A dual problem of calibration of design weights

In this note, a dual problem to the calibration of design weights of the Deville and Särndal [Calibration estimators in survey sampling, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 87 (1992), pp. 376–382] method has been considered. We conclude that the chi-squared distance between the design weights and the calibrated weights equals the square of the standardized Z-score obtained by the difference between the known population total of the auxiliary variable and its corresponding Horvitz and Thompson [A generalization of sampling without replacement from a finite universe, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 47 (1952), pp. 663–685] estimator divided by the sample standard deviation of the auxiliary variable to obtain the linear regression estimator in survey sampling.     

A comparative study of doubly robust estimators of the mean with missing data

Doubly robust (DR) estimators of the mean with missing data are compared. An estimator is DR if either the regression of the missing variable on the observed variables or the missing data mechanism is correctly specified. One method is to include the inverse of the propensity score as a linear term in the imputation model [D. Firth and K.E. Bennett, Robust models in probability sampling, J. R. Statist. Soc. Ser. B. 60 (1998), pp. 3–21; D.O. Scharfstein, A. Rotnitzky, and J.M. Robins, Adjusting for nonignorable drop-out using semiparametric nonresponse models (with discussion), J. Am. Statist. Assoc. 94 (1999), pp. 1096–1146; H. Bang and J.M. Robins, Doubly robust estimation in missing data and causal inference models, Biometrics 61 (2005), pp. 962–972]. Another method is to calibrate the predictions from a parametric model by adding a mean of the weighted residuals [J.M Robins, A. Rotnitzky, and L.P. Zhao, Estimation of regression coefficients when some regressors are not always observed, J. Am. Statist. Assoc. 89 (1994), pp. 846–866; D.O. Scharfstein, A. Rotnitzky, and J.M. Robins, Adjusting for nonignorable drop-out using semiparametric nonresponse models (with discussion), J. Am. Statist. Assoc. 94 (1999), pp. 1096–1146]. The penalized spline propensity prediction (PSPP) model includes the propensity score into the model non-parametrically [R.J.A. Little and H. An, Robust likelihood-based analysis of multivariate data with missing values, Statist. Sin. 14 (2004), pp. 949–968; G. Zhang and R.J. Little, Extensions of the penalized spline propensity prediction method of imputation, Biometrics, 65(3) (2008), pp. 911–918]. All these methods have consistency properties under misspecification of regression models, but their comparative efficiency and confidence coverage in finite samples have received little attention. In this paper, we compare the root mean square error (RMSE), width of confidence interval and non-coverage rate of these methods under various mean and response propensity functions. We study the effects of sample size and robustness to model misspecification. The PSPP method yields estimates with smaller RMSE and width of confidence interval compared with other methods under most situations. It also yields estimates with confidence coverage close to the 95% nominal level, provided the sample size is not too small.     

Optional versus compulsory randomized response techniques in complex surveys

In estimating the proportion of people bearing a sensitive attribute in a community, to mitigate possible evasive answer biases, Warner (J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 60 (1965) 63) introduced a technique of randomized response (RR) in human surveys, by way of protecting individual privacy. Chaudhuri and Mukerjee (Calcutta Statist. Assoc. Bull. 34 (1985) 225; Randomized Response: Theory and Techniques, Marcel Dekker, New York) presented a modification allowing a direct response (DR) option to whom the attribute does not appear to be stigmatizing enough. Warner himself and many of his followers restrict the application of their RR devices to surveys with selection exclusively by ‘simple random sampling with replacement’. Chaudhuri (J. Statist. Plann. Inference 34 (2001a) 37; Pakistan J. Statist. 17 (3) (2001b) 259; Calcutta Statist. Assoc. Bull. 52 (205–208) (2002) 315) showed the efficacy of some of these devices when sample selection is by general unequal probabilities possibly even without replacement. Here, we present theories for unbiased estimation of the proportion along with unbiased estimation of the variances of the estimators when ‘compulsory’ or ‘optional’ RR's are gathered from persons sampled with varying probabilities. Gains in efficiency by allowing DR option rather than RR compulsion are illustrated numerically through simulation from data.     

On the minimum bias response surface designs of Box and Draper

The minimum bias design criterion is an important part of response surface methodology. In this paper, necessary and sufficient conditions for minimum bias designs are derived in terms of the design moments. It is shown that the sufficient conditions of Box and Draper (J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 54 (1959) 622) are sometimes, but not always, necessary depending on the order of the polynomial model and the number of factors.     

Seemingly unrelated reduced-rank regression model

Reduced-rank regression models proposed by Anderson [1951. Estimating linear restrictions on regression coefficients for multivariate normal distributions. Ann. Math. Statist. 22, 327–351] have been used in various applications in social and natural sciences. In this paper we combine the features of these models with another popular, seemingly unrelated regression model proposed by Zellner [1962. An efficient method of estimating seemingly unrelated regressions and tests for aggregation bias. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 57, 348–368]. In addition to estimation and inference aspects of the new model, we also discuss an application in the area of marketing.     

A new unrelated question randomized response model

In this paper, we extend the work of Gjestvang and Singh [A new randomized response model, J. R. Statist. Soc. Ser. B (Methodological) 68 (2006), pp. 523–530] to propose a new unrelated question randomized response model that can be used for any sampling scheme. The interesting thing is that the estimator based on one sample is free from the use of known proportion of an unrelated character, unlike Horvitz et al. [The unrelated question randomized response model, Social Statistics Section, Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, 1967, pp. 65–72], Greenberg et al. [The unrelated question randomized response model: Theoretical framework, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 64 (1969), pp. 520–539] and Mangat et al. [An improved unrelated question randomized response strategy, Calcutta Statist. Assoc. Bull. 42 (1992), pp. 167–168] models. The relative efficiency of the proposed model with respect to the existing competitors has been studied.     

Doubly robust empirical likelihood inference in covariate-missing data problems

Missing covariate data occurs often in regression analysis. We study methods for estimating the regression coefficients in an assumed conditional mean function when some covariates are completely observed but other covariates are missing for some subjects. We adopt the semiparametric perspective of Robins et al. [Estimation of regression coefficients when some regressors are not always observed. J Amer Statist Assoc. 1994;89:846–866] on regression analyses with missing covariates, in which they pioneered the use of two working models, the working propensity score model and the working conditional score model. A recent approach to missing covariate data analysis is the empirical likelihood method of Qin et al. [Empirical likelihood in missing data problems. J Amer Statist Assoc. 2009;104:1492–1503], which effectively combines unbiased estimating equations. In this paper, we consider an alternative likelihood approach based on the full likelihood of the observed data. This full likelihood-based method enables us to generate estimators for the vector of the regression coefficients that are (a) asymptotically equivalent to those of Qin et al. [Empirical likelihood in missing data problems. J Amer Statist Assoc. 2009;104:1492–1503] when the working propensity score model is correctly specified, and (b) doubly robust, like the augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPW) estimators of Robins et al. [Estimation of regression coefficients when some regressors are not always observed. J Am Statist Assoc. 1994;89:846–866]. Thus, the proposed full likelihood-based estimators improve on the efficiency of the AIPW estimators when the working propensity score model is correct but the working conditional score model is possibly incorrect, and also improve on the empirical likelihood estimators of Qin, Zhang and Leung [Empirical likelihood in missing data problems. J Amer Statist Assoc. 2009;104:1492–1503] when the reverse is true, that is, the working conditional score model is correct but the working propensity score model is possibly incorrect. In addition, we consider a regression method for estimation of the regression coefficients when the working conditional score model is correctly specified; the asymptotic variance of the resulting estimator is no greater than the semiparametric variance bound characterized by the theory of Robins et al. [Estimation of regression coefficients when some regressors are not always observed. J Amer Statist Assoc. 1994;89:846–866]. Finally, we compare the finite-sample performance of various estimators in a simulation study.     

Adaptive bootstrap tests and its competitors in the c-sample scale problem

This paper deals with a study of different types of tests for the two-sided c-sample scale problem. We consider the classical parametric test of Bartlett [M.S. Bartlett, Properties of sufficiency and statistical tests, Proc. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. A. 160 (1937), pp. 268–282] several nonparametric tests, especially the test of Fligner and Killeen [M.A. Fligner and T.J. Killeen, Distribution-free two-sample tests for scale, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 71 (1976), pp. 210–213], the test of Levene [H. Levene, Robust tests for equality of variances, in Contribution to Probability and Statistics, I. Olkin, ed., Stanford University Press, Palo Alto, 1960, pp. 278–292] and a robust version of it introduced by Brown and Forsythe [M.B. Brown and A.B. Forsythe, Robust tests for the equality of variances, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 69 (1974), pp. 364–367] as well as two adaptive tests proposed by Büning [H. Büning, Adaptive tests for the c-sample location problem – the case of two-sided alternatives, Comm. Statist.Theory Methods. 25 (1996), pp. 1569–1582] and Büning [H. Büning, An adaptive test for the two sample scale problem, Nr. 2003/10, Diskussionsbeiträge des Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaft der Freien Universität Berlin, Volkswirtschaftliche Reihe, 2003]. which are based on the principle of Hogg [R.V. Hogg, Adaptive robust procedures. A partial review and some suggestions for future applications and theory, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 69 (1974), pp. 909–927]. For all the tests we use Bootstrap sampling strategies, too. We compare via Monte Carlo Methods all the tests by investigating level α and power β of the tests for distributions with different strength of tailweight and skewness and for various sample sizes. It turns out that the test of Fligner and Killeen in combination with the bootstrap is the best one among all tests considered.     

Mutiple three-decision procedure for comparing several exponential treatments with the best control

In this paper, the three-decision procedures to classify p treatments as better than or worse than one control, proposed for normal/symmetric probability models [Bohrer, Multiple three-decision rules for parametric signs. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 74 (1979), pp. 432–437; Bohrer et al., Multiple three-decision rules for factorial simple effects: Bonferroni wins again!, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 76 (1981), pp. 119–124; Liu, A multiple three-decision procedure for comparing several treatments with a control, Austral. J. Statist. 39 (1997), pp. 79–92 and Singh and Mishra, Classifying logistic populations using sample medians, J. Statist. Plann. Inference 137 (2007), pp. 1647–1657]; in the literature, have been extended to asymmetric two-parameter exponential probability models to classify p(p≥1) treatments as better than or worse than the best of q(q≥1) control treatments in terms of location parameters. Critical constants required for the implementation of the proposed procedure are tabulated for some pre-specified values of probability of no misclassification. Power function of the proposed procedure is also defined and a common sample size necessary to guarantee various pre-specified power levels are tabulated. Optimal allocation scheme is also discussed. Finally, the implementation of the proposed methodology is demonstrated through numerical example.     

On MSE of EBLUP

We consider Best Linear Unbiased Predictors (BLUPs) and Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Predictors (EBLUPs) under the general mixed linear model. The BLUP was proposed by Henderson (Ann Math Stat 21:309–310, 1950). The formula of this BLUP includes unknown elements of the variance-covariance matrix of random variables. If the elements in the formula of the BLUP proposed by Henderson (Ann Math Stat 21:309–310, 1950) are replaced by some type of estimators, we obtain the two-stage predictor called the EBLUP which is model-unbiased (Kackar and Harville in Commun Stat A 10:1249–1261, 1981). Kackar and Harville (J Am Stat Assoc 79:853–862, 1984) show an approximation of the mean square error (the MSE) of the predictor and propose an estimator of the MSE. The MSE and estimators of the MSE are also studied by Prasad and Rao (J Am Stat Assoc 85:163–171, 1990), Datta and Lahiri (Stat Sin 10:613–627, 2000) and Das et al. (Ann Stat 32(2):818–840, 2004). In the paper we consider the BLUP proposed by Royall (J Am Stat Assoc 71:657–473, 1976. Ża̧dło (On unbiasedness of some EBLU predictor. Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg, pp 2019–2026, 2004) shows that the BLUP proposed by Royall (J Am Stat Assoc 71:657–473, 1976) may be treated as a generalisation of the BLUP proposed by Henderson (Ann Math Stat 21:309–310, 1950) and proves model unbiasedness of the EBLUP based on the formula of the BLUP proposed by Royall (J Am Stat Assoc 71:657–473, 1976) under some assumptions. In this paper we derive the formula of the approximate MSE of the EBLUP and its estimators. We prove that the approximation of the MSE is accurate to terms o(D ⁻¹) and that the estimator of the MSE is approximately unbiased in the sense that its bias is o(D ⁻¹) under some assumptions, where D is the number of domains. The proof is based on the results obtained by Datta and Lahiri (Stat Sin 10:613–627, 2000). Using our results we show some EBLUP based on the special case of the general linear model. We also present the formula of its MSE and estimators of its MSE and their performance in Monte Carlo simulation study.      

A gradient-based algorithm for semiparametric models with missing covariates

In the parametric regression model, the covariate missing problem under missing at random is considered. It is often desirable to use flexible parametric or semiparametric models for the covariate distribution, which can reduce a potential misspecification problem. Recently, a completely nonparametric approach was developed by [H.Y. Chen, Nonparametric and semiparametric models for missing covariates in parameter regression, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 99 (2004), pp. 1176–1189; Z. Zhang and H.E. Rockette, On maximum likelihood estimation in parametric regression with missing covariates, J. Statist. Plann. Inference 47 (2005), pp. 206–223]. Although it does not require a model for the covariate distribution or the missing data mechanism, the proposed method assumes that the covariate distribution is supported only by observed values. Consequently, their estimator is a restricted maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) rather than the global MLE. In this article, we show the restricted semiparametric MLE could be very misleading in some cases. We discuss why this problem occurs and suggest an algorithm to obtain the global MLE. Then, we assess the performance of the proposed method via some simulation experiments.     

Some estimators and tests for accelerated hazards model using weighted cumulative hazard difference

For a censored two-sample problem, Chen and Wang [Y.Q. Chen and M.-C. Wang, Analysis of accelerated hazards models, J. Am. Statist. Assoc. 95 (2000), pp. 608–618] introduced the accelerated hazards model. The scale-change parameter in this model characterizes the association of two groups. However, its estimator involves the unknown density in the asymptotic variance. Thus, to make an inference on the parameter, numerically intensive methods are needed. The goal of this article is to propose a simple estimation method in which estimators are asymptotically normal with a density-free asymptotic variance. Some lack-of-fit tests are also obtained from this. These tests are related to Gill–Schumacher type tests [R.D. Gill and M. Schumacher, A simple test of the proportional hazards assumption, Biometrika 74 (1987), pp. 289–300] in which the estimating functions are evaluated at two different weight functions yielding two estimators that are close to each other. Numerical studies show that for some weight functions, the estimators and tests perform well. The proposed procedures are illustrated in two applications.     

Pseudo-Bayes and pseudo-empirical Bayes estimators in randomized response sampling

In this article, new pseudo-Bayes and pseudo-empirical Bayes estimators for estimating the proportion of a potentially sensitive attribute in a survey sampling have been introduced. The proposed estimators are compared with the recent estimator proposed by Odumade and Singh [Efficient use of two decks of cards in randomized response sampling, Comm. Statist. Theory Methods 38 (2009), pp. 439–446] and Warner [Randomized response: A survey technique for eliminating evasive answer bias, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 60 (1965), pp. 63–69].     

Small area estimation of the mean using non-parametric M-quantile regression: a comparison when a linear mixed model does not hold

The demand for reliable statistics in subpopulations, when only reduced sample sizes are available, has promoted the development of small area estimation methods. In particular, an approach that is now widely used is based on the seminal work by Battese et al. [An error-components model for prediction of county crop areas using survey and satellite data, J. Am. Statist. Assoc. 83 (1988), pp. 28–36] that uses linear mixed models (MM). We investigate alternatives when a linear MM does not hold because, on one side, linearity may not be assumed and/or, on the other, normality of the random effects may not be assumed. In particular, Opsomer et al. [Nonparametric small area estimation using penalized spline regression, J. R. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 70 (2008), pp. 265–283] propose an estimator that extends the linear MM approach to the case in which a linear relationship may not be assumed using penalized splines regression. From a very different perspective, Chambers and Tzavidis [M-quantile models for small area estimation, Biometrika 93 (2006), pp. 255–268] have recently proposed an approach for small-area estimation that is based on M-quantile (MQ) regression. This allows for models robust to outliers and to distributional assumptions on the errors and the area effects. However, when the functional form of the relationship between the qth MQ and the covariates is not linear, it can lead to biased estimates of the small area parameters. Pratesi et al. [Semiparametric M-quantile regression for estimating the proportion of acidic lakes in 8-digit HUCs of the Northeastern US, Environmetrics 19(7) (2008), pp. 687–701] apply an extended version of this approach for the estimation of the small area distribution function using a non-parametric specification of the conditional MQ of the response variable given the covariates [M. Pratesi, M.G. Ranalli, and N. Salvati, Nonparametric m-quantile regression using penalized splines, J. Nonparametric Stat. 21 (2009), pp. 287–304]. We will derive the small area estimator of the mean under this model, together with its mean-squared error estimator and compare its performance to the other estimators via simulations on both real and simulated data.     

Rao and Wu's re-scaling bootstrap modified to achieve extended coverages

Horvitz and Thompson's (HT) [1952. A generalization of sampling without replacement from a finite universe. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 47, 663–685] well-known unbiased estimator for a finite population total admits an unbiased estimator for its variance as given by [Yates and Grundy, 1953. Selection without replacement from within strata with probability proportional to size. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 15, 253–261], provided the parent sampling design involves a constant number of distinct units in every sample to be chosen. If the design, in addition, ensures uniform non-negativity of this variance estimator, Rao and Wu [1988. Resampling inference with complex survey data. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 83, 231–241] have given their re-scaling bootstrap technique to construct confidence interval and to estimate mean square error for non-linear functions of finite population totals of several real variables. Horvitz and Thompson's estimators (HTE) are used to estimate the finite population totals. Since they need to equate the bootstrap variance of the bootstrap estimator to the Yates and Grundy's estimator (YGE) for the variance of the HTE in case of a single variable, i.e., in the linear case the YG variance estimator is required to be positive for the sample usually drawn.     

A theoretical analysis of the power of biased coin designs

Outlining some recently obtained results of Hu and Rosenberger [2003. Optimality, variability, power: evaluating response-adaptive randomization procedures for treatment comparisons. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 98, 671–678] and Chen [2006. The power of Efron's biased coin design. J. Statist. Plann. Inference 136, 1824–1835] on the relationship between sequential randomized designs and the power of the usual statistical procedures for testing the equivalence of two competing treatments, the aim of this paper is to provide theoretical proofs of the numerical results of Chen [2006. The power of Efron's biased coin design. J. Statist. Plann. Inference 136, 1824–1835]. Furthermore, we prove that the Adjustable Biased Coin Design [Baldi Antognini A., Giovagnoli, A., 2004. A new “biased coin design” for the sequential allocation of two treatments. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. C 53, 651–664] is uniformly more powerful than the other “coin” designs proposed in the literature for any sample size.     

Minimum bias designs with constraints

A new class of model-robust optimality criteria, based on the mean squared error, is introduced in this paper. The motivation is to find designs when the researcher is more concerned with controlling the variance than the bias, or vice versa. The set of criteria proposed here is also appealing from a mathematical perspective in the sense that, unlike the Box and Draper (1959, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 54, 622–654), criterion, they can be imbedded in the framework of convex design theory and, hence, facilitate the search for globally optimal designs. The basic idea is to minimize a convex function of the bias part of the mean squared error subject to a convex constraint on the variance part, or vice versa. Equivalence theorems are derived and examples for the linear and quadratic regression problems are provided.     

Randomized response model in a matched pair study

The development of randomized response models for personal interview surveys has attracted much attention since the pioneering work of Warner [1965. Randomized response: a survey technique for eliminating evasive answer bias. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 60, 63–69]. Several randomized response models have been developed by researchers for collecting data on both qualitative and the quantitative variables, but none of these models discuss matched pair data. In this paper, we develop a new randomized response model and study its application to an important political question.     

Stability under contamination of robust regression estimators based on differences of residuals

A reasonable approach to robust regression estimation is minimizing a robust scale estimator of the pairwise differences of residuals. We introduce a large class of estimators based on this strategy extending ideas of Yohai and Zamar (Am. Statist. (1993) 1824–1842) and Croux et al. (J. Am. Statist. Assoc. (1994) 1271–1281). The asymptotic robustness properties of the estimators in this class are addressed using the maxbias curve. We provide a general principle to compute this curve and present explicit formulae for several particular cases including generalized versions of S-, R- and τ-estimators. Finally, the most stable estimator in the class, that is, the estimator with the minimum maxbias curve, is shown to be the set of coefficients that minimizes an appropriate quantile of the distribution of the absolute pairwise differences of residuals.     

Local polynomial quasi-likelihood regression with truncated and dependent data

The local polynomial quasi-likelihood estimation has several good statistical properties such as high minimax efficiency and adaptation of edge effects. In this paper, we construct a local quasi-likelihood regression estimator for a left truncated model, and establish the asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator when the observations form a stationary and α-mixing sequence, such that the corresponding result of Fan et al. [Local polynomial kernel regression for generalized linear models and quasilikelihood functions, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 90 (1995), pp. 141–150] is extended from the independent and complete data to the dependent and truncated one. Finite sample behaviour of the estimator is investigated via simulations too.