Empirical likelihood-based inference in nonlinear regression models with missing responses at random

This paper investigates the estimations of regression parameters and response mean in nonlinear regression models in the presence of missing response variables that are missing with missingness probabilities depending on covariates. We propose four empirical likelihood (EL)-based estimators for the regression parameters and the response mean. The resulting estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal under some general assumptions. To construct the confidence regions for the regression parameters as well as the response mean, we develop four EL ratio statistics, which are proven to have the χ² distribution asymptotically. Simulation studies and an artificial data set are used to illustrate the proposed methodologies. Empirical results show that the EL method behaves better than the normal approximation method and that the coverage probabilities and average lengths depend on the selection probability function.     

Empirical Likelihood for Linear Models Under Linear Process Errors

In this article, we study the construction of confidence intervals for regression parameters in a linear model under linear process errors by using the blockwise technique. It is shown that the blockwise empirical likelihood (EL) ratio statistic is asymptotically χ²-type distributed. The result is used to obtain EL based confidence regions for regression parameters. The finite-sample performance of the method is evaluated through a simulation study.     

Empirical Likelihood for First-order Autoregressive Error-in-variable of Models With Validation Data

In this article, we consider the empirical likelihood for the autoregressive error-in-explanatory variable models. With the help of validation, we first develop an empirical likelihood ratio test statistic for the parameters of interest, and prove that its asymptotic distribution is that of a weighted sum of independent standard χ²₁ random variables with unknown weights. Also, we propose an adjusted empirical likelihood and prove that its asymptotic distribution is a standard χ². Furthermore, an empirical likelihood-based confidence region is given. Simulation results indicate that the proposed method works well for practical situations.     

Adjusted empirical likelihood inference for additive hazards regression

ABSTRACT

This article develops an adjusted empirical likelihood (EL) method for the additive hazards model. The adjusted EL ratio is shown to have a central chi-squared limiting distribution under the null hypothesis. We also evaluate its asymptotic distribution as a non central chi-squared distribution under the local alternatives of order n^{? 1/2}, deriving the expression for the asymptotic power function. Simulation studies and a real example are conducted to evaluate the finite sample performance of the proposed method. Compared with the normal approximation-based method, the proposed method tends to have more larger empirical power and smaller confidence regions with comparable coverage probabilities.     

Confidence Intervals for Nonparametric Regression Functions with Missing Data

Suppose that we have a nonparametric regression model Y = m(X) + ε with X ∈ R^p, where X is a random design variable and is observed completely, and Y is the response variable and some Y-values are missing at random. Based on the “complete” data sets for Y after nonaprametric regression imputation and inverse probability weighted imputation, two estimators of the regression function m(x₀) for fixed x₀ ∈ R^p are proposed. Asymptotic normality of two estimators is established, which is used to construct normal approximation-based confidence intervals for m(x₀). We also construct an empirical likelihood (EL) statistic for m(x₀) with limiting distribution of χ²₁, which is used to construct an EL confidence interval for m(x₀).     

Empirical Likelihood for Partial Linear Models under Negatively Associated Errors

In this paper, we use blockwise empirical likelihood (EL) technique to construct confidence regions for the parameter of the partial linear models under negatively associated errors. It is shown that the blockwise EL ratio statistic for the parameter of interest is asymptotically χ²-type distributed by employing the large-block and small-block arguments. The result can be used to obtain confidence regions for the parameter of interest.     

Empirical Likelihood Confidence Intervals for Distribution Functions under Negatively Associated Samples

In this article, we discuss the construction of the confidence intervals for distribution functions under negatively associated samples. It is shown that the blockwise empirical likelihood (EL) ratio statistic for a distribution function is asymptotically χ²-type distributed. The result is used to obtain an EL-based confidence interval for the distribution function.     

On the asymptotic non‐equivalence of efficient‐GMM and MEL estimators in models with missing data

The generalized method of moments (GMM) and empirical likelihood (EL) are popular methods for combining sample and auxiliary information. These methods are used in very diverse fields of research, where competing theories often suggest variables satisfying different moment conditions. Results in the literature have shown that the efficient‐GMM (GMM_E) and maximum empirical likelihood (MEL) estimators have the same asymptotic distribution to order n^?1/2 and that both estimators are asymptotically semiparametric efficient. In this paper, we demonstrate that when data are missing at random from the sample, the utilization of some well‐known missing‐data handling approaches proposed in the literature can yield GMM_E and MEL estimators with nonidentical properties; in particular, it is shown that the GMM_E estimator is semiparametric efficient under all the missing‐data handling approaches considered but that the MEL estimator is not always efficient. A thorough examination of the reason for the nonequivalence of the two estimators is presented. A particularly strong feature of our analysis is that we do not assume smoothness in the underlying moment conditions. Our results are thus relevant to situations involving nonsmooth estimating functions, including quantile and rank regressions, robust estimation, the estimation of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and so on.     

Confidence intervals for probability density functions under associated samples

In this paper, we study the construction of confidence intervals for a probability density function under a (positively) associated sample by using the blockwise technique. It is shown that the blockwise empirical likelihood (EL) ratio statistic is asymptotically χ²-type${\chi }^2\mathrm{-}\mathrm{type}$ distributed. The result is used to obtain EL-based confidence interval for the probability density function.     

Smoothed empirical likelihood for GARCH models with heavy-tailed errors

ABSTRACT

This paper proposes an empirical likelihood (EL) method for estimating the GARCH(p, q) models with heavy-tailed errors. Using the kernel smoothing method, we derive a smoothed EL ratio statistic, which yields a smoothed EL estimator. Moreover, we derive a profile EL for the partial parameters in the presence of nuisance parameters. Simulations and empirical results are conducted to illustrate our proposed method.     

A NEW CALIBRATION METHOD OF CONSTRUCTING EMPIRICAL LIKELIHOOD-BASED CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR THE TAIL INDEX

Empirical likelihood has attracted much attention in the literature as a nonparametric method. A recent paper by Lu & Peng (2002) [Likelihood based confidence intervals for the tail index. Extremes 5, 337–352] applied this method to construct a confidence interval for the tail index of a heavy‐tailed distribution. It turns out that the empirical likelihood method, as well as other likelihood‐based methods, performs better than the normal approximation method in terms of coverage probability. However, when the sample size is small, the confidence interval computed using the χ² approximation has a serious undercoverage problem. Motivated by Tsao (2004) [A new method of calibration for the empirical loglikelihood ratio. Statist. Probab. Lett. 68, 305–314], this paper proposes a new method of calibration, which corrects the undercoverage problem.     

Empirical likelihood for density-weighted average derivatives

In this paper, we investigate empirical likelihood (EL) inference for density-weighted average derivatives in nonparametric multiple regression models. A simply adjusted empirical log-likelihood ratio for the vector of density-weighted average derivatives is defined and its limiting distribution is shown to be a standard Chi-square distribution. To increase the accuracy and coverage probability of confidence regions, an EL inference procedure for the rescaled parameter vector is proposed by using a linear instrumental variables regression. The new method shares the same properties of the regular EL method with i.i.d. samples. For example, estimation of limiting variances and covariances is not needed. A Monte Carlo simulation study is presented to compare the new method with the normal approximation method and an existing EL method.     

Empirical-likelihood-based Test for Partially Linear Single-index Models with Error-prone Linear Covariates

In this article, we consider whether the empirical likelihood ratio (ELR) test is applicable to testing for serial correlation in the partially linear single-index models (PLSIM) with error-prone linear covariates. It is shown that under the null hypothesis the proposed ELR statistic follows asymptotically a χ²-distribution with the scale constant and the degrees of freedom. A comparison between the ELR and the normal approximation method is also considered. Both simulated and real data examples are used to illustrate our proposed methodology.     

ON THE COVERAGE PROBABILITY OF CONFIDENCE INTERVALS IN REGRESSION AFTER VARIABLE SELECTION

This paper considers a linear regression model with regression parameter vector β. The parameter of interest is θ= a^Tβ where a is specified. When, as a first step, a data‐based variable selection (e.g. minimum Akaike information criterion) is used to select a model, it is common statistical practice to then carry out inference about θ, using the same data, based on the (false) assumption that the selected model had been provided a priori. The paper considers a confidence interval for θ with nominal coverage 1 ‐ α constructed on this (false) assumption, and calls this the naive 1 ‐ α confidence interval. The minimum coverage probability of this confidence interval can be calculated for simple variable selection procedures involving only a single variable. However, the kinds of variable selection procedures used in practice are typically much more complicated. For the real‐life data presented in this paper, there are 20 variables each of which is to be either included or not, leading to 2²⁰ different models. The coverage probability at any given value of the parameters provides an upper bound on the minimum coverage probability of the naive confidence interval. This paper derives a new Monte Carlo simulation estimator of the coverage probability, which uses conditioning for variance reduction. For these real‐life data, the gain in efficiency of this Monte Carlo simulation due to conditioning ranged from 2 to 6. The paper also presents a simple one‐dimensional search strategy for parameter values at which the coverage probability is relatively small. For these real‐life data, this search leads to parameter values for which the coverage probability of the naive 0.95 confidence interval is 0.79 for variable selection using the Akaike information criterion and 0.70 for variable selection using Bayes information criterion, showing that these confidence intervals are completely inadequate.     

Examples of Decompositions of Chi-Squared Variables

Two examples of absolutely continuous bivariate distributions are given. The first example illustrates the fact that the sum of two random variables can be χ², one of the variables χ², the other variable positive but not necessarily χ². The second example illustrates the fact that the sum of the variables can be χ², each variable can be χ², the degrees of freedom add up properly but the two variables need not be independent.     

Corrected likelihood-ratio tests in logistic regression using small-sample data

Likelihood-ratio tests (LRTs) are often used for inferences on one or more logistic regression coefficients. Conventionally, for given parameters of interest, the nuisance parameters of the likelihood function are replaced by their maximum likelihood estimates. The new function created is called the profile likelihood function, and is used for inference from LRT. In small samples, LRT based on the profile likelihood does not follow χ² distribution. Several corrections have been proposed to improve LRT when used with small-sample data. Additionally, complete or quasi-complete separation is a common geometric feature for small-sample binary data. In this article, for small-sample binary data, we have derived explicitly the correction factors of LRT for models with and without separation, and proposed an algorithm to construct confidence intervals. We have investigated the performances of different LRT corrections, and the corresponding confidence intervals through simulations. Based on the simulation results, we propose an empirical rule of thumb on the use of these methods. Our simulation findings are also supported by real-world data.     

Empirical likelihood for probability density functions under negatively associated samples

In this paper, we study the construction of confidence intervals for a probability density function under a negatively associated sample by using the blockwise technique. It is shown that the blockwise empirical likelihood (EL) ratio statistic is asymptotically χ²‐type distributed. The result is used to obtain EL based confidence interval on the probability density function.     

A note on the two-sample mean problem based on jackknife empirical likelihood

In this article, we employ the jackknife empirical likelihood (JEL) method to construct the confidence regions for the difference of the means of two d-dimensional samples. Compared with traditional EL for the two-sample mean problem, JEL is extremely simpler to use in practice and is more effective in computing. Based on the JEL ratio test, a version of Wilks’ theorem is developed. Furthermore, to improve the coverage accuracy of confidence regions, a Bartlett correction is applied. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated by a simulation study and a real data analysis.     

Empirical likelihood ratio under infinite second moment

In this article, we show that the log empirical likelihood ratio statistic for the population mean converges in distribution to χ²₍₁₎ as n → ∞ when the population is in the domain of attraction of normal law but has infinite variance. The simulation results show that the empirical likelihood ratio method is applicable under the infinite second moment condition.