Bootstrap-Based T 2 Multivariate Control Charts

Control charts have been used effectively for years to monitor processes and detect abnormal behaviors. However, most control charts require a specific distribution to establish their control limits. The bootstrap method is a nonparametric technique that does not rely on the assumption of a parametric distribution of the observed data. Although the bootstrap technique has been used to develop univariate control charts to monitor a single process, no effort has been made to integrate the effectiveness of the bootstrap technique with multivariate control charts. In the present study, we propose a bootstrap-based multivariate T ² control chart that can efficiently monitor a process when the distribution of observed data is nonnormal or unknown. A simulation study was conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed control chart and compare it with a traditional Hotelling's T ² control chart and the kernel density estimation (KDE)-based T ² control chart. The results showed that the proposed chart performed better than the traditional T ² control chart and performed comparably with the KDE-based T ² control chart. Furthermore, we present a case study to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed control chart to real situations.     

Integration of support vector machines and control charts for multivariate process monitoring

Statistical process control tools have been used routinely to improve process capabilities through reliable on-line monitoring and diagnostic processes. In the present paper, we propose a novel multivariate control chart that integrates a support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, a bootstrap method, and a control chart technique to improve multivariate process monitoring. The proposed chart uses as the monitoring statistic the predicted probability of class (PoC) values from an SVM algorithm. The control limits of SVM-PoC charts are obtained by a bootstrap approach. A simulation study was conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed SVM–PoC chart and to compare it with other data mining-based control charts and Hotelling's T ² control charts under various scenarios. The results showed that the proposed SVM–PoC charts outperformed other multivariate control charts in nonnormal situations. Further, we developed an exponential weighed moving average version of the SVM–PoC charts for increasing sensitivity to small shifts.     

A Multivariate Synthetic Control Chart for Monitoring the Process Mean Vector of Skewed Populations Using Weighted Standard Deviations

This article proposes a multivariate synthetic control chart for skewed populations based on the weighted standard deviation method. The proposed chart incorporates the weighted standard deviation method into the standard multivariate synthetic control chart. The standard multivariate synthetic chart consists of the Hotelling's T ² chart and the conforming run length chart. The weighted standard deviation method adjusts the variance–covariance matrix of the quality characteristics and approximates the probability density function using several multivariate normal distributions. The proposed chart reduces to the standard multivariate synthetic chart when the underlying distribution is symmetric. In general, the simulation results show that the proposed chart performs better than the existing multivariate charts for skewed populations and the standard T ² chart, in terms of false alarm rates as well as moderate and large mean shift detection rates based on the various degrees of skewnesses.     

Monitoring simple linear profiles using variable sample size schemes

ABSTRACT

Profile monitoring is one of the new research areas in statistical process control. Most of the control charts in this area are designed with fixed sampling rate which makes the control chart slow in detecting small to moderate shifts. In order to improve the performance of the conventional fixed control charts, adaptive features are proposed in which, one or more design parameters vary during the process. In this paper the variable sample size feature of EWMA₃ and MEWMA schemes are proposed for monitoring simple linear profiles. The EWMA₃ method is based on the combination of three exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts for monitoring three parameters of a simple linear profile separately and the Multivariate EWMA (MEWMA) chart is based on the using a single chart to monitor the coefficients and variance of a general linear profile. Also a two-sided control chart is proposed for monitoring the standard deviation in the EWMA₃ method. The performance of the proposed charts is compared in terms of the average time to signal. Numerical examples show that using adaptive features increase the power of control charts in detecting the parameter shifts. Finally, the performance of the proposed variable sample size schemes is illustrated through a real case in the leather industry.     

Multivariate Control Charts Based on Hybrid Novelty Scores

We propose a new nonparametric multivariate control chart that integrates a novelty score. The proposed control chart uses as its monitoring statistic a hybrid novelty score, calculated based on the distance to local observations as well as on the distance to the convex hull constructed by its neighbors. The control limits of the proposed control chart were established based on a bootstrap method. A rigorous simulation study was conducted to examine the properties of the proposed control chart under various scenarios and compare it with existing multivariate control charts in terms of average run length (ARL) performance. The simulation results showed that the proposed control chart outperformed both the parametric and nonparametric Hotelling's T ² control charts, especially in nonnormal situations. Moreover, experimental results with real semiconductor data demonstrated the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed control chart. To increase the capability to detect small mean shift, we propose an exponentially weighted hybrid novelty score control chart. Simulation results indicated that exponentially weighted hybrid score charts outperformed the hybrid novelty score based control charts.     

Synthetic double sampling s chart

This study proposes a synthetic double sampling s chart that integrates the double sampling (DS) s chart and the conforming run length chart. An optimization procedure is proposed to compute the optimal parameters of the synthetic DS s chart. The performance of the synthetic DS s chart is compared with other existing control charts for monitoring process standard deviation. The results show that the synthetic DS s chart is more effective for detecting increases in the process standard deviation for a wide range of shifts. An example is provided to illustrate the operation procedure of the synthetic DS s chart.     

Design of adaptive s control charts

The Shewhart s chart has been widely used to monitor the standard deviation of a process. However, the main disadvantage of an s chart is its slowness to signal small increases in the variability. In this paper, ideas of adaptive control charts are extended to the Shewhart s chart for improving the efficiency in signalling increases in the standard deviation. A Markov chain model is applied to evaluate its performances and compares its performances with combined double sampling and variable sampling intervals s chart, variable parameters (VP) R chart, exponentially weighted moving average and Cusum charts. The statistical performances show that the VP s chart is more sensitive to increases in standard deviation.     

A single-featured EWMA-X control chart for detecting shifts in process mean and standard deviation

The combined EWMA-X chart is a commonly used tool for monitoring both large and small process shifts. However, this chart requires calculating and monitoring two statistics along with two sets of control limits. Thus, this study develops a single-featured EWMA-X (called SFEWMA-X) control chart which has the ability to simultaneously monitor both large and small process shifts using only one set of statistic and control limits. The proposed SFEWMA-X chart is further extended to monitoring the shifts in process standard deviation. A set of simulated data are used to demonstrate the proposed chart's superior performance in terms of average run length compared with that of the traditional charts. The experimental examples also show that the SFEWMA-X chart is neater and easier to visually interpret than the original EWMA-X chart.     

Integration of classification algorithms and control chart techniques for monitoring multivariate processes

We propose new multivariate control charts that can effectively deal with massive amounts of complex data through their integration with classification algorithms. We call the proposed control chart the ‘Probability of Class (PoC) chart’ because the values of PoC, obtained from classification algorithms, are used as monitoring statistics. The control limits of PoC charts are established and adjusted by the bootstrap method. Experimental results with simulated and real data showed that PoC charts outperform Hotelling's T ² control charts. Further, a simulation study revealed that a small proportion of out-of-control observations are sufficient for PoC charts to achieve the desired performance.     

The Design and Performance of the Multivariate Synthetic-T 2 Control Chart

One of the objectives of research in statistical process control is to obtain control charts that show few false alarms but, at the same time, are able to detect quickly the shifts in the distribution of the quality variables employed to monitor a productive process. In this article, the synthetic-T ² control chart is developed, which consists of the simultaneous use of a CRL chart and a Hotelling's T ² control chart. The ARL is calculated employing Markov chains for steady and zero-state scenarios. A procedure of optimization has been developed to obtain the optimum parameters of the synthetic-T ², for zero and steady cases, given the values of in-control ARL and magnitude of shift which needs to be detected rapidly. A comparison between (standard T ², MEWMA, T ² with variable sample size, and T ² with double sampling) charts reveals that the synthetic-T ² chart always performs better than the standard T ² chart. The comparison with the remaining charts demonstrate in which cases the performance of this new chart makes it interesting to employ in real applications.     

Design of a sign chart using a new EWMA statistic

Abstract

In this article, a new non parametric control chart based on the modified or controlled exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) statistic is developed to monitor the process deviation from the target value. The proposed control chart is evaluated for different values of design parameters using the average run length as a performance criterion under various sample sizes. The proposed chart is compared with the existing non parametric EWMA sign control chart. It is observed that the proposed chart is better than the existing EWMA sign control chart in terms of run length characteristics. An empirical example is provided for the practical implementation of the proposed chart.     

New robust estimators for detecting non-random patterns in multivariate control charts: a simulation approach

In the past decade, different robust estimators have been proposed by several researchers to improve the ability to detect non-random patterns such as trend, process mean shift, and outliers in multivariate control charts. However, the use of the sample mean vector and the mean square successive difference matrix in the T ² control chart is sensitive in detecting process mean shift or trend but less sensitive in detecting outliers. On the other hand, the minimum volume ellipsoid (MVE) estimators in the T ² control chart are sensitive in detecting multiple outliers but less sensitive in detecting trend or process mean shift. Therefore, new robust estimators using both merits of the mean square successive difference matrix and the MVE estimators are developed to modify Hotelling's T ² control chart. To compare the detection performance among various control charts, a simulation approach for establishing control limits and calculating signal probabilities is provided as well. Our simulation results show that a multivariate control chart using the new robust estimators can achieve a well-balanced sensitivity in detecting the above-mentioned non-random patterns. Finally, three numerical examples further demonstrate the usefulness of our new robust estimators.     

Skewness Reduction Approach in Multi-Attribute Process Monitoring

Since the product quality of many industrial processes depends upon more than one dependent variable or attribute, they are either multivariate or multi-attribute in nature. Although multivariate statistical process control is receiving increased attention in the literature, little work has been done to deal with multi-attribute processes. In this article, we develop a new methodology to monitor multi-attribute processes. To do this, first we transform multi-attribute data in a way that their marginal probability distributions have almost zero skewness. Then, we estimate the transformed covariance matrix and apply the well-known T ² control chart. In order to illustrate the proposed method and evaluate its performance, we use two simulation experiments and compare the results with the ones from both MNP chart and the χ² control chart.     

Conditional design of the EWMA median chart with estimated parameters

The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart is often designed assuming the process parameters are known. In practice, the parameters are rarely known and need to be estimated from Phase I samples. Different Phase I samples are used when practitioners construct their own control chart's limits, which leads to the “Phase I between-practitioners” variability in the in-control average run length (ARL) of control charts. The standard deviation of the ARL (SDARL) is a good alternative to quantify this variability in control charts. Based on the SDARL metric, the performance of the EWMA median chart with estimated parameters is investigated in this paper. Some recommendations are given based on the SDARL metric. The results show that the EWMA median chart requires a much larger amount of Phase I data in order to reduce the variation in the in-control ARL up to a reasonable level. Due to the limitation of the amount of the Phase I data, the suggested EWMA median chart is designed with the bootstrap method which provides a good balance between the in-control and out-of-control ARL values.     

Runs rules schemes for monitoring process variability

To increase the sensitivity of Shewhart control charts in detecting small process shifts sensitizing rules based on runs and scans are often used in practice. Shewhart control charts supplemented with runs rules for detecting shifts in process variance have not received as much attention as their counterparts for detecting shifts in process mean. In this article, we examine the performance of simple runs rules schemes for monitoring increases and/or decreases in process variance based on the sample standard deviation. We introduce one-sided S charts that overcome the weakness of high false-alarm rates when runs rules are added to a Shewhart control chart. The average run length performance and design aspects of the charts are studied thoroughly. The performance of associated two-sided control schemes is investigated as well.     

A new S2 control chart using repetitive sampling

A new S² control chart is presented for monitoring the process variance by utilizing a repetitive sampling scheme. The double control limits called inner and outer control limits are proposed, whose coefficients are determined by considering the average run length (ARL) and the average sample number when the process is in control. The proposed control chart is compared with the existing Shewhart S² control chart in terms of the ARLs. The result shows that the proposed control chart is more efficient than the existing control chart in detecting the process shift.     

Bivariate control charts for testing x data patterns

A new control chart, called the θ chart, for monitoring the mean of a process with bivariate quality characteristics is proposed. It can identify a rotation, shift or alternation between the subgroups of the process mean. The conventional application of X² chart to identify a sudden shift of the process mean is also expanded to identify a change of the process mean or a change of the process dispersion. Furthermore, when used together, the θ and X² charts could provide further insight into the process.     

The double sampling S2 chart with estimated process variance

This paper proposes useful exact bounds for the parameters of the double sampling S² chart with known process variance and it also investigates the properties of the double sampling S² chart with estimated process variance, in terms of the average run length, the standard deviation of the run length and the average sample size, providing a numerical comparison with the known process variance case. It also provides guidelines to systematically design the double sampling S² chart both with known and estimated process variance and proposes two optimal design procedures with estimated process variance, for (a) minimizing the out-of-control average run length and (b) minimizing the out-of-control average sample size.     

Parametric bootstrap process capability index control charts for both mean and dispersion

Abstract

Non-normal processes are common in practice. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to defining bootstrap process capability index (PCI) control charts to monitor the performance of in-control skew normal processes. We use a bootstrap method to calculate phase I control limits of the corresponding PCI control charts. The β-risk curves of the associated PCI control charts will be used to assess the performance of the PCI control charts. We use Monte-Carlo simulation to evaluate the performance of the proposed PCI control charts. A numerical example to illustrate the implementation of the proposed control charts.