Moments inequalities of aging families of distributions with hypotheses testing applications

Nonparametric families of aging distributions have been the subject of investigation for more than three decades. Both probabilistic and statistical properties of these distributions were studied for such families as “increasing failure rate”, “new better than used”, “new better than used in expectation”, and “harmonic new better than used in expectation”. In the present work, moments inequalities are derived for the above-mentioned four families that demonstrate that if the mean life is finite for any of them then all higher-order moments exist. Next, based on these inequalities, new testing procedures for exponentiality against any one of the above classes are introduced and studied showing that they are simpler than most earlier ones and hold high relative efficiency for some commonly used alternatives.     

Tests for properties of residual life

The lOOα -percentile (0 < α < 1) residual life function at time x is defined to be the lOOα -percentile of the remaining life given survival up to time x. Joe and Proschan (1982b) develop tests for testing the alternatives representing decreasing 100α-percentile residual life (DPRL-α ) and the property ‘new better than used with respect to the lOOα -percentile’ (NBUP-α ). In this paper, tests are developed for DPRL[α, l) and NBUP[α, l) alternatives, where DPRL[α, l) is the class of life distributions which are DPRL-β distributions for all a ≤ β < 1 if 0 ≤ α < 1 and for all 0 < β < 1 if α = 0, and NBUP[α, l) is similarly defined. When α = 0, the DPRL[α, l) class of life distributions corresponds to the increasing failure rate class and the NBUP[α, l) class of life distributions corresponds to the new better than used class, and the test statistics are respectively asymptotically equivalent to the Hollander and Proschan (1975) test statistics for decreasing mean residual life and new better than used in expectation alternatives.     

Moment inequalities for HNBRUE with hypothesis testing application

The paper deals with life distributions which are harmonic new better than renewal used in expectation (HNBRUE). The goal is to derive moment inequalities and use them for further analysis of the class HNBRUE. We establish new characterization of exponentiality versus HNBRUE. Pitman’s asymptotic relative efficiency is employed to assess the performance of the proposed test with respect to other available tests. Finally, we carried out numerical simulation to produce table for the critical values of the test.     

TESTING NEW BETTER THAN RENEWAL USED LIFE DISTRIBUTIONS BASED ON U-TEST

In this paper, the problem of testing exponentiality against new better (worse) than renewal used in expectation is investigated and similarly for the case of nuharmonic new better than renewal used in expectation. For each of these two aging properties, a nonparametric procedure (U-statistic) is presented. Selected critical values are tabulated for sample sizes n = 5(1)30(10)50. The Pitman asymptotic relative efficiency to the test relative to other classes are studied. A real example is given to elucidate the use of the proposed test statistics for the reliability analysis.     

An extended Maxwell distribution: Properties and applications

In this article, we propose an extension of the Maxwell distribution, so-called the extended Maxwell distribution. This extension is evolved by using the Maxwell-X family of distributions and Weibull distribution. We study its fundamental properties such as hazard rate, moments, generating functions, skewness, kurtosis, stochastic ordering, conditional moments and moment generating function, hazard rate, mean and variance of the (reversed) residual life, reliability curves, entropy, etc. In estimation viewpoint, the maximum likelihood estimation of the unknown parameters of the distribution and asymptotic confidence intervals are discussed. We also obtain expected Fisher’s information matrix as well as discuss the existence and uniqueness of the maximum likelihood estimators. The EMa distribution and other competing distributions are fitted to two real datasets and it is shown that the distribution is a good competitor to the compared distributions.     

An extended Gompertz-Makeham distribution with application to lifetime data

In this paper, we propose an extension of the Gompertz-Makeham distribution. This distribution is called the transmuted Gompertz-Makeham (TGM). The new model which can handle bathtub-shaped, increasing, increasing-constant and constant hazard rate functions. This property makes TGM is useful in survival analysis. Various statistical and reliability measures of the model are obtained, including hazard rate function, moments, moment generating function (mgf), quantile function, random number generating, skewness, kurtosis, conditional moments, mean deviations, Bonferroni curve, Lorenz curve, Gini index, mean inactivity time, mean residual lifetime and stochastic ordering; we also obtain the density of the ith order statistic. Estimation of the model parameters is justified by the method of maximum likelihood. An application to real data demonstrates that the TGM distribution can provides a better fit than some other very well known distributions.     

Tests for bivariate exponentiality against BHNBUE alternatives

We present statistical procedures to test that a life distribution is bivariate exponential (BVE) against the alternative that it is bivariate harmonic new better than used in expectation (BHNBUE). We present a simulation study to compare the power the proposed test with tests proposed by Basu and Ebrahimi (1984) and Sen and Jain (1990) and we observe that the proposed test performs better than the other two tests.     

A new class of skew distributions with climate data analysis

In this paper, we develop a new general class of skew distributions with flexibility properties on the tails. Moreover, such class can provide heavy and light tails. Some of its mathematical properties are studied, including the quantile function, the moments, the moment generating function and the mean of deviations. New skew distributions are derived and used to construct new models capturing asymmetry inherent to data. The estimation of the class parameters is investigated by the method of maximum likelihood and the performance of the estimators is assessed by a simulation study. Applications of the proposed distribution are explored for two climate data sets. The first data set concerns the annual heat wave index and the second data set involves temperature and precipitation measures from the meteorological station located at Schiphol, Netherlands. Data fitting results show that our models perform better than the competitors.     

Characterizations of exponentiality within the HNBUE class and related tests

A harmonic new better than used in expectation (HNBUE) variable is a random variable which is dominated by an exponential distribution in the convex stochastic order. We use a recently obtained condition on stochastic equality under convex domination to derive characterizations of the exponential distribution and bounds for HNBUE variables based on the mean values of the order statistics of the variable. We apply the results to generate discrepancy measures to test if a random variable is exponential against the alternative that is HNBUE, but not exponential.     

A simple test for new better than used in expectation

We present a statistical procedure to test that a life distribution is exponential against the al ternative that it is continuous new better than used in expectation. The test is shown to be consistent and asymptotic relative efficiency resul ts are obtained against the competitor developed earlier by Hollander and Proschan [2], for certain families of alternatives.     

The density of the skew normal sample mean and its applications

This paper focuses on the distribution of the skew normal sample mean. For a random sample drawn from a skew normal population, we derive the density function and the moment generating function of the sample mean. The density function derived can be used for statistical inference on the disease occurrence time of twins in epidemiology, in which the skew normal model plays a key role.     

Long-Range Dependence of Markov Renewal Processes

This paper examines long‐range dependence (LRD) and asymptotic properties of Markov renewal processes generalizing results of Daley for renewal processes. The Hurst index and discrepancy function, which is the difference between the expected number of arrivals in (0, t] given a point at 0 and the number of arrivals in (0, t] in the time stationary version, are examined in terms of the moment index. The moment index is the supremum of the set of r > 0 such that the rth moment of the first return time to a state is finite, employing the solidarity results of Sgibnev. The results are derived for irreducible, regular Markov renewal processes on countable state spaces. The paper also derives conditions to determine the moment index of the first return times in terms of the Markov renewal kernel distribution functions of the process.     

Modified moment and maximum likelihood estimators for parameters of the three-parameter gamma distribution

This article is concerned with modifications of both maximum likelihood and moment estimators for parameters of the three-parameter gamma distribution. Modifications employed here are essentially the same as those previously considered by the authors (1980, 1981) in connection with the lognormal distribution. Sampling behavior of the estimates is indicated by a Monte Carlo simulation. For certain combinations of parameter values, these new estimators appear better than both maximum likelihood and moment estimators with respect to bias, variance and/or ease of calculation.     

A class of mean residual life regression models with censored survival data

When describing a failure time distribution, the mean residual life is sometimes preferred to the survival or hazard rate. Regression analysis making use of the mean residual life function has recently drawn a great deal of attention. In this paper, a class of mean residual life regression models are proposed for censored data, and estimation procedures and a goodness-of-fit test are developed. Both asymptotic and finite sample properties of the proposed estimators are established, and the proposed methods are applied to a cancer data set from a clinic trial.     

A New Test for New Better Than Used in Expectation Lifetimes

The mean residual life of a non negative random variable X with a finite mean is defined by M(t) = E[X ? t|X > t] for t ? 0. A popular nonparametric model of aging is new better than used in expectation (NBUE), when M(t) ? M(0) for all t ? 0. The exponential distribution lies at the boundary. There is a large literature on testing exponentiality against NBUE alternatives. However, comparisons of tests have been made only for alternatives much stronger than NBUE. We show that a new Kolmogorov-Smirnov type test is much more powerful than its competitors in most cases.     

A New Weibull–Pareto Distribution: Properties and Applications

Many distributions have been used as lifetime models. In this article, we propose a new three-parameter Weibull–Pareto distribution, which can produce the most important hazard rate shapes, namely, constant, increasing, decreasing, bathtub, and upsidedown bathtub. Various structural properties of the new distribution are derived including explicit expressions for the moments and incomplete moments, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves, mean deviations, mean residual life, mean waiting time, and generating and quantile functions. The Rényi and q entropies are also derived. We obtain the density function of the order statistics and their moments. The model parameters are estimated by maximum likelihood and the observed information matrix is determined. The usefulness of the new model is illustrated by means of two real datasets on Wheaton river flood and bladder cancer. In the two applications, the new model provides better fits than the Kumaraswamy–Pareto, beta-exponentiated Pareto, beta-Pareto, exponentiated Pareto, and Pareto models.     

Quantile based tests for exponentiality against DMRQ and NBUE alternatives

Quantile-based reliability analysis has received much attention recently. We propose new quantile-based tests for exponentiality against decreasing mean residual quantile function (DMRQ) and new better than used in expectation (NBUE) classes of alternatives. The exact null distribution of the test statistic is derived when the alternative class is DMRQ. The asymptotic properties of both the test statistics are studied. The performance of the proposed tests with other existing tests in the literature is evaluated through simulation study. Finally, we illustrate our test procedure using real data sets.     

Le problème d'Anscombe pour les lois binomiales négatives généralisées

Consider a finite sample from a generalized negative-binomial distribution where both (canonical and index) parameters are unknown. This note proves that both the maximum-likelihood estimate and the moment estimate of the index parameter exist if and only if the sample variance is greater than the sample mean. This extends a result for the negative-binomial distribution that had been conjectured by Anscombe (1950) and later shown by Levin and Reeds (1977).     

An aging notion derived from the increasing convex ordering: the NBUCA class

In this paper, comparison between the life distribution of a new unit with that of the remaining life or a used unit in the increasing convex order leads us to introduce a new class of life distributions which we call new better than used in increasing convex average order and denote by NBUCA. This class includes as subclasses the new better than used, NBU and the new better than used in increasing convex ordering, NBUC. Several properties of this class are presented, including the preservation under convolution, random maxima, mixing and formation of coherent structures. Stochastic comparisons of the excess lifetime at different times of a renewal process when the interarrival times belong to the NBUCA class are established. We provide also some applications of Poisson shock models. Finally testing exponentially against NBUCA is presented.     

Non‐parametric Estimation of Extreme Risk Measures from Conditional Heavy‐tailed Distributions

In this paper, we introduce a new risk measure, the so‐called conditional tail moment. It is defined as the moment of order a ≥ 0 of the loss distribution above the upper α‐quantile where α ∈ (0,1). Estimating the conditional tail moment permits us to estimate all risk measures based on conditional moments such as conditional tail expectation, conditional value at risk or conditional tail variance. Here, we focus on the estimation of these risk measures in case of extreme losses (where α ↓0 is no longer fixed). It is moreover assumed that the loss distribution is heavy tailed and depends on a covariate. The estimation method thus combines non‐parametric kernel methods with extreme‐value statistics. The asymptotic distribution of the estimators is established, and their finite‐sample behaviour is illustrated both on simulated data and on a real data set of daily rainfalls.