A new extended generalized Gompertz distribution with statistical properties and simulations

Abstract

Statistical distributions are very useful in describing and predicting real world phenomena. In many applied areas there is a clear need for the extended forms of the well-known distributions. Generally, the new distributions are more flexible to model real data that present a high degree of skewness and kurtosis. The choice of the best-suited statistical distribution for modeling data is very important.

In this article, we proposed an extended generalized Gompertz (EGGo) family of EGGo. Certain statistical properties of EGGo family including distribution shapes, hazard function, skewness, limit behavior, moments and order statistics are discussed. The flexibility of this family is assessed by its application to real data sets and comparison with other competing distributions. The maximum likelihood equations for estimating the parameters based on real data are given. The performances of the estimators such as maximum likelihood estimators, least squares estimators, weighted least squares estimators, Cramer-von-Mises estimators, Anderson-Darling estimators and right tailed Anderson-Darling estimators are discussed. The likelihood ratio test is derived to illustrate that the EGGo distribution is better than other nested models in fitting data set or not. We use R software for simulation in order to perform applications and test the validity of this model.     

A note on the location parameters of two exponential distributions under order restrictions

The problem of simultaneous estimation of location parameters of two independent exponential distributions is considered when location and/or scale parameters are ordered. We show that the standard estimators in the unrestricted case which use information only from the populations individually can be improved upon when various order restrictions are known to hold. The improved estimators are obtained under the quadratic loss function     

Flexible empirical Bayes estimation for wavelets

Wavelet shrinkage estimation is an increasingly popular method for signal denoising and compression. Although Bayes estimators can provide excellent mean-squared error (MSE) properties, the selection of an effective prior is a difficult task. To address this problem, we propose empirical Bayes (EB) prior selection methods for various error distributions including the normal and the heavier-tailed Student t -distributions. Under such EB prior distributions, we obtain threshold shrinkage estimators based on model selection, and multiple-shrinkage estimators based on model averaging. These EB estimators are seen to be computationally competitive with standard classical thresholding methods, and to be robust to outliers in both the data and wavelet domains. Simulated and real examples are used to illustrate the flexibility and improved MSE performance of these methods in a wide variety of settings.     

On the robustness properties for maximum likelihood estimators of parameters in exponential power and generalized T distributions*

Abstract

Examining the robustness properties of maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of parameters in exponential power and generalized t distributions has been considered together. The well-known asymptotic properties of ML estimators of location, scale and added skewness parameters in these distributions are studied. The ML estimators for location, scale and scale variant (skewness) parameters are represented as an iterative reweighting algorithm (IRA) to compute the estimates of these parameters simultaneously. The artificial data are generated to examine performance of IRA for ML estimators of parameters simultaneously. We make a comparison between these two distributions to test the fitting performance on real data sets. The goodness of fit test and information criteria approve that robustness and fitting performance should be considered together as a key for modeling issue to have the best information from real data sets.     

Robustness estimators of location:a classification of linear and adaptive estimators

Real-world data sets may be described in terms similar to trauma cases- 'messy' with 'high morbidity'. Alternative estimators to the traditional mean are examined via a simulation study over a wide range of both symmetric and asymmetric distributions. These alternative estimators are data depenmdent and, in most cases, represent data far better than the usual mean. Princeton and post-Princeton linear and adaptive estimators of location are summarized, and a classification scheme based on an ancillary or selector statistic is proposed. The computational formulae for the collection of estimators have been standardized, as have the ancillary statistics. We classify these estimators by their computational form, give the computational formulae for each in a standardized notation, evaluate the subclass of estimators, and identify our 'winner' in that class.     

Estimation of bivariate and marginal distributions with censored data

Summary. Consider a pair of random variables, both subject to random right censoring. New estimators for the bivariate and marginal distributions of these variables are proposed. The estimators of the marginal distributions are not the marginals of the corresponding estimator of the bivariate distribution. Both estimators require estimation of the conditional distribution when the conditioning variable is subject to censoring. Such a method of estimation is proposed. The weak convergence of the estimators proposed is obtained. A small simulation study suggests that the estimators of the marginal and bivariate distributions perform well relatively to respectively the Kaplan–Meier estimator for the marginal distribution and the estimators of Pruitt and van der Laan for the bivariate distribution. The use of the estimators in practice is illustrated by the analysis of a data set.     

On location and scale parameters of exponential distributions with censored observations

In this paper we first address the problem of estimating the common scale of several exponential distributions with unknown location parameters when censored samples are observed. The improved estimators are basically Stein type testimators. These testimators are then used to construct improved estimators of location parameters.     

An asymptotic equivalence of the cross-data and predictive estimators

Abstract

Estimators using multiplicative tuning parameters for maximum likelihood estimators in cross-validation are called cross-data estimators in this paper. Single-sample versions of the cross-data estimators have been called predictive estimators in literatures, which are given by maximizing the expected log-likelihood, where the two-fold expectations are taken over the distributions of future and current data using maximum likelihood estimators based on current data. An asymptotic equivalence of the cross-data and predictive estimators is shown, which guarantees an optimality of the predictive estimator when an unknown population parameter vector is replaced by the sample counterpart. Examples using typical statistical distributions are shown.     

k-Step shape estimators based on spatial signs and ranks

In this paper, the shape matrix estimators based on spatial sign and rank vectors are considered. The estimators considered here are slight modifications of the estimators introduced in Dümbgen (1998) and Oja and Randles (2004) and further studied for example in Sirkiä et al. (2009). The shape estimators are computed using pairwise differences of the observed data, therefore there is no need to estimate the location center of the data. When the estimator is based on signs, the use of differences also implies that the estimators have the so called independence property if the estimator, that is used as an initial estimator, has it. The influence functions and limiting distributions of the estimators are derived at the multivariate elliptical case. The estimators are shown to be highly efficient in the multinormal case, and for heavy-tailed distributions they outperform the shape estimator based on sample covariance matrix.     

Analysis of Type-II hybrid censored competing risks data

Kundu and Gupta [Analysis of hybrid life-tests in presence of competing risks. Metrica. 2007;65:159–170] provided the analysis of Type-I hybrid censored competing risks data, when the lifetime distributions of the competing cause of failures follows exponential distribution. In this paper, we consider the analysis of Type-II hybrid censored competing risks data. It is assumed that latent lifetime distributions of the competing causes of failures follow independent exponential distributions with different scale parameters. It is observed that the maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown parameters do not always exist. We propose the modified estimators of the scale parameters, which coincide with the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators when they exist, and asymptotically they are equivalent. We obtain the exact distribution of the proposed estimators. Using the exact distributions of the proposed estimators, associated confidence intervals are obtained. The asymptotic and bootstrap confidence intervals of the unknown parameters are also provided. Further, Bayesian inference of some unknown parametric functions under a very flexible Beta-Gamma prior is considered. Bayes estimators and associated credible intervals of the unknown parameters are obtained using the Monte Carlo method. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations are performed to see the effectiveness of the proposed estimators and one real data set has been analysed for the illustrative purposes. It is observed that the proposed model and the method work quite well for this data set.     

A cluster‐sample approach for Monte Carlo integration using multiple samplers

A computational problem in many fields is to estimate simultaneously multiple integrals and expectations, assuming that the data are generated by some Monte Carlo algorithm. Consider two scenarios in which draws are simulated from multiple distributions but the normalizing constants of those distributions may be known or unknown. For each scenario, existing estimators can be classified as using individual samples separately or using all the samples jointly. The latter pooled‐sample estimators are statistically more efficient but computationally more costly to evaluate than the separate‐sample estimators. We develop a cluster‐sample approach to obtain computationally effective estimators, after draws are generated for each scenario. We divide all the samples into mutually exclusive clusters and combine samples from each cluster separately. Furthermore, we exploit a relationship between estimators based on samples from different clusters to achieve variance reduction. The resulting estimators, compared with the pooled‐sample estimators, typically yield similar statistical efficiency but have reduced computational cost. We illustrate the value of the new approach by two examples for an Ising model and a censored Gaussian random field. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 41: 151–173; 2013 © 2012 Statistical Society of Canada     

Estimating principal points of univariate distributions

SUMMARY The term 'principal points' originated in a problem of determining 'typical' heads for the design of protection masks, as described by Flury. Two principal points in the mask example correspond to a small and a large size. Principal points are cluster means for theoretical distributions, and sample cluster means from a k -means algorithm are non-parametric estimators of principal points. This paper demonstrates that maximum likelihood estimators and semi-parametric estimators based on symmetry constraints typically perform much better than the k -means estimators. Asymptotic results on the efficiency of these estimators of two principal points for four symmetric univariate distributions are given. Simulation results are provided to examine the performance of the estimators for finite sample sizes. Finally, the different estimators of two principal points are compared using the head dimension data for the design of protection masks.     

Estimation of scale parameters in mixture distributions

Simultaneous estimation of scale parameters is considered in mixture distributions under squared-error loss. A general class of estimators is obtained which dominates the componentwise best multiple estimators and the moment estimators. As special cases, improved estimators are obtained for the multivariate t-distribution and the p-variate Lomax distribution.     

Small sample comparison of six bivariate survival curve estimators 1

We study the performance of six proposed bivariate survival curve estimators on simulated right censored data. The performance of the estimators is compared for data generated by three bivariate models with exponential marginal distributions. The estimators are compared in their ability to estimate correlations and survival functions probabilities. Simulated data results are presented so that the proposed estimators in this relatively new area of analysis can be explicitly compared to the known distribution of the data and the parameters of the underlying model. The results show clear differences in the performance of the estimators.     

On the comparison of Fisher information of the Weibull and GE distributions

In this paper, we consider the Fisher information matrices of the generalized exponential (GE) and Weibull distributions for complete and Type-I censored observations. Fisher information matrix can be used to compute asymptotic variances of the different estimators. Although both distributions may provide similar data fit but the corresponding Fisher information matrices can be quite different. Moreover, the percentage loss of information due to truncation of the Weibull distribution is much more than the GE distribution. We compute the total information of the Weibull and GE distributions for different parameter ranges. We compare the asymptotic variances of the median estimators and the average asymptotic variances of all the percentile estimators for complete and Type-I censored observations. One data analysis has been preformed for illustrative purposes. When two fitted distributions are very close to each other and very difficult to discriminate otherwise, the Fisher information or the above mentioned asymptotic variances may be used for discrimination purposes.     

An empirical investigation of different operating characteristics of several estimators of the intraclass correlation in the analysis of binary data

This paper is concerned with properties (bias, standard deviation, mean square error and efficiency) of twenty six estimators of the intraclass correlation in the analysis of binary data. Our main interest is to study these properties when data are generated from different distributions. For data generation we considered three over-dispersed binomial distributions, namely, the beta-binomial distribution, the probit normal binomial distribution and a mixture of two binomial distributions. The findings regarding bias, standard deviation and mean squared error of all these estimators, are that (a) in general, the distributions of biases of most of the estimators are negatively skewed. The biases are smallest when data are generated from the beta-binomial distribution and largest when data are generated from the mixture distribution; (b) the standard deviations are smallest when data are generated from the beta-binomial distribution; and (c) the mean squared errors are smallest when data are generated from the beta-binomial distribution and largest when data are generated from the mixture distribution. Of the 26, nine estimators including the maximum likelihood estimator, an estimator based on the optimal quadratic estimating equations of Crowder (1987), and an analysis of variance type estimator is found to have least amount of bias, standard deviation and mean squared error. Also, the distributions of the bias, standard deviation and mean squared error for each of these estimators are, in general, more symmetric than those of the other estimators. Our findings regarding efficiency are that the estimator based on the optimal quadratic estimating equations has consistently high efficiency and least variability in the efficiency results. In the important range in which the intraclass correlation is small (≤0 5), on the average, this estimator shows best efficiency performance. The analysis of variance type estimator seems to do well for larger values of the intraclass correlation. In general, the estimator based on the optimal quadratic estimating equations seems to show best efficiency performance for data from the beta-binomial distribution and the probit normal binomial distribution, and the analysis of variance type estimator seems to do well for data from the mixture distribution.     

Can Supply and Demand Parameters Be Recovered From Data Generated by Market Institutions?

The relative accuracy of estimators in recovering supply and demand parameters can depend on the market institutions that generate the data. The parameters of known supply and demand functions are estimated with data from laboratory market experiments with human buyers and sellers. Single-equation estimators dominate simultaneous-equations estimators in recovering supply and demand parameters from posted-offer market data. The inaccuracy of simultaneous-equations estimators with posted-offer data can be explained by the implications for error distributions of the inherent properties of this market institution. Simultaneous-equations estimators perform better with closing-price data from double-auction markets.     

Multiple Regression Model Averaging and the Focused Information Criterion With an Application to Portfolio Choice

ABSTRACT

We consider multiple regression (MR) model averaging using the focused information criterion (FIC). Our approach is motivated by the problem of implementing a mean-variance portfolio choice rule. The usual approach is to estimate parameters ignoring the intention to use them in portfolio choice. We develop an estimation method that focuses on the trading rule of interest. Asymptotic distributions of submodel estimators in the MR case are derived using a localization framework. The localization is of both regression coefficients and error covariances. Distributions of submodel estimators are used for model selection with the FIC. This allows comparison of submodels using the risk of portfolio rule estimators. FIC model averaging estimators are then characterized. This extension further improves risk properties. We show in simulations that applying these methods in the portfolio choice case results in improved estimates compared with several competitors. An application to futures data shows superior performance as well.     

Testing for ordered failure rates under general progressive censoring

For exponentially distributed failure times under general progressive censoring schemes, testing procedures for ordered failure rates are proposed using the likelihood ratio principle. Constrained maximum likelihood estimators of the failure rates are found. The asymptotic distributions of the test statistics are shown to be mixtures of chi-square distributions. When testing the equality of the failure rates, a simulation study shows that the proposed test with restricted alternative has improved power over the usual chi-square statistic with an unrestricted alternative. The proposed methods are illustrated using data of survival times of patients with squamous carcinoma of the oropharynx.