The Recursive Kernel Distribution Function Estimator Based on Negatively and Positively Associated Sequences

Let {X _j , j ≥ 1} be a strictly stationary negatively or positively associated sequence of real valued random variables with unknown distribution function F(x). On the basis of the random variables {X _j , j ≥ 1}, we propose a smooth recursive kernel-type estimate of F(x), and study asymptotic bias, quadratic-mean consistency and asymptotic normality of the recursive kernel-type estimator under suitable conditions.     

On Thresholds of Moving Averages with Given On-Target Significant Levels

Let X ₁, X ₂,… be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables, and let Y _n , n = K, K + 1, K + 2,… be the corresponding backward moving average of order K. At epoch n ≥ K, the process Y _n will be off target by the input X _n if it exceeds a threshold. By introducing a two-state Markov chain, we define a level of significance (1 ? a)% to be the percentage of times that the moving average process stays on target. We establish a technique to evaluate, or estimate, a threshold, to guarantee that {Y _n } will stay (1 ? a)% of times on target, for a given (1 ? a)%. It is proved that if the distribution of the inputs is exponential or normal, then the threshold will be a linear function in the mean of the distribution of inputs μ _X . The slope and intercept of the line, in each case, are specified. It is also observed that for the gamma inputs, the threshold is merely linear in the reciprocal of the scale parameter. These linear relationships can be easily applied to estimate the desired thresholds by samples from the inputs.     

Lois limites pour les statistiques d'ordre dans le cas non identiquement distribue

Let X₁, X₂,… be a sequence of independent random variables with distribution functions F₁, where 1 ≤ i ≤ n, and for each n ≥ 1 let X_1,n ≤… ≤ X_n,n denote the order statistics of the first n random variables. Under suitable hypotheses about the F₁, we characterize the limit distribution functions H(x) for which P(X_k,n ? a_nx + b_n) → H(x), where a_n > 0 and b_n are real constants. We consider the cases where κ = κ(n) satisfies √n {κ(n)/n — λ} → 0 and √n {κ(n)/n — λ} → ∞ separately.     

Asymptotic Properties of Random Weighted Empirical Distribution Function

This article studies the asymptotic properties of the random weighted empirical distribution function of independent random variables. Suppose X₁, X₂, ???, X_n is a sequence of independent random variables, and this sequence is not required to be identically distributed. Denote the empirical distribution function of the sequence by F_n(x). Based on the random weighting method and F_n(x), the random weighted empirical distribution function H_n(x) is constructed and the asymptotic properties of H_n are discussed. Under weak conditions, the Glivenko–Cantelli theorem and the central limit theorem for the random weighted empirical distribution function are obtained. The obtained results have also been applied to study the distribution functions of random errors of multiple sensors.     

A characterization of geometric distribution based on weak records

Let \({\{X_n, n\geq 1\}}\) be a sequence of independent and identically distributed non-degenerated random variables with common cumulative distribution function F. Suppose X ₁ is concentrated on 0, 1, . . . , N ≤ ∞ and P(X ₁ = 1) > 0. Let \({X_{U_w(n)}}\) be the n-th upper weak record value. In this paper we show that for any fixed m ≥ 2, X ₁ has Geometric distribution if and only if \({X_{U_{w}(m)}\mathop=\limits^d X_1+\cdots+X_m ,}\) where \({\underline{\underline{d}}}\) denotes equality in distribution. Our result is a generalization of the case m = 2 obtained by Ahsanullah (J Stat Theory Appl 8(1):5–16, 2009).     

Sequential Estimation of Expectations in the Presence of Trend2

A sequence of independent random variables {Z_n:n≥ 1} with unknown probability distributions is considered and the problem of estimating their expectations {M_n+1: n≥ 1} is examined. The estimation of M_n+1 is based on a finite set {z_k:1≤k≤n}, each z_k being an observed value of Z_k, 1 ≤k≤n, and also based on the assumption that {M_n:n≥ 1} follows an unknown trend of a specified form.     

Convergence properties for weighted sums of NSD random variables

Abstract

Let {X_n, n ? 1} be a sequence of negatively superadditive dependent (NSD, in short) random variables and {b_ni, 1 ? i ? n, n ? 1} be an array of real numbers. In this article, we study the strong law of large numbers for the weighted sums ∑ⁿ_{i = 1}b_niX_i without identical distribution. We present some sufficient conditions to prove the strong law of large numbers. As an application, the Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund strong law of large numbers for NSD random variables is obtained. In addition, the complete convergence for the weighted sums of NSD random variables is established. Our results generalize and improve some corresponding ones for independent random variables and negatively associated random variables.     

Large Deviation Results for Wave Governed Random Motions Driven by Semi-Markov Processes

In this article, we present large deviation results for a model {ξ₁ + … + ξ _n : n ≥ 1} which is close to a random walk. More precisely, we consider independent random variables {ξ _n : n ≥ 1} such that {ξ _n : n ≥ 2} are i.i.d. and a different distribution for ξ₁ is allowed. We prove large deviation estimates for P(N _x  ≤ xT) and P(N _x < ∞) as x → ∞, where N _x : = inf {n ≥ 1: ξ₁ + … + ξ _n  ≥ x}. Moreover, we provide an asymptotically efficient simulation law for the estimation of P(N _x  ≤ xT) and P(N _x < ∞) by Monte Carlo simulation based on the importance sampling technique. These results will be adapted to wave governed random motions driven by semi-Markov processes and we present some simulations. Finally, we study the convergence of some large deviation rates for standard wave governed random motions based on a scaling presented in the literature (see Kac, 1974 Kac , M. ( 1974 ). A stochastic model related to the telegrapher's equation . Rocky Mountain Journal of Mathematics 4 : 497 – 509 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]; Orsingher, 1990 Orsingher , E. ( 1990 ). Probability law, flow function, maximum distribution of wave governed random motions and their connections with Kirchoff's laws . Stochastic Processes and their Applications 34 ( 1 ): 49 – 66 . [Google Scholar]).     

A note on a strong renewal theorem

Let {S_n, n ≥ 1} be a sequence of partial sums of independent and identically distributed non-negative random variables with a common distribution function F. Let F belong to the domain of attraction of a stable law with exponent α, 0 < α < 1. Suppose H(t) = ? N(t), t ? 0, where N(t) = max(n : S_n ≥ t). Under some additional assumptions on F, the difference between H(t) and its asymptotic value as t → ∞ is estimated.     

Characterizations based on regression assumptions of order statistics

Let X₍₁₎≤X₍₂₎≤···≤X_(n) be the order statistics from independent and identically distributed random variables {X_i, 1≤i≤n} with a common absolutely continuous distribution function. In this work, first a new characterization of distributions based on order statistics is presented. Next, we review some conditional expectation properties of order statistics, which can be used to establish some equivalent forms for conditional expectations for sum of random variables based on order statistics. Using these equivalent forms, some known results can be extended immediately.     

Limiting distributions of Kolmogorov-Lévy-type statistics under the alternative

Let X_i, 1 ≤ i ≤ n, be independent identically distributed random variables with a common distribution function F, and let G be a smooth distribution function. We derive the limit distribution of □{ρ_α(F_n, G) - _α(F, G)}, where F_n is the empirical distribution function based on X₁,…,X_n and _α is a Kolmogorov-Lévy-type metric between distribution functions. For α ≤ 0 and two distribution functions F and G the metric p_α is given by p_α(F, G) = inf {? ≤ 0: G(x - α?) - ? F(x) ≤ G(x + α?) + ? for all x ?}.     

An Estimator of the Exponent of Regular Variation Based on K-Record Values

Let {X _n:n ≥ 1} be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables with a continuous distribution function F. Under the assumption that the upper tail of Fis regularly varying with exponent 1/α, α > 0, we study the asymptotic properties of an estimator of α based on k-record values.     

ON THE PROBABILITY OF BEING MAXIMAL

Let X₁, X₂, … , X_n be independent and identically distributed random variables with a continuous cumulative distribution function F, which belongs to the max‐domain of attraction of the Frechet or Gumbel extreme value distribution. We define the probability of being maximal, D_n , and approximate it. Several previous papers have considered this problem, but only for special cases. The approximations to D_n are very useful for obtaining demand functions from random utility models in the qualitative response models used in social sciences.     

A CHARACTERIZATION OF GEOMETRIC DISTRIBUTIONS THROUGH CONDITIONAL INDEPENDENCE

Let X₁,…, X_n be mutually independent non-negative integer-valued random variables with probability mass functions f_i(x) > 0 for z= 0,1,…. Let E denote the event that {X₁≥X₂≥…≥X_n}. This note shows that, conditional on the event E, X_i-X_i+ 1 and X_i+ 1 are independent for all t = 1,…, k if and only if X_i (i= 1,…, k) are geometric random variables, where 1 ≤k≤n-1. The k geometric distributions can have different parameters θ_i, i= 1,…, k.     

Asymptotic tail behavior of a random sum with conditionally dependent subexponential summands

In this paper, we obtain some results for the asymptotic behavior of the tail probability of a random sum S_τ = ∑^τ_{k = 1}X_k, where the summands X_k, k = 1, 2, …, are conditionally dependent random variables with a common subexponential distribution F, and the random number τ is a non negative integer-valued random variable, independent of {X_k: k ? 1}.     

A zero-one law for large order statistics

Fix r ≥ 1, and let {M_nr} be the rth largest of {X₁,X₂,…X_n}, where X₁,X₂,… is a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with distribution function F. It is proved that P[M_nr ≤ u_n i.o.] = 0 or 1 according as the series Σ^∞_n=3Fⁿ(u_n)(log log n)^r/n converges or diverges, for any real sequence {u_n} such that n{1 -F(u_n)} is nondecreasing and divergent. This generalizes a result of Bamdorff-Nielsen (1961) in the case r = 1.     

On Censored Bivariate Random Variables: Copula,Characterization, and Estimation

Let (X, Y) be a bivariate random vector with joint distribution function F_{X, Y}(x, y) = C(F(x), G(y)), where C is a copula and F and G are marginal distributions of X and Y, respectively. Suppose that (X_i, Y_i), i = 1, 2, …, n is a random sample from (X, Y) but we are able to observe only the data consisting of those pairs (X_i, Y_i) for which X_i ? Y_i. We denote such pairs as (X*_i, Y_i*), i = 1, 2, …, ν, where ν is a random variable. The main problem of interest is to express the distribution function F_{X, Y}(x, y) and marginal distributions F and G with the distribution function of observed random variables X* and Y*. It is shown that if X and Y are exchangeable with marginal distribution function F, then F can be uniquely determined by the distributions of X* and Y*. It is also shown that if X and Y are independent and absolutely continuous, then F and G can be expressed through the distribution functions of X* and Y* and the stress–strength reliability P{X ? Y}. This allows also to estimate P{X ? Y} with the truncated observations (X*_i, Y_i*). The copula of bivariate random vector (X*, Y*) is also derived.     

Strict stationarity of ar(p) processes generated by nonlinear random functions with additive perturbations

Let {X_n} be a generalized autoregressive process of order ρ defined by X_n=Φ_n(X_n-ρ,…,X_n-1)-η_m, where {φ_n} is a sequence of i.i.d. random maps taking values on H, and {η_n} is a sequence of i.i.d. random variables. Let H be a collection of Borel measurable functions on R_P to R. By considering the associated Markov process, we obtain sufficient conditions for stationarity, (geometric) ergodicity of {X_n}.     

On characterizations based on record values and order statistics

Consider an infinite sequence of independent random variables having common continuous c.d.f. F. For 1 ⩽ i ⩽ n, let X_i:n denote the ith order statistic of the first n random variables, and let {X(n), n ⩾ 1} be the sequence of upper record values. We examine the similarities and differences between the dependence structures of the X_i:n's and the X(n)'s, with an emphasis on the latter. We present an interesting situation involving a characterization of F using the moment sequence of records. We obtain characterizations based on the properties of certain regression functions associated with order statistics, record values, and the original observations. We discuss the resemblance between some known and some new characterizations based on order statistics, record values and those based on the properties of truncated F.     

Minimum-Distance Estimator for Stable Exponent

Assume that X ₁, X ₂,…, X _n is a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with α-stable distribution (α ∈ (0,2], the stable exponent, is the unknown parameter). We construct minimum distance estimators for α by minimizing the Kolmogorov distance or the Cramér–von-Mises distance between the empirical distribution function G _n , and a class of distributions defined based on the sum-preserving property of stable random variables. The minimum distance estimators can also be obtained by minimizing a U-statistic estimate of an empirical distribution function involving the stable exponent. They share the same invariance property with the maximum likelihood estimates. In this article, we prove the strong consistency of the minimum distance estimators. We prove the asymptotic normality of our estimators. Simulation study shows that the new estimators are competitive to the existing ones and perform very closely even to the maximum likelihood estimator.