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1.
In this article, we consider two different shared frailty regression models under the assumption of Gompertz as baseline distribution. Mostly assumption of gamma distribution is considered for frailty distribution. To compare the results with gamma frailty model, we consider the inverse Gaussian shared frailty model also. We compare these two models to a real life bivariate survival data set of acute leukemia remission times (Freireich et al., 1963). Analysis is performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Model comparison is made using Bayesian model selection criterion and a well-fitted model is suggested for the acute leukemia data. 相似文献
2.
Junyong Park Jayson D. Wilbur Jayanta K. Ghosh Cindy H. Nakatsu Corinne Ackerman 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(4):855-869
We adopt boosting for classification and selection of high-dimensional binary variables for which classical methods based on normality and non singular sample dispersion are inapplicable. Boosting seems particularly well suited for binary variables. We present three methods of which two combine boosting with the relatively classical variable selection methods developed in Wilbur et al. (2002). Our primary interest is variable selection in classification with small misclassification error being used as validation of proposed method for variable selection. Two of the new methods perform uniformly better than Wilbur et al. (2002) in one set of simulated and three real life examples. 相似文献
3.
A Bottom-Up Dynamic Model of Portfolio Credit Risk with Stochastic Intensities and Random Recoveries
Tomasz R. Bielecki Areski Cousin Stéphane Crépey Alexander Herbertsson 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2014,43(7):1362-1389
In Bielecki et al. (2014a), the authors introduced a Markov copula model of portfolio credit risk where pricing and hedging can be done in a sound theoretical and practical way. Further theoretical backgrounds and practical details are developed in Bielecki et al. (2014b,c) where numerical illustrations assumed deterministic intensities and constant recoveries. In the present paper, we show how to incorporate stochastic default intensities and random recoveries in the bottom-up modeling framework of Bielecki et al. (2014a) while preserving numerical tractability. These two features are of primary importance for applications like CVA computations on credit derivatives (Assefa et al., 2011; Bielecki et al., 2012), as CVA is sensitive to the stochastic nature of credit spreads and random recoveries allow to achieve satisfactory calibration even for “badly behaved” data sets. This article is thus a complement to Bielecki et al. (2014a), Bielecki et al. (2014b) and Bielecki et al. (2014c). 相似文献
4.
《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(9):1725-1735
Abstract The study of multivariate distributions of order k, two of which are the multivariate negative binomial of order k and the multinomial of the same order, was introduced in Philippou et al. (Philippou, A. N., Antzoulakos, D. L., Tripsiannis, G. A. (1988). Multivariate distributions of order k. Statistics and Probability Letters 7(3):207–216.), and Philippou et al. (Philippou, A. N., Antzoulakos, D. L., Tripsiannis, G. A. (1990). Multivariate distributions of order k, part II. Statistics and Probability Letters 10(1):29–35.). Recently, an order k (or cluster) generalized negative binomial distribution and a multivariate negative binomial distribution were derived in Sen and Jain (Sen, K., Jain, R. (1996). Cluster generalized negative binomial distribution. In: Borthakur et al. A. C., Eds.; Probability Models and Statistics Medhi Festschrift, A. J., on the Occasion of his 70th Birthday. New Age International Publishers: New Delhi, 227–241.) and Sen and Jain (Sen, K., Jain, R. (1997). A multivariate generalized Polya-Eggenberger probability model-first passage approach. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods 26:871–884.), respectively. In this paper, all four distributions are generalized to a multivariate generalized negative binomial distribution of order k by means of an appropriate sampling scheme and a first passage event. This new distribution includes as special cases several known and new multivariate distributions of order k, and gives rise in the limit to multivariate generalized logarithmic, Poisson and Borel-Tanner distributions of the same order. Applications are indicated. 相似文献
5.
This paper presents a new variable weight method, called the singular value decomposition (SVD) approach, for Kohonen competitive learning (KCL) algorithms based on the concept of Varshavsky et al. [18]. Integrating the weighted fuzzy c-means (FCM) algorithm with KCL, in this paper, we propose a weighted fuzzy KCL (WFKCL) algorithm. The goal of the proposed WFKCL algorithm is to reduce the clustering error rate when data contain some noise variables. Compared with the k-means, FCM and KCL with existing variable-weight methods, the proposed WFKCL algorithm with the proposed SVD's weight method provides a better clustering performance based on the error rate criterion. Furthermore, the complexity of the proposed SVD's approach is less than Pal et al. [17], Wang et al. [19] and Hung et al. [9]. 相似文献
6.
Housila P. Singh 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(23):4222-4238
This article considers some classes of estimators of the population median of the study variable using information on an auxiliary variable with their properties under large sample approximation. Asymptotic optimum estimator (AOE) in each class of estimators has been investigated along with the approximate mean square error formulae. It has been shown that the proposed classes of estimators are better than these considered by Gross (1980), Kuk and Mak (1989), Singh et al. (2003a), and Al and Cingi (2009). An empirical study is carried out to judge the merits of the suggested class of estimators over other existing estimators. 相似文献
7.
Viswanathan Ramakrishnan 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(3):405-418
In many genetic analyses of dichotomous twin data, odds ratios have been used to test hypotheses on heritability and shared common environment effects of a given disease (Lichtenstein et al., 2000; Ahlbom et al., 1997; Ramakrishnan et al., 1992, 4). However, estimates of these two effects have not been dealt with in the literature. In epidemiology, the attributable fraction (AF), a function of the odds ratio and the prevalence of the risk factor has been used to describe the contribution of a risk factor to a disease in a given population (Leviton, 1973). In this article, we adapt the AF to quantify the heritability and the shared common environment. Twin data on cancer, gallstone disease and phobia are used to illustrate the applicability of the AF estimate as a measure of heritability. 相似文献
8.
This paper is based on the application of a Bayesian model to a clinical trial study to determine a more effective treatment to lower mortality rates and consequently to increase survival times among patients with lung cancer. In this study, Qian et al. [13] strived to determine if a Weibull survival model can be used to decide whether to stop a clinical trial. The traditional Gibbs sampler was used to estimate the model parameters. This paper proposes to use the independent steady-state Gibbs sampling (ISSGS) approach, introduced by Dunbar et al. [3], to improve the original Gibbs sampler in multidimensional problems. It is demonstrated that ISSGS provides accuracy with unbiased estimation and improves the performance and convergence of the Gibbs sampler in this application. 相似文献
9.
M. Pilar Alonso Asunción Beamonte Manuel Salvador 《Journal of applied statistics》2015,42(5):1043-1063
In this paper a methodology for the delineation of local labour markets (LLMs) using evolutionary algorithms is proposed. This procedure, based on that in Flórez-Revuelta et al. [13,14], introduces three modifications. First, initial groups of municipalities with a minimum size requirement are built using the travel time between them. Second, a not fully random initiation algorithm is proposed. And third, as a final stage of the procedure, a contiguity step is implemented. These modifications significantly decrease the computational times of the algorithm (up to a 99%) without any deterioration of the quality of the solutions. The optimization algorithm may give a set of potential solutions with very similar values with respect to the objective function what would lead to different partitions, both in terms of number of markets and their composition. In order to capture their common aspects an algorithm based on a cluster partitioning of k-means type is presented. This stage of the procedure also provides a ranking of LLMs foci useful for planners and administrations in decision-making processes on issues related to labour activities. Finally, to evaluate the performance of the algorithm a toy example with artificial data is analysed. The full methodology is illustrated through a real commuting data set of the region of Aragón (Spain). 相似文献
10.
ABSTRACTIn this work, we proposed an adaptive multivariate cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistical process control chart for signaling a range of location shifts. This method was based on the multivariate CUSUM control chart proposed by Pignatiello and Runger (1990), but we adopted the adaptive approach similar to that discussed by Dai et al. (2011), which was based on a different CUSUM method introduced by Crosier (1988). The reference value in this proposed procedure was changed adaptively in each run, with the current mean shift estimated by exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) statistic. By specifying the minimal magnitude of the mean shift, our proposed control chart achieved a good overall performance for detecting a range of shifts rather than a single value. We compared our adaptive multivariate CUSUM method with that of Dai et al. (2001) and the non adaptive versions of these two methods, by evaluating both the steady state and zero state average run length (ARL) values. The detection efficiency of our method showed improvements over the comparative methods when the location shift is unknown but falls within an expected range. 相似文献
11.
Simard et al. [16 17] proposed a transformation distance called “tangent distance” (TD) which can make pattern recognition be efficient. The key idea is to construct a distance measure which is invariant with respect to some chosen transformations. In this research, we provide a method using adaptive TD based on an idea inspired by “discriminant adaptive nearest neighbor” [7]. This method is relatively easy compared with many other complicated ones. A real handwritten recognition data set is used to illustrate our new method. Our results demonstrate that the proposed method gives lower classification error rates than those by standard implementation of neural networks and support vector machines and is as good as several other complicated approaches. 相似文献
12.
The Significance Analysis of Microarrays (SAM; Tusher et al., 2001) method is widely used in analyzing gene expression data while controlling the FDR by using resampling-based procedure in the microarray setting. One of the main components of the SAM procedure is the adjustment of the test statistic. The introduction of the fudge factor to the test statistic aims at deflating the large value of test statistics due to the small standard error of gene-expression. Lin et al. (2008) pointed out that the fudge factor does not effectively improve the power and the control of the FDR as compared to the SAM procedure without the fudge factor in the presence of small variance genes. Motivated by the simulation results presented in Lin et al. (2008), in this article, we extend our study to compare several methods for choosing the fudge factor in the modified t-type test statistics and use simulation studies to investigate the power and the control of the FDR of the considered methods. 相似文献
13.
In an earlier article (Bai et al., 1999), the problem of simultaneous estimation of the number of signals and frequencies of multiple sinusoids is considered in the case that some observations are missing. The number of signals is estimated with an information theoretic criterion and the frequencies are estimated with eigenvariation linear prediction. Asymptotic properties of the procedure are investigated but the Monte Carlo simulation is not performed. In this article, a slightly different but scale invariant criterion for detection is proposed and the estimation of frequencies remains the same. Asymptotic properties of this new procedure are provided. Monte Carlo Simulation for both procedures is carried out. Furthermore, comparison on the real signals is also given. 相似文献
14.
This paper addresses a generalization of the bivariate Cauchy distribution discussed by Fang et al. (1990), derived from a trivariate normal distribution with a general correlation matrix. We obtain explicit expressions for the joint distribution function and joint density function, and show that they reduce in a special case to the corresponding expressions of Fang et al. (1990). Finally, we show that this generalized distribution is useful in determining the orthant probability of a bivariate skew-normal distribution of Azzalini and Dalla Valle (1996). 相似文献
15.
Shesh N. Rai Jianmin Pan Xiaobin Yuan Jianguo Sun Melissa M. Hudson Deo K. Srivastava 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(17):3117-3133
New drug discovery in the pediatrics has dramatically improved survival, but with long- term adverse events. This motivates the examination of adverse outcomes such as long-term toxicity in a phase IV trial. An ideal approach to monitor long-term toxicity is to systematically follow the survivors, which is generally not feasible. Instead, cross-sectional surveys are conducted in Hudson et al. (2007), with one of the objectives to estimate the cumulative incidence rates along with specific interest in fixed-term (5 or 10 year) rates. We present inference procedures based on current status data to our motivating example with very interesting findings. 相似文献
16.
Rodrigo R. Pescim Edwin M. M. Ortega Gauss M. Cordeiro Morad Alizadeh 《Journal of applied statistics》2017,44(2):233-252
We introduce a log-linear regression model based on the odd log-logistic generalized half-normal distribution [7]. Some of its structural properties including explicit expressions for the density function, quantile and generating functions and ordinary moments are derived. We estimate the model parameters by the maximum likelihood method. For different parameter settings, proportion of censoring and sample size, some simulations are performed to investigate the behavior of the estimators. We derive the appropriate matrices for assessing local influence diagnostics on the parameter estimates under different perturbation schemes. We also define the martingale and modified deviance residuals to detect outliers and evaluate the model assumptions. In addition, we demonstrate that the extended regression model can be very useful in the analysis of real data and provide more realistic fits than other special regression models. The potentiality of the new regression model is illustrated by means of a real data set. 相似文献
17.
This article proposes various Searls-type ratio imputation methods (STRIM) on the lines of Ahmed et al. (2006). It is a well-known fact that the optimal ratio type estimator attains the MSE of regression estimator (or optimal difference estimator) but while using Searls-type transformation (STT) (Searls (1964)) this may not always happen. These STRIM are shown to perform better than the imputation procedures of Ahmed et al. (2006). The STRIM may even outperform the Searls type difference imputation methods (STDIM) proposed by us in our earlier work, Bhushan and Pandey (2016). This study is concluded with the numerical study along with the theoretical comparison. 相似文献
18.
Ratio-Cum-Product Type Exponential Estimator of Finite Population Mean in Stratified Random Sampling
Rajesh Tailor 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2014,43(2):343-354
This article addresses the problem of estimating the finite population mean in stratified random sampling using auxiliary information. Motivated by Singh (1967) and Bahl and Tuteja (1991) a ratio-cum-product type exponential estimator has been suggested and its bias and mean squared error have been derived under large sample approximation. Suggested estimator has been compared with usual unbiased estimator of population mean in stratified random sampling, combined ratio estimator, combined product estimator, ratio and product type exponential estimator of Singh et al. (2008). Conditions under which suggested estimator is more efficient than other considered estimators have been obtained. A numerical illustration is given in support of the theoretical findings. 相似文献
19.
This article extends the correlation methodology developed by Chinchilli et al. (2005) for the 2 × 2 crossover design to more complex crossover designs for clinical trials. We describe how the methodology can be adapted to a general type of two-treatment crossover design which includes either at least two sequences or at least two treatment periods or both. We then derive the asymptotic theory for the corresponding correlation statistics, investigate the statistical accuracy of the estimators via bootstrap analyses, and demonstrate their use with two real data examples. 相似文献
20.
We propose a new ratio type estimator for estimating the finite population mean using two auxiliary variables in stratified two-phase sampling. Expressions for bias and mean squared error of the proposed estimator are derived up to the first order of approximation. The proposed estimator is more efficient than the usual stratified sample mean estimator, traditional stratified ratio estimator and some other stratified estimators including Bahl and Tuteja (1991), Chami et al. (2012), Chand (1975), Choudhury and Singh (2012), Hamad et al. (2013), Vishwakarma and Gangele (2014), Sanaullah et al. (2014), and Chanu and Singh (2014). 相似文献