitude of the gap points to the potential consequences of improvements in the nation’s educational level for the future
burden of disease. The results show that having some education increases life expectancy but it also expands the expected
years with a major functional problem. Overall educational attainment levels, however, are very low, indicating that Indonesia’s
elderly are at the leading edge of improvements in the nation’s social capacity for health. The life tables suggest that at
the early stages of development, longer life is accompanied by an expansion of morbidity. 相似文献